Silent tonight

This tool calculates the teams with the highest All-Perfect average or maximum scores for this song and difficulty. The non-skill score depends on the base score and should stay the same across all plays, while the skill-based score depends on how lucky you are with the skill activation rolls.

While after the latest revisions the estimated/simulated scores seem close to the actual ones, the formulas/algorithms are still incomplete and the scores should be a little bit lower than the ones from the game.

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This team was generated using all the cards in the game.

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Left4	Left3	Left2	Left1	Center	Right1	Right2	Right3	Right4
Lv 100 / SL 9 x50.8	Lv 100 / SL 9 x70.9	Lv 100 / SL 9 x82.4	Lv 100 / SL 9 x54.8	Lv 100 / SL 9 x14	Lv 100 / SL 9 x58	Lv 100 / SL 9 x87.3	Lv 100 / SL 9 x76.6	Lv 100 / SL 9 x40.6

Guest Center Skill	Pure P of Pure members increased by 13%
Team P	49418 + 6429 (center skill) + 6429 (guest center skill) = 62276
Estimated non-skill score (AP)	779 (base note score) x 535.4 (total multiplier) = 417046
Estimated average score	417046 (non-skill score) + 133382 (average skill score) = 550428
Estimated maximum score	417046 (non-skill score) + 394113 (maximum skill score) = 811159
Score from 1000 simulations	Average: 417259 (non-skill score) + 133221 (skills score) = 550480 Percentile 10: 417259 (non-skill score) + 111391 (skills score) = 528650 Percentile 50: 417259 (non-skill score) + 133105 (skills score) = 550364 Percentile 90: 417259 (non-skill score) + 154725 (skills score) = 571984 Percentile 95: 417259 (non-skill score) + 159992 (skills score) = 577251 Percentile 99: 417259 (non-skill score) + 172831 (skills score) = 590090 Percentile 99.5: 417259 (non-skill score) + 174889 (skills score) = 592148

Center

Yoshiko Tsushima

Center Skill	Pure P of Pure members increased by 13%
Stats	Level 100	3916 5587 3965
Skill	Level 9	Every 21 combo, there is a 47% chance of increasing the score of each note by 159 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 779 (base note score) x 535.4 (total multiplier) = 47152
Estimated skill score	159 x 26.5% (average note coverage for AP) x 380 = 15992 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	159 x 26.2% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 380 = 15960
Estimated total score	47152 (estimated non-skill score) + 15992 (estimated skill score) = 63144

Left4

Shizuku Osaka

Stats	Level 100	3838 5578 4052
Skill	Level 9	Every 24 combo, there is a 35% chance of increasing the score of each note by 234 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 779 (base note score) x 535.4 (total multiplier) = 47078
Estimated skill score	234 x 17.5% (average note coverage for AP) x 380 = 15561 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	234 x 17.7% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 380 = 15580
Estimated total score	47078 (estimated non-skill score) + 15561 (estimated skill score) = 62639

Left3

Nico Yazawa

Stats	Level 100	3754 5235 4011
Skill	Level 9	Every 26 combo, there is a 47% chance of increasing the score of each note by 125 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 779 (base note score) x 535.4 (total multiplier) = 44178
Estimated skill score	125 x 22.1% (average note coverage for AP) x 380 = 10516 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	125 x 21.7% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 380 = 10260
Estimated total score	44178 (estimated non-skill score) + 10516 (estimated skill score) = 54695

Left2

Maki Nishikino

Stats	Level 100	4023 5379 3728
Skill	Level 9	Every 22 PERFECTs, there is a 39% chance of increasing the score of each note by 140 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 779 (base note score) x 535.4 (total multiplier) = 45397
Estimated skill score	140 x 24.4% (average note coverage for AP) x 380 = 12995 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	140 x 24.7% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 380 = 13300
Estimated total score	45397 (estimated non-skill score) + 12995 (estimated skill score) = 58392

Left1

Hanamaru Kunikida

Stats	Level 100	4100 5594 3852
Skill	Level 9	Every 25 combo, there is a 27% chance of increasing the score of each note by 311 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 779 (base note score) x 535.4 (total multiplier) = 47212
Estimated skill score	311 x 12.9% (average note coverage for AP) x 380 = 15283 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	311 x 12.8% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 380 = 15200
Estimated total score	47212 (estimated non-skill score) + 15283 (estimated skill score) = 62495

Right1

You Watanabe

Stats	Level 100	4045 5619 3882
Skill	Level 9	Every 16 PERFECTs, there is a 24% chance of increasing the score of each note by 244 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 779 (base note score) x 535.4 (total multiplier) = 47420
Estimated skill score	244 x 20.7% (average note coverage for AP) x 380 = 19158 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	244 x 20.7% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 380 = 19000
Estimated total score	47420 (estimated non-skill score) + 19158 (estimated skill score) = 66578

Right2

Nico Yazawa

Stats	Level 100	3756 5474 4082
Skill	Level 9	Every 24 notes, there is a 27% chance of increasing the score of each note by 266 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 779 (base note score) x 535.4 (total multiplier) = 46194
Estimated skill score	266 x 15.3% (average note coverage for AP) x 380 = 15441 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	266 x 15.1% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 380 = 15200
Estimated total score	46194 (estimated non-skill score) + 15441 (estimated skill score) = 61635

Right3

Eli Ayase

Stats	Level 100	3771 5376 4009
Skill	Level 9	Every 24 combo, there is a 43% chance of increasing the score of each note by 127 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 779 (base note score) x 535.4 (total multiplier) = 45364
Estimated skill score	127 x 21.5% (average note coverage for AP) x 380 = 10376 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	127 x 21.9% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 380 = 10640
Estimated total score	45364 (estimated non-skill score) + 10376 (estimated skill score) = 55740

Right4

Emma Verde

Stats	Level 100	3770 5576 4122
Skill	Level 9	Every 24 PERFECTs, there is a 40% chance of increasing the score of each note by 210 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 779 (base note score) x 535.4 (total multiplier) = 47051
Estimated skill score	210 x 22.6% (average note coverage for AP) x 380 = 18060 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	210 x 22.6% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 380 = 18240
Estimated total score	47051 (estimated non-skill score) + 18060 (estimated skill score) = 65111