New winding road

This tool calculates the teams with the highest All-Perfect average or maximum scores for this song and difficulty. The non-skill score depends on the base score and should stay the same across all plays, while the skill-based score depends on how lucky you are with the skill activation rolls.

While after the latest revisions the estimated/simulated scores seem close to the actual ones, the formulas/algorithms are still incomplete and the scores should be a little bit lower than the ones from the game.

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This team was generated using all the cards in the game.

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Left4	Left3	Left2	Left1	Center	Right1	Right2	Right3	Right4
Lv 100 / SL 9 x19.8	Lv 100 / SL 9 x37.1	Lv 100 / SL 9 x32.1	Lv 100 / SL 9 x39.9	Lv 100 / SL 9 x26.3	Lv 100 / SL 9 x39.6	Lv 100 / SL 9 x32.1	Lv 100 / SL 9 x37.3	Lv 100 / SL 9 x20.8

Guest Center Skill	Smile P of Smile members increased by 13%
Team P	48655 + 6330 (center skill) + 6330 (guest center skill) = 61315
Estimated non-skill score (AP)	767 (base note score) x 284.9 (total multiplier) = 218556
Estimated average score	218556 (non-skill score) + 33760 (average skill score) = 252316
Estimated maximum score	218556 (non-skill score) + 112810 (maximum skill score) = 331366
Score from 1000 simulations	Average: 218697 (non-skill score) + 33589 (skills score) = 252286 Percentile 10: 218697 (non-skill score) + 25628 (skills score) = 244325 Percentile 50: 218697 (non-skill score) + 33385 (skills score) = 252082 Percentile 90: 218697 (non-skill score) + 41122 (skills score) = 259819 Percentile 95: 218697 (non-skill score) + 43329 (skills score) = 262026 Percentile 99: 218697 (non-skill score) + 46817 (skills score) = 265514 Percentile 99.5: 218697 (non-skill score) + 48391 (skills score) = 267088

Center

You Watanabe

Center Skill	Smile P of Smile members increased by 13%
Stats	Level 100	5527 3737 4126
Skill	Level 9	Every 24 notes, there is a 27% chance of increasing the score of each note by 266 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 767 (base note score) x 284.9 (total multiplier) = 24827
Estimated skill score	266 x 8.5% (average note coverage for AP) x 204 = 4596 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	266 x 8.3% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 204 = 4488
Estimated total score	24827 (estimated non-skill score) + 4596 (estimated skill score) = 29423

Left4

Maki Nishikino

Stats	Level 100	5599 4007 3940
Skill	Level 9	Every 22 notes, there is a 34% chance of increasing the score of each note by 198 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 767 (base note score) x 284.9 (total multiplier) = 25147
Estimated skill score	198 x 10.3% (average note coverage for AP) x 204 = 4174 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	198 x 10.2% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 204 = 4080
Estimated total score	25147 (estimated non-skill score) + 4174 (estimated skill score) = 29321

Left3

Mari Ohara

Stats	Level 100	5251 3984 3817
Skill	Level 9	Every 17 combo, there is a 31% chance of increasing the score of each note by 129 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 767 (base note score) x 284.9 (total multiplier) = 23586
Estimated skill score	129 x 11.9% (average note coverage for AP) x 204 = 3119 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	129 x 12.1% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 204 = 3264
Estimated total score	23586 (estimated non-skill score) + 3119 (estimated skill score) = 26705

Left2

Dia Kurosawa

Stats	Level 100	5226 3973 3853
Skill	Level 9	Every 18 notes, there is a 29% chance of increasing the score of each note by 124 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 767 (base note score) x 284.9 (total multiplier) = 23476
Estimated skill score	124 x 11.8% (average note coverage for AP) x 204 = 2985 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	124 x 11.8% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 204 = 3060
Estimated total score	23476 (estimated non-skill score) + 2985 (estimated skill score) = 26460

Left1

Ruby Kurosawa

Stats	Level 100	5529 4082 3779
Skill	Level 9	Every 24 PERFECTs, there is a 40% chance of increasing the score of each note by 210 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 767 (base note score) x 284.9 (total multiplier) = 24834
Estimated skill score	210 x 12.5% (average note coverage for AP) x 204 = 5376 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	210 x 12.3% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 204 = 5304
Estimated total score	24834 (estimated non-skill score) + 5376 (estimated skill score) = 30210

Right1

Riko Sakurauchi

Stats	Level 100	5379 4006 3745
Skill	Level 9	Every 7.2 seconds, there is a 39.6% chance of increasing the score of each note by 152 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 767 (base note score) x 284.9 (total multiplier) = 24164
Estimated skill score	152 x 20.8% (average note coverage for AP) x 204 = 6441 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	152 x 20.7% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 204 = 6528
Estimated total score	24164 (estimated non-skill score) + 6441 (estimated skill score) = 30604

Right2

Kanan Matsuura

Stats	Level 100	5216 3791 4045
Skill	Level 9	Every 6.2 seconds, there is a 43.6% chance of recovering 5 stamina.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 767 (base note score) x 284.9 (total multiplier) = 23433

Right3

Yoshiko Tsushima

Stats	Level 100	5318 3913 3847
Skill	Level 9	Every 21 notes, there is a 32% chance of increasing the score of each note by 128 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 767 (base note score) x 284.9 (total multiplier) = 23889
Estimated skill score	128 x 11.3% (average note coverage for AP) x 204 = 2949 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	128 x 11.4% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 204 = 3060
Estimated total score	23889 (estimated non-skill score) + 2949 (estimated skill score) = 26838

Right4

Ayumu Uehara

Stats	Level 100	5610 3926 4010
Skill	Level 9	Every 19 notes, there is a 17% chance of increasing the score of each note by 332 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 767 (base note score) x 284.9 (total multiplier) = 25201
Estimated skill score	332 x 6.1% (average note coverage for AP) x 204 = 4120 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	332 x 6.2% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 204 = 4284
Estimated total score	25201 (estimated non-skill score) + 4120 (estimated skill score) = 29321