Silent tonight

This tool calculates the teams with the highest All-Perfect average or maximum scores for this song and difficulty. The non-skill score depends on the base score and should stay the same across all plays, while the skill-based score depends on how lucky you are with the skill activation rolls.

While after the latest revisions the estimated/simulated scores seem close to the actual ones, the formulas/algorithms are still incomplete and the scores should be a little bit lower than the ones from the game.

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This team was generated using all the cards in the game.

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Left4	Left3	Left2	Left1	Center	Right1	Right2	Right3	Right4
Lv 100 / SL 9 x35.4	Lv 100 / SL 7 x55.2	Lv 100 / SL 9 x44.9	Lv 100 / SL 9 x34.3	Lv 100 / SL 9 x9.7	Lv 100 / SL 7 x39.3	Lv 100 / SL 9 x46	Lv 100 / SL 9 x53.5	Lv 100 / SL 9 x44.3

Guest Center Skill	Pure P of Pure members increased by 13%
Team P	49761 + 6474 (center skill) + 6474 (guest center skill) = 62709
Estimated non-skill score (AP)	784 (base note score) x 362.6 (total multiplier) = 284298
Estimated average score	284298 (non-skill score) + 81604 (average skill score) = 365902
Estimated maximum score	284298 (non-skill score) + 250158 (maximum skill score) = 534456
Score from 1000 simulations	Average: 284367 (non-skill score) + 82575 (skills score) = 366942 Percentile 10: 284367 (non-skill score) + 67487 (skills score) = 351854 Percentile 50: 284367 (non-skill score) + 82980 (skills score) = 367347 Percentile 90: 284367 (non-skill score) + 97082 (skills score) = 381449 Percentile 95: 284367 (non-skill score) + 101313 (skills score) = 385680 Percentile 99: 284367 (non-skill score) + 109532 (skills score) = 393899 Percentile 99.5: 284367 (non-skill score) + 111605 (skills score) = 395972

Center

Yoshiko Tsushima

Center Skill	Pure P of Pure members increased by 13%
Stats	Level 100	3916 5587 3965
Skill	Level 9	Every 21 combo, there is a 47% chance of increasing the score of each note by 159 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 784 (base note score) x 362.6 (total multiplier) = 31921
Estimated skill score	159 x 20.6% (average note coverage for AP) x 269 = 8818 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	159 x 21.1% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 269 = 9146
Estimated total score	31921 (estimated non-skill score) + 8818 (estimated skill score) = 40739

Left4

Rin Hoshizora

Stats	Level 100	3853 5442 3939
Skill	Level 9	Every 15.2 seconds, there is a 58% chance of increasing the score of each note by 217 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 784 (base note score) x 362.6 (total multiplier) = 31092
Estimated skill score	217 x 16.6% (average note coverage for AP) x 269 = 9691 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	217 x 16.7% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 269 = 9684
Estimated total score	31092 (estimated non-skill score) + 9691 (estimated skill score) = 40783

Left3

Nico Yazawa

Stats	Level 100	3756 5474 4082
Skill	Level 7	Every 25 notes, there is a 27% chance of increasing the score of each note by 262 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 784 (base note score) x 362.6 (total multiplier) = 31273
Estimated skill score	262 x 11.3% (average note coverage for AP) x 269 = 7994 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	262 x 11.5% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 269 = 8070
Estimated total score	31273 (estimated non-skill score) + 7994 (estimated skill score) = 39267

Left2

Riko Sakurauchi

Stats	Level 100	3920 5572 3976
Skill	Level 9	Every 15 PERFECTs, there is a 19% chance of increasing the score of each note by 289 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 784 (base note score) x 362.6 (total multiplier) = 31835
Estimated skill score	289 x 12.9% (average note coverage for AP) x 269 = 9994 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	289 x 13.1% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 269 = 10222
Estimated total score	31835 (estimated non-skill score) + 9994 (estimated skill score) = 41829

Left1

Margarete Wien

Stats	Level 100	3878 5547 3965
Skill	Level 9	Every 13 notes, there is a 38% chance of increasing the score of each note by 116 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 784 (base note score) x 362.6 (total multiplier) = 31695
Estimated skill score	116 x 28.9% (average note coverage for AP) x 269 = 9030 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	116 x 28.9% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 269 = 9146
Estimated total score	31695 (estimated non-skill score) + 9030 (estimated skill score) = 40725

Right1

Emma Verde

Stats	Level 100	3770 5576 4122
Skill	Level 7	Every 25 PERFECTs, there is a 40% chance of increasing the score of each note by 206 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 784 (base note score) x 362.6 (total multiplier) = 31853
Estimated skill score	206 x 16.8% (average note coverage for AP) x 269 = 9311 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	206 x 16.5% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 269 = 9146
Estimated total score	31853 (estimated non-skill score) + 9311 (estimated skill score) = 41164

Right2

Lanzhu Zhong

Stats	Level 100	4116 5565 3787
Skill	Level 9	Every 11.2 seconds, there is a 37% chance of increasing the score of each note by 317 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 784 (base note score) x 362.6 (total multiplier) = 31794
Estimated skill score	317 x 12.2% (average note coverage for AP) x 269 = 10439 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	317 x 12.7% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 269 = 10760
Estimated total score	31794 (estimated non-skill score) + 10439 (estimated skill score) = 42233

Right3

Maki Nishikino

Stats	Level 100	4023 5379 3728
Skill	Level 9	Every 22 PERFECTs, there is a 39% chance of increasing the score of each note by 140 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 784 (base note score) x 362.6 (total multiplier) = 30733
Estimated skill score	140 x 17.5% (average note coverage for AP) x 269 = 6607 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	140 x 17.9% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 269 = 6725
Estimated total score	30733 (estimated non-skill score) + 6607 (estimated skill score) = 37340

Right4

You Watanabe

Stats	Level 100	4045 5619 3882
Skill	Level 9	Every 16 PERFECTs, there is a 24% chance of increasing the score of each note by 244 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 784 (base note score) x 362.6 (total multiplier) = 32103
Estimated skill score	244 x 14.8% (average note coverage for AP) x 269 = 9721 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	244 x 14.8% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 269 = 9684
Estimated total score	32103 (estimated non-skill score) + 9721 (estimated skill score) = 41824