Tragic Drops

This tool calculates the teams with the highest All-Perfect average or maximum scores for this song and difficulty. The non-skill score depends on the base score and should stay the same across all plays, while the skill-based score depends on how lucky you are with the skill activation rolls.

While after the latest revisions the estimated/simulated scores seem close to the actual ones, the formulas/algorithms are still incomplete and the scores should be a little bit lower than the ones from the game.

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This team was generated using all the cards in the game.

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Left4	Left3	Left2	Left1	Center	Right1	Right2	Right3	Right4
Lv 100 / SL 9 x16.2	Lv 100 / SL 7 x37.5	Lv 100 / SL 9 x32.3	Lv 100 / SL 7 x29.2	Lv 100 / SL 9 x12.1	Lv 100 / SL 9 x34.5	Lv 100 / SL 9 x37	Lv 100 / SL 9 x32.6	Lv 100 / SL 9 x12

Guest Center Skill	Pure P of Pure members increased by 13%
Team P	50199 + 6531 (center skill) + 6531 (guest center skill) = 63261
Estimated non-skill score (AP)	791 (base note score) x 243.4 (total multiplier) = 192509
Estimated average score	192509 (non-skill score) + 63361 (average skill score) = 255870
Estimated maximum score	192509 (non-skill score) + 210487 (maximum skill score) = 402996
Score from 1000 simulations	Average: 192635 (non-skill score) + 64209 (skills score) = 256844 Percentile 10: 192635 (non-skill score) + 49790 (skills score) = 242425 Percentile 50: 192635 (non-skill score) + 64074 (skills score) = 256709 Percentile 90: 192635 (non-skill score) + 78830 (skills score) = 271465 Percentile 95: 192635 (non-skill score) + 83081 (skills score) = 275716 Percentile 99: 192635 (non-skill score) + 91632 (skills score) = 284267 Percentile 99.5: 192635 (non-skill score) + 94145 (skills score) = 286780

Center

Yoshiko Tsushima

Center Skill	Pure P of Pure members increased by 13%
Stats	Level 100	3916 5587 3965
Skill	Level 9	Every 21 combo, there is a 47% chance of increasing the score of each note by 159 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 791 (base note score) x 243.4 (total multiplier) = 21426
Estimated skill score	159 x 21.2% (average note coverage for AP) x 197 = 6651 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	159 x 21.4% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 197 = 6698
Estimated total score	21426 (estimated non-skill score) + 6651 (estimated skill score) = 28077

Left4

Shizuku Osaka

Stats	Level 100	3838 5578 4052
Skill	Level 9	Every 24 combo, there is a 35% chance of increasing the score of each note by 234 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 791 (base note score) x 243.4 (total multiplier) = 21393
Estimated skill score	234 x 14.2% (average note coverage for AP) x 197 = 6552 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	234 x 14.2% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 197 = 6501
Estimated total score	21393 (estimated non-skill score) + 6552 (estimated skill score) = 27945

Left3

Lanzhu Zhong

Stats	Level 100	4116 5565 3787
Skill	Level 7	Every 11.4 seconds, there is a 37% chance of increasing the score of each note by 313 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 791 (base note score) x 243.4 (total multiplier) = 21341
Estimated skill score	313 x 13.9% (average note coverage for AP) x 197 = 8570 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	313 x 14.2% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 197 = 8865
Estimated total score	21341 (estimated non-skill score) + 8570 (estimated skill score) = 29911

Left2

Hanamaru Kunikida

Stats	Level 100	4100 5594 3852
Skill	Level 9	Every 25 combo, there is a 27% chance of increasing the score of each note by 311 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 791 (base note score) x 243.4 (total multiplier) = 21454
Estimated skill score	311 x 10.8% (average note coverage for AP) x 197 = 6634 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	311 x 11.1% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 197 = 6698
Estimated total score	21454 (estimated non-skill score) + 6634 (estimated skill score) = 28087

Left1

Emma Verde

Stats	Level 100	3770 5576 4122
Skill	Level 7	Every 25 PERFECTs, there is a 40% chance of increasing the score of each note by 206 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 791 (base note score) x 243.4 (total multiplier) = 21381
Estimated skill score	206 x 16.2% (average note coverage for AP) x 197 = 6592 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	206 x 16.5% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 197 = 6698
Estimated total score	21381 (estimated non-skill score) + 6592 (estimated skill score) = 27973

Right1

Riko Sakurauchi

Stats	Level 100	3920 5572 3976
Skill	Level 9	Every 15 PERFECTs, there is a 19% chance of increasing the score of each note by 289 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 791 (base note score) x 243.4 (total multiplier) = 21369
Estimated skill score	289 x 12.6% (average note coverage for AP) x 197 = 7193 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	289 x 12.8% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 197 = 7289
Estimated total score	21369 (estimated non-skill score) + 7193 (estimated skill score) = 28562

Right2

You Watanabe

Stats	Level 100	4045 5619 3882
Skill	Level 9	Every 16 PERFECTs, there is a 24% chance of increasing the score of each note by 244 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 791 (base note score) x 243.4 (total multiplier) = 21548
Estimated skill score	244 x 15.4% (average note coverage for AP) x 197 = 7379 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	244 x 15.6% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 197 = 7486
Estimated total score	21548 (estimated non-skill score) + 7379 (estimated skill score) = 28927

Right3

Karin Asaka

Stats	Level 100	3995 5561 3912
Skill	Level 9	Every 26 PERFECTs, there is a 26% chance of increasing the score of each note by 337 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 791 (base note score) x 243.4 (total multiplier) = 21323
Estimated skill score	337 x 10.8% (average note coverage for AP) x 197 = 7185 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	337 x 11% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 197 = 7289
Estimated total score	21323 (estimated non-skill score) + 7185 (estimated skill score) = 28508

Right4

Margarete Wien

Stats	Level 100	3878 5547 3965
Skill	Level 9	Every 13 notes, there is a 38% chance of increasing the score of each note by 116 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 791 (base note score) x 243.4 (total multiplier) = 21274
Estimated skill score	116 x 28.9% (average note coverage for AP) x 197 = 6606 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	116 x 29% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 197 = 6698
Estimated total score	21274 (estimated non-skill score) + 6606 (estimated skill score) = 27880