New winding road

This tool calculates the teams with the highest All-Perfect average or maximum scores for this song and difficulty. The non-skill score depends on the base score and should stay the same across all plays, while the skill-based score depends on how lucky you are with the skill activation rolls.

While after the latest revisions the estimated/simulated scores seem close to the actual ones, the formulas/algorithms are still incomplete and the scores should be a little bit lower than the ones from the game.

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This team was generated using all the cards in the game.

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Left4	Left3	Left2	Left1	Center	Right1	Right2	Right3	Right4
Lv 100 / SL 9 x18	Lv 100 / SL 9 x33.7	Lv 100 / SL 9 x29.2	Lv 100 / SL 9 x39.9	Lv 100 / SL 7 x23.9	Lv 100 / SL 9 x36	Lv 100 / SL 9 x26.5	Lv 100 / SL 9 x33.9	Lv 100 / SL 9 x18.9

Guest Center Skill	Smile P increased by 10%
Team P	41681 + 4171 (center skill) + 4171 (guest center skill) = 50023
Estimated non-skill score (AP)	626 (base note score) x 260 (total multiplier) = 162772
Estimated average score	162772 (non-skill score) + 49373 (average skill score) = 212145
Estimated maximum score	162772 (non-skill score) + 221838 (maximum skill score) = 384610
Score from 1000 simulations	Average: 162829 (non-skill score) + 49673 (skills score) = 212502 Percentile 10: 162829 (non-skill score) + 38192 (skills score) = 201021 Percentile 50: 162829 (non-skill score) + 49307 (skills score) = 212136 Percentile 90: 162829 (non-skill score) + 61728 (skills score) = 224557 Percentile 95: 162829 (non-skill score) + 65539 (skills score) = 228368 Percentile 99: 162829 (non-skill score) + 71018 (skills score) = 233847 Percentile 99.5: 162829 (non-skill score) + 73611 (skills score) = 236440

Center

Ayumu Uehara

Center Skill	Smile P increased by 10%
Stats	Level 100	5610 3926 4010
Skill	Level 7	Every 20 notes, there is a 17% chance of increasing the score of each note by 328 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 626 (base note score) x 260 (total multiplier) = 21906
Estimated skill score	328 x 6.5% (average note coverage for AP) x 204 = 4349 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	328 x 6.3% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 204 = 4284
Estimated total score	21906 (estimated non-skill score) + 4349 (estimated skill score) = 26255

Left4

Keke Tang

Stats	Level 100	3871 5483 3958
Skill	Level 9	Every 17 notes, there is a 16% chance of increasing the score of each note by 318 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 626 (base note score) x 260 (total multiplier) = 15121
Estimated skill score	318 x 6.7% (average note coverage for AP) x 204 = 4376 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	318 x 6.7% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 204 = 4284
Estimated total score	15121 (estimated non-skill score) + 4376 (estimated skill score) = 19497

Left3

Kanata Konoe

Stats	Level 100	5486 3834 3992
Skill	Level 9	Every 8.2 seconds, there is a 46% chance of increasing the score of each note by 197 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 626 (base note score) x 260 (total multiplier) = 21424
Estimated skill score	197 x 23% (average note coverage for AP) x 204 = 9243 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	197 x 23.6% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 204 = 9384
Estimated total score	21424 (estimated non-skill score) + 9243 (estimated skill score) = 30667

Left2

Kinako Sakurakoji

Stats	Level 100	5428 4014 3792
Skill	Level 9	Every 20 PERFECTs, there is a 28% chance of increasing the score of each note by 252 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 626 (base note score) x 260 (total multiplier) = 21196
Estimated skill score	252 x 10.7% (average note coverage for AP) x 204 = 5504 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	252 x 10.8% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 204 = 5508
Estimated total score	21196 (estimated non-skill score) + 5504 (estimated skill score) = 26700

Left1

You Watanabe

Stats	Level 100	5527 3737 4126
Skill	Level 9	Every 24 notes, there is a 27% chance of increasing the score of each note by 266 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 626 (base note score) x 260 (total multiplier) = 21583
Estimated skill score	266 x 8.5% (average note coverage for AP) x 204 = 4596 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	266 x 8.3% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 204 = 4488
Estimated total score	21583 (estimated non-skill score) + 4596 (estimated skill score) = 26180

Right1

Kanan Matsuura

Stats	Level 100	3988 3903 5577
Skill	Level 9	Every 15 PERFECTs, there is a 19% chance of increasing the score of each note by 289 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 626 (base note score) x 260 (total multiplier) = 15573
Estimated skill score	289 x 9% (average note coverage for AP) x 204 = 5326 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	289 x 9.1% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 204 = 5304
Estimated total score	15573 (estimated non-skill score) + 5326 (estimated skill score) = 20900

Right2

Kotori Minami

Stats	Level 100	4001 3846 5543
Skill	Level 9	Every 15 PERFECTs, there is a 19% chance of increasing the score of each note by 289 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 626 (base note score) x 260 (total multiplier) = 15629
Estimated skill score	289 x 9% (average note coverage for AP) x 204 = 5326 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	289 x 9.2% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 204 = 5304
Estimated total score	15629 (estimated non-skill score) + 5326 (estimated skill score) = 20955

Right3

Riko Sakurauchi

Stats	Level 100	3920 5572 3976
Skill	Level 9	Every 15 PERFECTs, there is a 19% chance of increasing the score of each note by 289 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 626 (base note score) x 260 (total multiplier) = 15307
Estimated skill score	289 x 9% (average note coverage for AP) x 204 = 5326 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	289 x 9.2% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 204 = 5508
Estimated total score	15307 (estimated non-skill score) + 5326 (estimated skill score) = 20633

Right4

Ai Miyashita

Stats	Level 100	3850 3949 5435
Skill	Level 9	Every 15 PERFECTs, there is a 19% chance of increasing the score of each note by 289 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 626 (base note score) x 260 (total multiplier) = 15033
Estimated skill score	289 x 9% (average note coverage for AP) x 204 = 5326 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	289 x 9.1% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 204 = 5304
Estimated total score	15033 (estimated non-skill score) + 5326 (estimated skill score) = 20360