Guilty!? Farewell party

This tool calculates the teams with the highest All-Perfect average or maximum scores for this song and difficulty. The non-skill score depends on the base score and should stay the same across all plays, while the skill-based score depends on how lucky you are with the skill activation rolls.

While after the latest revisions the estimated/simulated scores seem close to the actual ones, the formulas/algorithms are still incomplete and the scores should be a little bit lower than the ones from the game.

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This team was generated using all the cards in the game.

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Left4	Left3	Left2	Left1	Center	Right1	Right2	Right3	Right4
Lv 100 / SL 9 x128.3	Lv 100 / SL 9 x92.8	Lv 100 / SL 9 x88.8	Lv 100 / SL 9 x111.5	Lv 100 / SL 9 x38.8	Lv 100 / SL 9 x110	Lv 100 / SL 9 x96.4	Lv 100 / SL 9 x96.2	Lv 100 / SL 9 x113

Guest Center Skill	Smile P of Smile members increased by 13%
Team P	48440 + 6301 (center skill) + 6301 (guest center skill) = 61042
Estimated non-skill score (AP)	764 (base note score) x 875.7 (total multiplier) = 669021
Estimated average score	669021 (non-skill score) + 388704 (average skill score) = 1057725
Estimated maximum score	669021 (non-skill score) + 1202700 (maximum skill score) = 1871721
Score from 1000 simulations	Average: 669369 (non-skill score) + 392238 (skills score) = 1061607 Percentile 10: 669369 (non-skill score) + 347717 (skills score) = 1017086 Percentile 50: 669369 (non-skill score) + 390574 (skills score) = 1059943 Percentile 90: 669369 (non-skill score) + 439913 (skills score) = 1109282 Percentile 95: 669369 (non-skill score) + 457745 (skills score) = 1127114 Percentile 99: 669369 (non-skill score) + 479415 (skills score) = 1148784 Percentile 99.5: 669369 (non-skill score) + 483669 (skills score) = 1153038

Center

You Watanabe

Center Skill	Smile P of Smile members increased by 13%
Stats	Level 100	5527 3737 4126
Skill	Level 9	Every 24 notes, there is a 27% chance of increasing the score of each note by 266 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 764 (base note score) x 875.7 (total multiplier) = 76337
Estimated skill score	266 x 25.7% (average note coverage for AP) x 633 = 43261 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	266 x 25.7% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 633 = 43044
Estimated total score	76337 (estimated non-skill score) + 43261 (estimated skill score) = 119598

Left4

Mari Ohara

Stats	Level 100	5251 3984 3817
Skill	Level 9	Every 17 combo, there is a 31% chance of increasing the score of each note by 129 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 764 (base note score) x 875.7 (total multiplier) = 72522
Estimated skill score	129 x 35.5% (average note coverage for AP) x 633 = 28997 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	129 x 35.7% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 633 = 29118
Estimated total score	72522 (estimated non-skill score) + 28997 (estimated skill score) = 101519

Left3

Ayumu Uehara

Stats	Level 100	4907 3619 3824
Skill	Level 9	Every 18 PERFECTs, there is a 41% chance of increasing the score of each note by 163 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 764 (base note score) x 875.7 (total multiplier) = 67766
Estimated skill score	163 x 46.9% (average note coverage for AP) x 633 = 48424 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	163 x 47.2% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 633 = 48741
Estimated total score	67766 (estimated non-skill score) + 48424 (estimated skill score) = 116190

Left2

Eli Ayase

Stats	Level 100	5150 4075 4243
Skill	Level 9	Every 21 PERFECTs, there is a 35% chance of increasing the score of each note by 183 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 764 (base note score) x 875.7 (total multiplier) = 71131
Estimated skill score	183 x 36.4% (average note coverage for AP) x 633 = 42174 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	183 x 37% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 633 = 43044
Estimated total score	71131 (estimated non-skill score) + 42174 (estimated skill score) = 113304

Left1

Kinako Sakurakoji

Stats	Level 100	5428 4014 3792
Skill	Level 9	Every 20 PERFECTs, there is a 28% chance of increasing the score of each note by 252 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 764 (base note score) x 875.7 (total multiplier) = 74967
Estimated skill score	252 x 30.8% (average note coverage for AP) x 633 = 49172 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	252 x 31.2% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 633 = 50007
Estimated total score	74967 (estimated non-skill score) + 49172 (estimated skill score) = 124138

Right1

Maki Nishikino

Stats	Level 100	5599 4007 3940
Skill	Level 9	Every 22 notes, there is a 34% chance of increasing the score of each note by 198 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 764 (base note score) x 875.7 (total multiplier) = 77323
Estimated skill score	198 x 34.6% (average note coverage for AP) x 633 = 43389 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	198 x 34.7% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 633 = 43677
Estimated total score	77323 (estimated non-skill score) + 43389 (estimated skill score) = 120712

Right2

Ayumu Uehara

Stats	Level 100	5610 3926 4010
Skill	Level 9	Every 19 notes, there is a 17% chance of increasing the score of each note by 332 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 764 (base note score) x 875.7 (total multiplier) = 77487
Estimated skill score	332 x 19.8% (average note coverage for AP) x 633 = 41595 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	332 x 20.2% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 633 = 42411
Estimated total score	77487 (estimated non-skill score) + 41595 (estimated skill score) = 119082

Right3

Rina Tennoji

Stats	Level 100	5439 3890 3905
Skill	Level 9	Every 27 PERFECTs, there is a 24% chance of increasing the score of each note by 319 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 764 (base note score) x 875.7 (total multiplier) = 75131
Estimated skill score	319 x 20.5% (average note coverage for AP) x 633 = 41443 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	319 x 20.8% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 633 = 41778
Estimated total score	75131 (estimated non-skill score) + 41443 (estimated skill score) = 116574

Right4

Ruby Kurosawa

Stats	Level 100	5529 4082 3779
Skill	Level 9	Every 24 PERFECTs, there is a 40% chance of increasing the score of each note by 210 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 764 (base note score) x 875.7 (total multiplier) = 76358
Estimated skill score	210 x 37.8% (average note coverage for AP) x 633 = 50249 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	210 x 38% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 633 = 50640
Estimated total score	76358 (estimated non-skill score) + 50249 (estimated skill score) = 126607