Mermaid festa vol.1

This tool calculates the teams with the highest All-Perfect average or maximum scores for this song and difficulty. The non-skill score depends on the base score and should stay the same across all plays, while the skill-based score depends on how lucky you are with the skill activation rolls.

While after the latest revisions the estimated/simulated scores seem close to the actual ones, the formulas/algorithms are still incomplete and the scores should be a little bit lower than the ones from the game.

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This team was generated using all the cards in the game.

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Left4	Left3	Left2	Left1	Center	Right1	Right2	Right3	Right4
Lv 100 / SL 9 x11	Lv 100 / SL 9 x28.9	Lv 100 / SL 9 x39.2	Lv 100 / SL 9 x27.2	Lv 100 / SL 9 x17.2	Lv 100 / SL 9 x26	Lv 100 / SL 9 x43.3	Lv 100 / SL 9 x24.9	Lv 100 / SL 9 x15.3

Guest Center Skill	Cool P of Cool members increased by 13%
Team P	49279 + 6412 (center skill) + 6412 (guest center skill) = 62103
Estimated non-skill score (AP)	777 (base note score) x 233 (total multiplier) = 181038
Estimated average score	181038 (non-skill score) + 32304 (average skill score) = 213342
Estimated maximum score	181038 (non-skill score) + 102085 (maximum skill score) = 283123
Score from 1000 simulations	Average: 181161 (non-skill score) + 32220 (skills score) = 213381 Percentile 10: 181161 (non-skill score) + 25668 (skills score) = 206829 Percentile 50: 181161 (non-skill score) + 32161 (skills score) = 213322 Percentile 90: 181161 (non-skill score) + 39057 (skills score) = 220218 Percentile 95: 181161 (non-skill score) + 40712 (skills score) = 221873 Percentile 99: 181161 (non-skill score) + 44629 (skills score) = 225790 Percentile 99.5: 181161 (non-skill score) + 46019 (skills score) = 227180

Center

Ren Hazuki

Center Skill	Cool P of Cool members increased by 13%
Stats	Level 100	3954 3985 5607
Skill	Level 9	Every 18 PERFECTs, there is a 41% chance of increasing the score of each note by 163 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 777 (base note score) x 233 (total multiplier) = 20595
Estimated skill score	163 x 13% (average note coverage for AP) x 173 = 3676 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	163 x 12.8% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 173 = 3633
Estimated total score	20595 (estimated non-skill score) + 3676 (estimated skill score) = 24271

Left4

Kinako Sakurakoji

Stats	Level 100	4036 3908 5602
Skill	Level 9	Every 27 combo, there is a 37% chance of increasing the score of each note by 249 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 777 (base note score) x 233 (total multiplier) = 20581
Estimated skill score	249 x 5.6% (average note coverage for AP) x 173 = 2395 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	249 x 5.6% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 173 = 2422
Estimated total score	20581 (estimated non-skill score) + 2395 (estimated skill score) = 22976

Left3

Maki Nishikino

Stats	Level 100	3940 3944 5506
Skill	Level 9	Every 28 combo, there is a 30% chance of increasing the score of each note by 314 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 777 (base note score) x 233 (total multiplier) = 20225
Estimated skill score	314 x 4.3% (average note coverage for AP) x 173 = 2355 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	314 x 4.4% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 173 = 2422
Estimated total score	20225 (estimated non-skill score) + 2355 (estimated skill score) = 22580

Left2

Kotori Minami

Stats	Level 100	4001 3846 5543
Skill	Level 9	Every 15 PERFECTs, there is a 19% chance of increasing the score of each note by 289 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 777 (base note score) x 233 (total multiplier) = 20362
Estimated skill score	289 x 7.1% (average note coverage for AP) x 173 = 3569 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	289 x 7.1% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 173 = 3633
Estimated total score	20362 (estimated non-skill score) + 3569 (estimated skill score) = 23931

Left1

Kotori Minami

Stats	Level 100	4030 3685 5285
Skill	Level 9	Every 22 combo, there is a 39% chance of increasing the score of each note by 129 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 777 (base note score) x 233 (total multiplier) = 19418
Estimated skill score	129 x 8.6% (average note coverage for AP) x 173 = 1912 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	129 x 8.3% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 173 = 1903
Estimated total score	19418 (estimated non-skill score) + 1912 (estimated skill score) = 21329

Right1

Eli Ayase

Stats	Level 100	3954 3776 5270
Skill	Level 9	Every 6.2 seconds, there is a 38.6% chance of increasing the score of each note by 138 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 777 (base note score) x 233 (total multiplier) = 19362
Estimated skill score	138 x 23.4% (average note coverage for AP) x 173 = 5593 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	138 x 23.3% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 173 = 5536
Estimated total score	19362 (estimated non-skill score) + 5593 (estimated skill score) = 24955

Right2

Umi Sonoda

Stats	Level 100	3967 3985 5594
Skill	Level 9	Every 13 notes, there is a 38% chance of increasing the score of each note by 116 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 777 (base note score) x 233 (total multiplier) = 20552
Estimated skill score	116 x 16.5% (average note coverage for AP) x 173 = 3306 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	116 x 16.6% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 173 = 3287
Estimated total score	20552 (estimated non-skill score) + 3306 (estimated skill score) = 23858

Right3

Nozomi Tojo

Stats	Level 100	4021 3769 5262
Skill	Level 9	Every 4.2 seconds, there is a 35.6% chance of increasing the score of each note by 111 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 777 (base note score) x 233 (total multiplier) = 19333
Estimated skill score	111 x 33.7% (average note coverage for AP) x 173 = 6481 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	111 x 33.9% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 173 = 6574
Estimated total score	19333 (estimated non-skill score) + 6481 (estimated skill score) = 25814

Right4

Mei Yoneme

Stats	Level 100	3780 4156 5610
Skill	Level 9	Every 15 notes, there is a 22% chance of increasing the score of each note by 211 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 777 (base note score) x 233 (total multiplier) = 20610
Estimated skill score	211 x 8.3% (average note coverage for AP) x 173 = 3017 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	211 x 8.2% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 173 = 2941
Estimated total score	20610 (estimated non-skill score) + 3017 (estimated skill score) = 23627