Tragic Drops

This tool calculates the teams with the highest All-Perfect average or maximum scores for this song and difficulty. The non-skill score depends on the base score and should stay the same across all plays, while the skill-based score depends on how lucky you are with the skill activation rolls.

While after the latest revisions the estimated/simulated scores seem close to the actual ones, the formulas/algorithms are still incomplete and the scores should be a little bit lower than the ones from the game.

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This team was generated using all the cards in the game.

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Left4	Left3	Left2	Left1	Center	Right1	Right2	Right3	Right4
Lv 100 / SL 9 x26.3	Lv 100 / SL 9 x53.4	Lv 100 / SL 9 x58.9	Lv 100 / SL 9 x34.1	Lv 100 / SL 9 x8.6	Lv 100 / SL 9 x39.5	Lv 100 / SL 9 x65.6	Lv 100 / SL 9 x37.4	Lv 100 / SL 9 x24.9

Guest Center Skill	Pure P of Pure members increased by 13%
Team P	50199 + 6531 (center skill) + 6531 (guest center skill) = 63261
Estimated non-skill score (AP)	791 (base note score) x 348.7 (total multiplier) = 275821
Estimated average score	275821 (non-skill score) + 109053 (average skill score) = 384874
Estimated maximum score	275821 (non-skill score) + 355440 (maximum skill score) = 631261
Score from 1000 simulations	Average: 275993 (non-skill score) + 109967 (skills score) = 385960 Percentile 10: 275993 (non-skill score) + 87095 (skills score) = 363088 Percentile 50: 275993 (non-skill score) + 109453 (skills score) = 385446 Percentile 90: 275993 (non-skill score) + 132773 (skills score) = 408766 Percentile 95: 275993 (non-skill score) + 140961 (skills score) = 416954 Percentile 99: 275993 (non-skill score) + 151435 (skills score) = 427428 Percentile 99.5: 275993 (non-skill score) + 156465 (skills score) = 432458

Center

Yoshiko Tsushima

Center Skill	Pure P of Pure members increased by 13%
Stats	Level 100	3916 5587 3965
Skill	Level 9	Every 21 combo, there is a 47% chance of increasing the score of each note by 159 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 791 (base note score) x 348.7 (total multiplier) = 30699
Estimated skill score	159 x 27.3% (average note coverage for AP) x 270 = 11733 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	159 x 27.5% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 270 = 11880
Estimated total score	30699 (estimated non-skill score) + 11733 (estimated skill score) = 42432

Left4

Karin Asaka

Stats	Level 100	3995 5561 3912
Skill	Level 9	Every 26 PERFECTs, there is a 26% chance of increasing the score of each note by 337 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 791 (base note score) x 348.7 (total multiplier) = 30551
Estimated skill score	337 x 14.1% (average note coverage for AP) x 270 = 12793 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	337 x 14% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 270 = 12690
Estimated total score	30551 (estimated non-skill score) + 12793 (estimated skill score) = 43343

Left3

Shizuku Osaka

Stats	Level 100	3838 5578 4052
Skill	Level 9	Every 24 combo, there is a 35% chance of increasing the score of each note by 234 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 791 (base note score) x 348.7 (total multiplier) = 30651
Estimated skill score	234 x 17.9% (average note coverage for AP) x 270 = 11302 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	234 x 17.8% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 270 = 11340
Estimated total score	30651 (estimated non-skill score) + 11302 (estimated skill score) = 41953

Left2

Hanamaru Kunikida

Stats	Level 100	4100 5594 3852
Skill	Level 9	Every 25 combo, there is a 27% chance of increasing the score of each note by 311 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 791 (base note score) x 348.7 (total multiplier) = 30738
Estimated skill score	311 x 12.8% (average note coverage for AP) x 270 = 10748 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	311 x 13% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 270 = 10800
Estimated total score	30738 (estimated non-skill score) + 10748 (estimated skill score) = 41487

Left1

Lanzhu Zhong

Stats	Level 100	4116 5565 3787
Skill	Level 9	Every 11.2 seconds, there is a 37% chance of increasing the score of each note by 317 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 791 (base note score) x 348.7 (total multiplier) = 30577
Estimated skill score	317 x 12.6% (average note coverage for AP) x 270 = 10791 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	317 x 12.8% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 270 = 10800
Estimated total score	30577 (estimated non-skill score) + 10791 (estimated skill score) = 41368

Right1

Emma Verde

Stats	Level 100	3770 5576 4122
Skill	Level 9	Every 24 PERFECTs, there is a 40% chance of increasing the score of each note by 210 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 791 (base note score) x 348.7 (total multiplier) = 30634
Estimated skill score	210 x 24% (average note coverage for AP) x 270 = 13608 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	210 x 24.2% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 270 = 13770
Estimated total score	30634 (estimated non-skill score) + 13608 (estimated skill score) = 44242

Right2

You Watanabe

Stats	Level 100	4045 5619 3882
Skill	Level 9	Every 16 PERFECTs, there is a 24% chance of increasing the score of each note by 244 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 791 (base note score) x 348.7 (total multiplier) = 30874
Estimated skill score	244 x 20.3% (average note coverage for AP) x 270 = 13401 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	244 x 20.5% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 270 = 13500
Estimated total score	30874 (estimated non-skill score) + 13401 (estimated skill score) = 44274

Right3

Riko Sakurauchi

Stats	Level 100	3920 5572 3976
Skill	Level 9	Every 15 PERFECTs, there is a 19% chance of increasing the score of each note by 289 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 791 (base note score) x 348.7 (total multiplier) = 30616
Estimated skill score	289 x 16.7% (average note coverage for AP) x 270 = 13046 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	289 x 17.2% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 270 = 13500
Estimated total score	30616 (estimated non-skill score) + 13046 (estimated skill score) = 43662

Right4

Margarete Wien

Stats	Level 100	3878 5547 3965
Skill	Level 9	Every 13 notes, there is a 38% chance of increasing the score of each note by 116 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 791 (base note score) x 348.7 (total multiplier) = 30481
Estimated skill score	116 x 37.1% (average note coverage for AP) x 270 = 11633 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	116 x 37.3% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 270 = 11610
Estimated total score	30481 (estimated non-skill score) + 11633 (estimated skill score) = 42114