Silent tonight

This tool calculates the teams with the highest All-Perfect average or maximum scores for this song and difficulty. The non-skill score depends on the base score and should stay the same across all plays, while the skill-based score depends on how lucky you are with the skill activation rolls.

While after the latest revisions the estimated/simulated scores seem close to the actual ones, the formulas/algorithms are still incomplete and the scores should be a little bit lower than the ones from the game.

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This team was generated using all the cards in the game.

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Left4	Left3	Left2	Left1	Center	Right1	Right2	Right3	Right4
Lv 100 / SL 9 x46.2	Lv 100 / SL 9 x58.6	Lv 100 / SL 9 x74.9	Lv 100 / SL 9 x49.8	Lv 100 / SL 9 x14	Lv 100 / SL 9 x52.7	Lv 100 / SL 9 x79.4	Lv 100 / SL 9 x63.3	Lv 100 / SL 9 x36.9

Guest Center Skill	Pure P increased by 10%
Team P	40058 + 4010 (center skill) + 4010 (guest center skill) = 48078
Estimated non-skill score (AP)	601 (base note score) x 475.8 (total multiplier) = 285942
Estimated average score	285942 (non-skill score) + 159293 (average skill score) = 445235
Estimated maximum score	285942 (non-skill score) + 814043 (maximum skill score) = 1099985
Score from 1000 simulations	Average: 286211 (non-skill score) + 158549 (skills score) = 444760 Percentile 10: 286211 (non-skill score) + 128988 (skills score) = 415199 Percentile 50: 286211 (non-skill score) + 157225 (skills score) = 443436 Percentile 90: 286211 (non-skill score) + 191075 (skills score) = 477286 Percentile 95: 286211 (non-skill score) + 198589 (skills score) = 484800 Percentile 99: 286211 (non-skill score) + 213860 (skills score) = 500071 Percentile 99.5: 286211 (non-skill score) + 219541 (skills score) = 505752

Center

You Watanabe

Center Skill	Pure P increased by 10%
Stats	Level 100	4045 5619 3882
Skill	Level 9	Every 16 PERFECTs, there is a 24% chance of increasing the score of each note by 244 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 601 (base note score) x 475.8 (total multiplier) = 40104
Estimated skill score	244 x 20.7% (average note coverage for AP) x 380 = 19158 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	244 x 20.5% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 380 = 19000
Estimated total score	40104 (estimated non-skill score) + 19158 (estimated skill score) = 59262

Left4

Chisato Arashi

Stats	Level 100	4020 3861 5587
Skill	Level 9	Every 19 notes, there is a 17% chance of increasing the score of each note by 332 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 601 (base note score) x 475.8 (total multiplier) = 27567
Estimated skill score	332 x 12.1% (average note coverage for AP) x 380 = 15295 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	332 x 12.5% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 380 = 15580
Estimated total score	27567 (estimated non-skill score) + 15295 (estimated skill score) = 42862

Left3

Kanan Matsuura

Stats	Level 100	3988 3903 5577
Skill	Level 9	Every 15 PERFECTs, there is a 19% chance of increasing the score of each note by 289 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 601 (base note score) x 475.8 (total multiplier) = 27864
Estimated skill score	289 x 17.2% (average note coverage for AP) x 380 = 18937 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	289 x 17.3% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 380 = 19000
Estimated total score	27864 (estimated non-skill score) + 18937 (estimated skill score) = 46801

Left2

Riko Sakurauchi

Stats	Level 100	3920 5572 3976
Skill	Level 9	Every 15 PERFECTs, there is a 19% chance of increasing the score of each note by 289 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 601 (base note score) x 475.8 (total multiplier) = 39777
Estimated skill score	289 x 17.2% (average note coverage for AP) x 380 = 18937 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	289 x 16.9% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 380 = 18620
Estimated total score	39777 (estimated non-skill score) + 18937 (estimated skill score) = 58713

Left1

Ayumu Uehara

Stats	Level 100	5610 3926 4010
Skill	Level 9	Every 19 notes, there is a 17% chance of increasing the score of each note by 332 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 601 (base note score) x 475.8 (total multiplier) = 28024
Estimated skill score	332 x 12.1% (average note coverage for AP) x 380 = 15295 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	332 x 11.9% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 380 = 14820
Estimated total score	28024 (estimated non-skill score) + 15295 (estimated skill score) = 43320

Right1

Kotori Minami

Stats	Level 100	4001 3846 5543
Skill	Level 9	Every 15 PERFECTs, there is a 19% chance of increasing the score of each note by 289 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 601 (base note score) x 475.8 (total multiplier) = 27454
Estimated skill score	289 x 17.2% (average note coverage for AP) x 380 = 18937 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	289 x 16.9% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 380 = 18620
Estimated total score	27454 (estimated non-skill score) + 18937 (estimated skill score) = 46390

Right2

Keke Tang

Stats	Level 100	3871 5483 3958
Skill	Level 9	Every 17 notes, there is a 16% chance of increasing the score of each note by 318 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 601 (base note score) x 475.8 (total multiplier) = 39140
Estimated skill score	318 x 13% (average note coverage for AP) x 380 = 15757 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	318 x 13.3% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 380 = 15960
Estimated total score	39140 (estimated non-skill score) + 15757 (estimated skill score) = 54897

Right3

Ai Miyashita

Stats	Level 100	3850 3949 5435
Skill	Level 9	Every 15 PERFECTs, there is a 19% chance of increasing the score of each note by 289 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 601 (base note score) x 475.8 (total multiplier) = 28185
Estimated skill score	289 x 17.2% (average note coverage for AP) x 380 = 18937 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	289 x 17.3% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 380 = 19000
Estimated total score	28185 (estimated non-skill score) + 18937 (estimated skill score) = 47122

Right4

Kasumi Nakasu

Stats	Level 100	3955 3899 5536
Skill	Level 9	Every 19 PERFECTs, there is a 21% chance of increasing the score of each note by 317 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 601 (base note score) x 475.8 (total multiplier) = 27828
Estimated skill score	317 x 15% (average note coverage for AP) x 380 = 18040 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	317 x 14.7% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 380 = 17860
Estimated total score	27828 (estimated non-skill score) + 18040 (estimated skill score) = 45869