Guilty!? Farewell party

This tool calculates the teams with the highest All-Perfect average or maximum scores for this song and difficulty. The non-skill score depends on the base score and should stay the same across all plays, while the skill-based score depends on how lucky you are with the skill activation rolls.

While after the latest revisions the estimated/simulated scores seem close to the actual ones, the formulas/algorithms are still incomplete and the scores should be a little bit lower than the ones from the game.

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This team was generated using all the cards in the game.

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Left4	Left3	Left2	Left1	Center	Right1	Right2	Right3	Right4
Lv 100 / SL 9 x116.6	Lv 100 / SL 9 x84.4	Lv 100 / SL 9 x80.7	Lv 100 / SL 9 x111.5	Lv 100 / SL 9 x38.8	Lv 100 / SL 9 x100	Lv 100 / SL 9 x87.7	Lv 100 / SL 9 x87.5	Lv 100 / SL 9 x113

Guest Center Skill	Smile P increased by 10%
Team P	40338 + 4037 (center skill) + 4037 (guest center skill) = 48412
Estimated non-skill score (AP)	606 (base note score) x 820 (total multiplier) = 496926
Estimated average score	496926 (non-skill score) + 407525 (average skill score) = 904451
Estimated maximum score	496926 (non-skill score) + 1653977 (maximum skill score) = 2150903
Score from 1000 simulations	Average: 497199 (non-skill score) + 405558 (skills score) = 902757 Percentile 10: 497199 (non-skill score) + 344852 (skills score) = 842051 Percentile 50: 497199 (non-skill score) + 405869 (skills score) = 903068 Percentile 90: 497199 (non-skill score) + 465193 (skills score) = 962392 Percentile 95: 497199 (non-skill score) + 484072 (skills score) = 981271 Percentile 99: 497199 (non-skill score) + 511845 (skills score) = 1009044 Percentile 99.5: 497199 (non-skill score) + 521669 (skills score) = 1018868

Center

Ayumu Uehara

Center Skill	Smile P increased by 10%
Stats	Level 100	5610 3926 4010
Skill	Level 9	Every 19 notes, there is a 17% chance of increasing the score of each note by 332 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 606 (base note score) x 820 (total multiplier) = 69101
Estimated skill score	332 x 19.8% (average note coverage for AP) x 633 = 41595 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	332 x 19.8% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 633 = 41778
Estimated total score	69101 (estimated non-skill score) + 41595 (estimated skill score) = 110695

Left4

Rina Tennoji

Stats	Level 100	5439 3890 3905
Skill	Level 9	Every 27 PERFECTs, there is a 24% chance of increasing the score of each note by 319 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 606 (base note score) x 820 (total multiplier) = 66997
Estimated skill score	319 x 20.5% (average note coverage for AP) x 633 = 41443 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	319 x 20.5% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 633 = 41145
Estimated total score	66997 (estimated non-skill score) + 41443 (estimated skill score) = 108440

Left3

Karin Asaka

Stats	Level 100	3995 5561 3912
Skill	Level 9	Every 26 PERFECTs, there is a 26% chance of increasing the score of each note by 337 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 606 (base note score) x 820 (total multiplier) = 49218
Estimated skill score	337 x 23.1% (average note coverage for AP) x 633 = 49339 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	337 x 23% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 633 = 49374
Estimated total score	49218 (estimated non-skill score) + 49339 (estimated skill score) = 98557

Left2

Kotori Minami

Stats	Level 100	4001 3846 5543
Skill	Level 9	Every 15 PERFECTs, there is a 19% chance of increasing the score of each note by 289 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 606 (base note score) x 820 (total multiplier) = 49301
Estimated skill score	289 x 27.2% (average note coverage for AP) x 633 = 49817 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	289 x 27.2% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 633 = 50007
Estimated total score	49301 (estimated non-skill score) + 49817 (estimated skill score) = 99118

Left1

You Watanabe

Stats	Level 100	5527 3737 4126
Skill	Level 9	Every 24 notes, there is a 27% chance of increasing the score of each note by 266 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 606 (base note score) x 820 (total multiplier) = 68085
Estimated skill score	266 x 25.7% (average note coverage for AP) x 633 = 43261 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	266 x 25.4% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 633 = 43044
Estimated total score	68085 (estimated non-skill score) + 43261 (estimated skill score) = 111346

Right1

Chisato Arashi

Stats	Level 100	4020 3861 5587
Skill	Level 9	Every 19 notes, there is a 17% chance of increasing the score of each note by 332 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 606 (base note score) x 820 (total multiplier) = 49516
Estimated skill score	332 x 19.8% (average note coverage for AP) x 633 = 41595 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	332 x 19.5% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 633 = 41145
Estimated total score	49516 (estimated non-skill score) + 41595 (estimated skill score) = 91111

Right2

Keke Tang

Stats	Level 100	3871 5483 3958
Skill	Level 9	Every 17 notes, there is a 16% chance of increasing the score of each note by 318 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 606 (base note score) x 820 (total multiplier) = 47699
Estimated skill score	318 x 20.9% (average note coverage for AP) x 633 = 42021 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	318 x 20.7% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 633 = 41778
Estimated total score	47699 (estimated non-skill score) + 42021 (estimated skill score) = 89720

Right3

Kasumi Nakasu

Stats	Level 100	3955 3899 5536
Skill	Level 9	Every 19 PERFECTs, there is a 21% chance of increasing the score of each note by 317 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 606 (base note score) x 820 (total multiplier) = 48726
Estimated skill score	317 x 24.2% (average note coverage for AP) x 633 = 48637 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	317 x 24.1% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 633 = 48108
Estimated total score	48726 (estimated non-skill score) + 48637 (estimated skill score) = 97362

Right4

Riko Sakurauchi

Stats	Level 100	3920 5572 3976
Skill	Level 9	Every 15 PERFECTs, there is a 19% chance of increasing the score of each note by 289 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 606 (base note score) x 820 (total multiplier) = 48284
Estimated skill score	289 x 27.2% (average note coverage for AP) x 633 = 49817 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	289 x 27.3% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 633 = 50007
Estimated total score	48284 (estimated non-skill score) + 49817 (estimated skill score) = 98102