Mermaid festa vol.1

This tool calculates the teams with the highest All-Perfect average or maximum scores for this song and difficulty. The non-skill score depends on the base score and should stay the same across all plays, while the skill-based score depends on how lucky you are with the skill activation rolls.

While after the latest revisions the estimated/simulated scores seem close to the actual ones, the formulas/algorithms are still incomplete and the scores should be a little bit lower than the ones from the game.

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This team was generated using all the cards in the game.

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Left4	Left3	Left2	Left1	Center	Right1	Right2	Right3	Right4
Lv 100 / SL 9 x11	Lv 100 / SL 9 x26.3	Lv 100 / SL 9 x39.2	Lv 100 / SL 9 x24.7	Lv 100 / SL 9 x18.9	Lv 100 / SL 9 x23.6	Lv 100 / SL 9 x43.3	Lv 100 / SL 9 x22.7	Lv 100 / SL 9 x15.3

Guest Center Skill	Cool P of Cool members increased by 13%
Team P	48625 + 6326 (center skill) + 6326 (guest center skill) = 61277
Estimated non-skill score (AP)	766 (base note score) x 225 (total multiplier) = 172339
Estimated average score	172339 (non-skill score) + 47438 (average skill score) = 219777
Estimated maximum score	172339 (non-skill score) + 159465 (maximum skill score) = 331804
Score from 1000 simulations	Average: 172386 (non-skill score) + 47344 (skills score) = 219730 Percentile 10: 172386 (non-skill score) + 39575 (skills score) = 211961 Percentile 50: 172386 (non-skill score) + 47492 (skills score) = 219878 Percentile 90: 172386 (non-skill score) + 55556 (skills score) = 227942 Percentile 95: 172386 (non-skill score) + 57315 (skills score) = 229701 Percentile 99: 172386 (non-skill score) + 62386 (skills score) = 234772 Percentile 99.5: 172386 (non-skill score) + 63597 (skills score) = 235983

Center

Kotori Minami

Center Skill	Cool P of Cool members increased by 13%
Stats	Level 100	4001 3846 5543
Skill	Level 9	Every 15 PERFECTs, there is a 19% chance of increasing the score of each note by 289 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 766 (base note score) x 225 (total multiplier) = 19645
Estimated skill score	289 x 7.1% (average note coverage for AP) x 173 = 3569 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	289 x 7.1% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 173 = 3460
Estimated total score	19645 (estimated non-skill score) + 3569 (estimated skill score) = 23214

Left4

Shizuku Osaka

Stats	Level 100	4075 3880 5591
Skill	Level 9	Every 14.2 seconds, there is a 33% chance of increasing the score of each note by 439 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 766 (base note score) x 225 (total multiplier) = 19814
Estimated skill score	439 x 6.9% (average note coverage for AP) x 173 = 5215 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	439 x 6.7% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 173 = 5190
Estimated total score	19814 (estimated non-skill score) + 5215 (estimated skill score) = 25029

Left3

Kanan Matsuura

Stats	Level 100	3988 3903 5577
Skill	Level 9	Every 15 PERFECTs, there is a 19% chance of increasing the score of each note by 289 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 766 (base note score) x 225 (total multiplier) = 19769
Estimated skill score	289 x 7.1% (average note coverage for AP) x 173 = 3569 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	289 x 6.9% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 173 = 3460
Estimated total score	19769 (estimated non-skill score) + 3569 (estimated skill score) = 23338

Left2

Eli Ayase

Stats	Level 100	3954 3776 5270
Skill	Level 9	Every 6.2 seconds, there is a 38.6% chance of increasing the score of each note by 138 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 766 (base note score) x 225 (total multiplier) = 18680
Estimated skill score	138 x 23.4% (average note coverage for AP) x 173 = 5593 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	138 x 23.2% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 173 = 5536
Estimated total score	18680 (estimated non-skill score) + 5593 (estimated skill score) = 24273

Left1

Ai Miyashita

Stats	Level 100	3850 3949 5435
Skill	Level 9	Every 15 PERFECTs, there is a 19% chance of increasing the score of each note by 289 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 766 (base note score) x 225 (total multiplier) = 19263
Estimated skill score	289 x 7.1% (average note coverage for AP) x 173 = 3569 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	289 x 7.3% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 173 = 3633
Estimated total score	19263 (estimated non-skill score) + 3569 (estimated skill score) = 22832

Right1

Natsumi Onitsuka

Stats	Level 100	4020 3712 5372
Skill	Level 9	Every 4.2 seconds, there is a 35.6% chance of increasing the score of each note by 111 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 766 (base note score) x 225 (total multiplier) = 19040
Estimated skill score	111 x 33.7% (average note coverage for AP) x 173 = 6481 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	111 x 34.3% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 173 = 6574
Estimated total score	19040 (estimated non-skill score) + 6481 (estimated skill score) = 25521

Right2

Nozomi Tojo

Stats	Level 100	4021 3769 5262
Skill	Level 9	Every 4.2 seconds, there is a 35.6% chance of increasing the score of each note by 111 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 766 (base note score) x 225 (total multiplier) = 18652
Estimated skill score	111 x 33.7% (average note coverage for AP) x 173 = 6481 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	111 x 33.6% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 173 = 6401
Estimated total score	18652 (estimated non-skill score) + 6481 (estimated skill score) = 25133

Right3

Shiki Wakana

Stats	Level 100	3817 3934 5353
Skill	Level 9	Every 4.2 seconds, there is a 35.6% chance of increasing the score of each note by 111 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 766 (base note score) x 225 (total multiplier) = 18970
Estimated skill score	111 x 33.7% (average note coverage for AP) x 173 = 6481 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	111 x 33.7% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 173 = 6401
Estimated total score	18970 (estimated non-skill score) + 6481 (estimated skill score) = 25451

Right4

Karin Asaka

Stats	Level 100	3804 4130 5222
Skill	Level 9	Every 4.2 seconds, there is a 35.6% chance of increasing the score of each note by 111 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 766 (base note score) x 225 (total multiplier) = 18506
Estimated skill score	111 x 33.7% (average note coverage for AP) x 173 = 6481 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	111 x 34% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 173 = 6574
Estimated total score	18506 (estimated non-skill score) + 6481 (estimated skill score) = 24987