Silent tonight

This tool calculates the teams with the highest All-Perfect average or maximum scores for this song and difficulty. The non-skill score depends on the base score and should stay the same across all plays, while the skill-based score depends on how lucky you are with the skill activation rolls.

While after the latest revisions the estimated/simulated scores seem close to the actual ones, the formulas/algorithms are still incomplete and the scores should be a little bit lower than the ones from the game.

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This team was generated using all the cards in the game.

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Left4	Left3	Left2	Left1	Center	Right1	Right2	Right3	Right4
Lv 100 / SL 9 x32.2	Lv 100 / SL 9 x50.2	Lv 100 / SL 9 x40.9	Lv 100 / SL 9 x31.2	Lv 100 / SL 9 x9.7	Lv 100 / SL 9 x35.7	Lv 100 / SL 9 x41.8	Lv 100 / SL 9 x48.6	Lv 100 / SL 9 x40.3

Guest Center Skill	Pure P increased by 10%
Team P	40058 + 4010 (center skill) + 4010 (guest center skill) = 48078
Estimated non-skill score (AP)	601 (base note score) x 330.5 (total multiplier) = 198657
Estimated average score	198657 (non-skill score) + 83369 (average skill score) = 282026
Estimated maximum score	198657 (non-skill score) + 441396 (maximum skill score) = 640053
Score from 1000 simulations	Average: 198846 (non-skill score) + 83582 (skills score) = 282428 Percentile 10: 198846 (non-skill score) + 64888 (skills score) = 263734 Percentile 50: 198846 (non-skill score) + 83047 (skills score) = 281893 Percentile 90: 198846 (non-skill score) + 103194 (skills score) = 302040 Percentile 95: 198846 (non-skill score) + 108621 (skills score) = 307467 Percentile 99: 198846 (non-skill score) + 118346 (skills score) = 317192 Percentile 99.5: 198846 (non-skill score) + 120355 (skills score) = 319201

Center

You Watanabe

Center Skill	Pure P increased by 10%
Stats	Level 100	4045 5619 3882
Skill	Level 9	Every 16 PERFECTs, there is a 24% chance of increasing the score of each note by 244 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 601 (base note score) x 330.5 (total multiplier) = 27862
Estimated skill score	244 x 14.8% (average note coverage for AP) x 269 = 9721 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	244 x 14.8% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 269 = 9684
Estimated total score	27862 (estimated non-skill score) + 9721 (estimated skill score) = 37583

Left4

Chisato Arashi

Stats	Level 100	4020 3861 5587
Skill	Level 9	Every 19 notes, there is a 17% chance of increasing the score of each note by 332 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 601 (base note score) x 330.5 (total multiplier) = 19152
Estimated skill score	332 x 9% (average note coverage for AP) x 269 = 8014 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	332 x 8.9% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 269 = 8070
Estimated total score	19152 (estimated non-skill score) + 8014 (estimated skill score) = 27166

Left3

Riko Sakurauchi

Stats	Level 100	3920 5572 3976
Skill	Level 9	Every 15 PERFECTs, there is a 19% chance of increasing the score of each note by 289 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 601 (base note score) x 330.5 (total multiplier) = 27635
Estimated skill score	289 x 12.9% (average note coverage for AP) x 269 = 9994 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	289 x 13% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 269 = 10222
Estimated total score	27635 (estimated non-skill score) + 9994 (estimated skill score) = 37628

Left2

Kanan Matsuura

Stats	Level 100	3988 3903 5577
Skill	Level 9	Every 15 PERFECTs, there is a 19% chance of increasing the score of each note by 289 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 601 (base note score) x 330.5 (total multiplier) = 19358
Estimated skill score	289 x 12.9% (average note coverage for AP) x 269 = 9994 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	289 x 13% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 269 = 10222
Estimated total score	19358 (estimated non-skill score) + 9994 (estimated skill score) = 29352

Left1

Kasumi Nakasu

Stats	Level 100	3955 3899 5536
Skill	Level 9	Every 19 PERFECTs, there is a 21% chance of increasing the score of each note by 317 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 601 (base note score) x 330.5 (total multiplier) = 19334
Estimated skill score	317 x 11.1% (average note coverage for AP) x 269 = 9453 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	317 x 11.1% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 269 = 9415
Estimated total score	19334 (estimated non-skill score) + 9453 (estimated skill score) = 28786

Right1

Ayumu Uehara

Stats	Level 100	5610 3926 4010
Skill	Level 9	Every 19 notes, there is a 17% chance of increasing the score of each note by 332 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 601 (base note score) x 330.5 (total multiplier) = 19470
Estimated skill score	332 x 9% (average note coverage for AP) x 269 = 8014 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	332 x 9% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 269 = 8070
Estimated total score	19470 (estimated non-skill score) + 8014 (estimated skill score) = 27484

Right2

Ai Miyashita

Stats	Level 100	3850 3949 5435
Skill	Level 9	Every 15 PERFECTs, there is a 19% chance of increasing the score of each note by 289 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 601 (base note score) x 330.5 (total multiplier) = 19581
Estimated skill score	289 x 12.9% (average note coverage for AP) x 269 = 9994 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	289 x 12.8% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 269 = 9953
Estimated total score	19581 (estimated non-skill score) + 9994 (estimated skill score) = 29575

Right3

Keke Tang

Stats	Level 100	3871 5483 3958
Skill	Level 9	Every 17 notes, there is a 16% chance of increasing the score of each note by 318 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 601 (base note score) x 330.5 (total multiplier) = 27193
Estimated skill score	318 x 9.6% (average note coverage for AP) x 269 = 8192 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	318 x 9.4% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 269 = 8070
Estimated total score	27193 (estimated non-skill score) + 8192 (estimated skill score) = 35384

Right4

Kotori Minami

Stats	Level 100	4001 3846 5543
Skill	Level 9	Every 15 PERFECTs, there is a 19% chance of increasing the score of each note by 289 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 601 (base note score) x 330.5 (total multiplier) = 19073
Estimated skill score	289 x 12.9% (average note coverage for AP) x 269 = 9994 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	289 x 13% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 269 = 10222
Estimated total score	19073 (estimated non-skill score) + 9994 (estimated skill score) = 29067