Mermaid festa vol.1

This tool calculates the teams with the highest All-Perfect average or maximum scores for this song and difficulty. The non-skill score depends on the base score and should stay the same across all plays, while the skill-based score depends on how lucky you are with the skill activation rolls.

While after the latest revisions the estimated/simulated scores seem close to the actual ones, the formulas/algorithms are still incomplete and the scores should be a little bit lower than the ones from the game.

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This team was generated using all the cards in the game.

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Left4	Left3	Left2	Left1	Center	Right1	Right2	Right3	Right4
Lv 100 / SL 9 x18.5	Lv 100 / SL 9 x48.8	Lv 100 / SL 9 x56.6	Lv 100 / SL 9 x35.8	Lv 100 / SL 9 x17.5	Lv 100 / SL 9 x37.3	Lv 100 / SL 9 x65.7	Lv 100 / SL 9 x43.1	Lv 100 / SL 9 x22.9

Guest Center Skill	Cool P of Cool members increased by 13%
Team P	49279 + 6412 (center skill) + 6412 (guest center skill) = 62103
Estimated non-skill score (AP)	777 (base note score) x 346.1 (total multiplier) = 268924
Estimated average score	268924 (non-skill score) + 68450 (average skill score) = 337374
Estimated maximum score	268924 (non-skill score) + 217967 (maximum skill score) = 486891
Score from 1000 simulations	Average: 269108 (non-skill score) + 68094 (skills score) = 337202 Percentile 10: 269108 (non-skill score) + 56085 (skills score) = 325193 Percentile 50: 269108 (non-skill score) + 67704 (skills score) = 336812 Percentile 90: 269108 (non-skill score) + 80514 (skills score) = 349622 Percentile 95: 269108 (non-skill score) + 83745 (skills score) = 352853 Percentile 99: 269108 (non-skill score) + 90710 (skills score) = 359818 Percentile 99.5: 269108 (non-skill score) + 92965 (skills score) = 362073

Center

Ren Hazuki

Center Skill	Cool P of Cool members increased by 13%
Stats	Level 100	3954 3985 5607
Skill	Level 9	Every 18 PERFECTs, there is a 41% chance of increasing the score of each note by 163 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 777 (base note score) x 346.1 (total multiplier) = 30594
Estimated skill score	163 x 20.9% (average note coverage for AP) x 253 = 8633 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	163 x 20.8% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 253 = 8602
Estimated total score	30594 (estimated non-skill score) + 8633 (estimated skill score) = 39227

Left4

Kinako Sakurakoji

Stats	Level 100	4036 3908 5602
Skill	Level 9	Every 27 combo, there is a 37% chance of increasing the score of each note by 249 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 777 (base note score) x 346.1 (total multiplier) = 30572
Estimated skill score	249 x 11.1% (average note coverage for AP) x 253 = 7002 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	249 x 11% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 253 = 6831
Estimated total score	30572 (estimated non-skill score) + 7002 (estimated skill score) = 37574

Left3

Maki Nishikino

Stats	Level 100	3940 3944 5506
Skill	Level 9	Every 28 combo, there is a 30% chance of increasing the score of each note by 314 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 777 (base note score) x 346.1 (total multiplier) = 30044
Estimated skill score	314 x 8.9% (average note coverage for AP) x 253 = 7065 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	314 x 9.1% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 253 = 7084
Estimated total score	30044 (estimated non-skill score) + 7065 (estimated skill score) = 37109

Left2

Kotori Minami

Stats	Level 100	4001 3846 5543
Skill	Level 9	Every 15 PERFECTs, there is a 19% chance of increasing the score of each note by 289 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 777 (base note score) x 346.1 (total multiplier) = 30247
Estimated skill score	289 x 11.3% (average note coverage for AP) x 253 = 8260 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	289 x 10.9% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 253 = 7843
Estimated total score	30247 (estimated non-skill score) + 8260 (estimated skill score) = 38507

Left1

Nozomi Tojo

Stats	Level 100	4021 3769 5262
Skill	Level 9	Every 4.2 seconds, there is a 35.6% chance of increasing the score of each note by 111 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 777 (base note score) x 346.1 (total multiplier) = 28719
Estimated skill score	111 x 33.3% (average note coverage for AP) x 253 = 9365 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	111 x 33.1% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 253 = 9361
Estimated total score	28719 (estimated non-skill score) + 9365 (estimated skill score) = 38084

Right1

Eli Ayase

Stats	Level 100	3954 3776 5270
Skill	Level 9	Every 6.2 seconds, there is a 38.6% chance of increasing the score of each note by 138 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 777 (base note score) x 346.1 (total multiplier) = 28762
Estimated skill score	138 x 24.6% (average note coverage for AP) x 253 = 8576 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	138 x 24.2% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 253 = 8349
Estimated total score	28762 (estimated non-skill score) + 8576 (estimated skill score) = 37338

Right2

Umi Sonoda

Stats	Level 100	3967 3985 5594
Skill	Level 9	Every 13 notes, there is a 38% chance of increasing the score of each note by 116 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 777 (base note score) x 346.1 (total multiplier) = 30529
Estimated skill score	116 x 26.4% (average note coverage for AP) x 253 = 7740 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	116 x 26.6% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 253 = 7843
Estimated total score	30529 (estimated non-skill score) + 7740 (estimated skill score) = 38268

Right3

Kotori Minami

Stats	Level 100	4030 3685 5285
Skill	Level 9	Every 22 combo, there is a 39% chance of increasing the score of each note by 129 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 777 (base note score) x 346.1 (total multiplier) = 28844
Estimated skill score	129 x 14.8% (average note coverage for AP) x 253 = 4830 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	129 x 14.9% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 253 = 4807
Estimated total score	28844 (estimated non-skill score) + 4830 (estimated skill score) = 33674

Right4

Mei Yoneme

Stats	Level 100	3780 4156 5610
Skill	Level 9	Every 15 notes, there is a 22% chance of increasing the score of each note by 211 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 777 (base note score) x 346.1 (total multiplier) = 30615
Estimated skill score	211 x 13.1% (average note coverage for AP) x 253 = 6979 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	211 x 13.1% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 253 = 7084
Estimated total score	30615 (estimated non-skill score) + 6979 (estimated skill score) = 37594