Mermaid festa vol.1

This tool calculates the teams with the highest All-Perfect average or maximum scores for this song and difficulty. The non-skill score depends on the base score and should stay the same across all plays, while the skill-based score depends on how lucky you are with the skill activation rolls.

While after the latest revisions the estimated/simulated scores seem close to the actual ones, the formulas/algorithms are still incomplete and the scores should be a little bit lower than the ones from the game.

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This team was generated using all the cards in the game.

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Left4	Left3	Left2	Left1	Center	Right1	Right2	Right3	Right4
Lv 100 / SL 9 x16.8	Lv 100 / SL 9 x44.3	Lv 100 / SL 9 x56.6	Lv 100 / SL 7 x32.5	Lv 100 / SL 9 x17.5	Lv 100 / SL 7 x33.9	Lv 100 / SL 9 x65.7	Lv 100 / SL 9 x39.2	Lv 100 / SL 9 x20.8

Guest Center Skill	Cool P of Cool members increased by 13%
Team P	46484 + 4652 (center skill) + 5016 (guest center skill) = 56152
Estimated non-skill score (AP)	702 (base note score) x 327.4 (total multiplier) = 229802
Estimated average score	229802 (non-skill score) + 69790 (average skill score) = 299592
Estimated maximum score	229802 (non-skill score) + 343022 (maximum skill score) = 572824
Score from 1000 simulations	Average: 229958 (non-skill score) + 69990 (skills score) = 299948 Percentile 10: 229958 (non-skill score) + 54057 (skills score) = 284015 Percentile 50: 229958 (non-skill score) + 69671 (skills score) = 299629 Percentile 90: 229958 (non-skill score) + 85826 (skills score) = 315784 Percentile 95: 229958 (non-skill score) + 91298 (skills score) = 321256 Percentile 99: 229958 (non-skill score) + 100800 (skills score) = 330758 Percentile 99.5: 229958 (non-skill score) + 103040 (skills score) = 332998

Center

Mei Yoneme

Center Skill	Cool P increased by 10%
Stats	Level 100	3780 4156 5610
Skill	Level 9	Every 15 notes, there is a 22% chance of increasing the score of each note by 211 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 702 (base note score) x 327.4 (total multiplier) = 28242
Estimated skill score	211 x 13.1% (average note coverage for AP) x 253 = 6979 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	211 x 13.2% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 253 = 7084
Estimated total score	28242 (estimated non-skill score) + 6979 (estimated skill score) = 35221

Left4

Riko Sakurauchi

Stats	Level 100	3920 5572 3976
Skill	Level 9	Every 15 PERFECTs, there is a 19% chance of increasing the score of each note by 289 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 702 (base note score) x 327.4 (total multiplier) = 17901
Estimated skill score	289 x 11.3% (average note coverage for AP) x 253 = 8260 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	289 x 11.1% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 253 = 8096
Estimated total score	17901 (estimated non-skill score) + 8260 (estimated skill score) = 26161

Left3

Kanan Matsuura

Stats	Level 100	3988 3903 5577
Skill	Level 9	Every 15 PERFECTs, there is a 19% chance of increasing the score of each note by 289 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 702 (base note score) x 327.4 (total multiplier) = 28079
Estimated skill score	289 x 11.3% (average note coverage for AP) x 253 = 8260 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	289 x 11.4% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 253 = 8349
Estimated total score	28079 (estimated non-skill score) + 8260 (estimated skill score) = 36339

Left2

Nozomi Tojo

Stats	Level 100	4021 3769 5262
Skill	Level 9	Every 4.2 seconds, there is a 35.6% chance of increasing the score of each note by 111 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 702 (base note score) x 327.4 (total multiplier) = 26495
Estimated skill score	111 x 33.3% (average note coverage for AP) x 253 = 9365 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	111 x 33.5% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 253 = 9361
Estimated total score	26495 (estimated non-skill score) + 9365 (estimated skill score) = 35860

Left1

Kasumi Nakasu

Stats	Level 100	3955 3899 5536
Skill	Level 7	Every 20 PERFECTs, there is a 21% chance of increasing the score of each note by 313 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 702 (base note score) x 327.4 (total multiplier) = 27870
Estimated skill score	313 x 9.2% (average note coverage for AP) x 253 = 7296 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	313 x 9% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 253 = 7084
Estimated total score	27870 (estimated non-skill score) + 7296 (estimated skill score) = 35166

Right1

Chisato Arashi

Stats	Level 100	4020 3861 5587
Skill	Level 7	Every 20 notes, there is a 17% chance of increasing the score of each note by 328 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 702 (base note score) x 327.4 (total multiplier) = 28128
Estimated skill score	328 x 7.5% (average note coverage for AP) x 253 = 6189 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	328 x 7.7% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 253 = 6325
Estimated total score	28128 (estimated non-skill score) + 6189 (estimated skill score) = 34317

Right2

Kotori Minami

Stats	Level 100	4001 3846 5543
Skill	Level 9	Every 15 PERFECTs, there is a 19% chance of increasing the score of each note by 289 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 702 (base note score) x 327.4 (total multiplier) = 27907
Estimated skill score	289 x 11.3% (average note coverage for AP) x 253 = 8260 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	289 x 11.5% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 253 = 8349
Estimated total score	27907 (estimated non-skill score) + 8260 (estimated skill score) = 36167

Right3

Ai Miyashita

Stats	Level 100	3850 3949 5435
Skill	Level 9	Every 15 PERFECTs, there is a 19% chance of increasing the score of each note by 289 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 702 (base note score) x 327.4 (total multiplier) = 27362
Estimated skill score	289 x 11.3% (average note coverage for AP) x 253 = 8260 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	289 x 11.2% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 253 = 8096
Estimated total score	27362 (estimated non-skill score) + 8260 (estimated skill score) = 35623

Right4

Keke Tang

Stats	Level 100	3871 5483 3958
Skill	Level 9	Every 17 notes, there is a 16% chance of increasing the score of each note by 318 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 702 (base note score) x 327.4 (total multiplier) = 17819
Estimated skill score	318 x 8.6% (average note coverage for AP) x 253 = 6920 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	318 x 8.6% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 253 = 6831
Estimated total score	17819 (estimated non-skill score) + 6920 (estimated skill score) = 24738