Tragic Drops

This tool calculates the teams with the highest All-Perfect average or maximum scores for this song and difficulty. The non-skill score depends on the base score and should stay the same across all plays, while the skill-based score depends on how lucky you are with the skill activation rolls.

While after the latest revisions the estimated/simulated scores seem close to the actual ones, the formulas/algorithms are still incomplete and the scores should be a little bit lower than the ones from the game.

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This team was generated using all the cards in the game.

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Left4	Left3	Left2	Left1	Center	Right1	Right2	Right3	Right4
Lv 100 / SL 9 x16.2	Lv 100 / SL 9 x37.5	Lv 100 / SL 9 x32.3	Lv 100 / SL 9 x29.2	Lv 100 / SL 9 x12.1	Lv 100 / SL 9 x34.5	Lv 100 / SL 9 x37	Lv 100 / SL 9 x32.6	Lv 100 / SL 9 x12

Guest Center Skill	Pure P of Pure members increased by 13%
Team P	50199 + 6531 (center skill) + 6531 (guest center skill) = 63261
Estimated non-skill score (AP)	791 (base note score) x 243.4 (total multiplier) = 192509
Estimated average score	192509 (non-skill score) + 63313 (average skill score) = 255822
Estimated maximum score	192509 (non-skill score) + 210366 (maximum skill score) = 402875
Score from 1000 simulations	Average: 192635 (non-skill score) + 63318 (skills score) = 255953 Percentile 10: 192635 (non-skill score) + 48648 (skills score) = 241283 Percentile 50: 192635 (non-skill score) + 63103 (skills score) = 255738 Percentile 90: 192635 (non-skill score) + 77728 (skills score) = 270363 Percentile 95: 192635 (non-skill score) + 81740 (skills score) = 274375 Percentile 99: 192635 (non-skill score) + 92075 (skills score) = 284710 Percentile 99.5: 192635 (non-skill score) + 94280 (skills score) = 286915

Center

Shizuku Osaka

Center Skill	Pure P of Pure members increased by 13%
Stats	Level 100	3838 5578 4052
Skill	Level 9	Every 24 combo, there is a 35% chance of increasing the score of each note by 234 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 791 (base note score) x 243.4 (total multiplier) = 21393
Estimated skill score	234 x 14.2% (average note coverage for AP) x 197 = 6552 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	234 x 14.3% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 197 = 6501
Estimated total score	21393 (estimated non-skill score) + 6552 (estimated skill score) = 27945

Left4

Karin Asaka

Stats	Level 100	3995 5561 3912
Skill	Level 9	Every 26 PERFECTs, there is a 26% chance of increasing the score of each note by 337 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 791 (base note score) x 243.4 (total multiplier) = 21323
Estimated skill score	337 x 10.8% (average note coverage for AP) x 197 = 7185 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	337 x 11.1% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 197 = 7289
Estimated total score	21323 (estimated non-skill score) + 7185 (estimated skill score) = 28508

Left3

You Watanabe

Stats	Level 100	4045 5619 3882
Skill	Level 9	Every 16 PERFECTs, there is a 24% chance of increasing the score of each note by 244 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 791 (base note score) x 243.4 (total multiplier) = 21548
Estimated skill score	244 x 15.4% (average note coverage for AP) x 197 = 7379 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	244 x 15.1% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 197 = 7289
Estimated total score	21548 (estimated non-skill score) + 7379 (estimated skill score) = 28927

Left2

Riko Sakurauchi

Stats	Level 100	3920 5572 3976
Skill	Level 9	Every 15 PERFECTs, there is a 19% chance of increasing the score of each note by 289 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 791 (base note score) x 243.4 (total multiplier) = 21369
Estimated skill score	289 x 12.6% (average note coverage for AP) x 197 = 7193 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	289 x 12.7% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 197 = 7289
Estimated total score	21369 (estimated non-skill score) + 7193 (estimated skill score) = 28562

Left1

Lanzhu Zhong

Stats	Level 100	4116 5565 3787
Skill	Level 9	Every 11.2 seconds, there is a 37% chance of increasing the score of each note by 317 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 791 (base note score) x 243.4 (total multiplier) = 21341
Estimated skill score	317 x 13.7% (average note coverage for AP) x 197 = 8562 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	317 x 13.6% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 197 = 8471
Estimated total score	21341 (estimated non-skill score) + 8562 (estimated skill score) = 29903

Right1

Yoshiko Tsushima

Stats	Level 100	3916 5587 3965
Skill	Level 9	Every 21 combo, there is a 47% chance of increasing the score of each note by 159 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 791 (base note score) x 243.4 (total multiplier) = 21426
Estimated skill score	159 x 21.2% (average note coverage for AP) x 197 = 6651 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	159 x 21% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 197 = 6501
Estimated total score	21426 (estimated non-skill score) + 6651 (estimated skill score) = 28077

Right2

Hanamaru Kunikida

Stats	Level 100	4100 5594 3852
Skill	Level 9	Every 25 combo, there is a 27% chance of increasing the score of each note by 311 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 791 (base note score) x 243.4 (total multiplier) = 21454
Estimated skill score	311 x 10.8% (average note coverage for AP) x 197 = 6634 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	311 x 10.8% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 197 = 6698
Estimated total score	21454 (estimated non-skill score) + 6634 (estimated skill score) = 28087

Right3

Emma Verde

Stats	Level 100	3770 5576 4122
Skill	Level 9	Every 24 PERFECTs, there is a 40% chance of increasing the score of each note by 210 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 791 (base note score) x 243.4 (total multiplier) = 21381
Estimated skill score	210 x 15.8% (average note coverage for AP) x 197 = 6552 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	210 x 15.8% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 197 = 6501
Estimated total score	21381 (estimated non-skill score) + 6552 (estimated skill score) = 27933

Right4

Margarete Wien

Stats	Level 100	3878 5547 3965
Skill	Level 9	Every 13 notes, there is a 38% chance of increasing the score of each note by 116 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 791 (base note score) x 243.4 (total multiplier) = 21274
Estimated skill score	116 x 28.9% (average note coverage for AP) x 197 = 6606 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	116 x 29.1% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 197 = 6698
Estimated total score	21274 (estimated non-skill score) + 6606 (estimated skill score) = 27880