Guilty!? Farewell party

This tool calculates the teams with the highest All-Perfect average or maximum scores for this song and difficulty. The non-skill score depends on the base score and should stay the same across all plays, while the skill-based score depends on how lucky you are with the skill activation rolls.

While after the latest revisions the estimated/simulated scores seem close to the actual ones, the formulas/algorithms are still incomplete and the scores should be a little bit lower than the ones from the game.

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This team was generated using all the cards in the game.

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Left4	Left3	Left2	Left1	Center	Right1	Right2	Right3	Right4
Lv 100 / SL 9 x128.3	Lv 100 / SL 9 x92.8	Lv 100 / SL 9 x88.8	Lv 100 / SL 9 x122.6	Lv 100 / SL 9 x38.8	Lv 100 / SL 9 x121	Lv 100 / SL 9 x96.4	Lv 100 / SL 9 x96.2	Lv 100 / SL 9 x124.3

Guest Center Skill	Smile P of Smile members increased by 13%
Team P	48858 + 6356 (center skill) + 6356 (guest center skill) = 61570
Estimated non-skill score (AP)	770 (base note score) x 909.1 (total multiplier) = 700030
Estimated average score	700030 (non-skill score) + 315849 (average skill score) = 1015879
Estimated maximum score	700030 (non-skill score) + 972735 (maximum skill score) = 1672765
Score from 1000 simulations	Average: 700372 (non-skill score) + 316639 (skills score) = 1017011 Percentile 10: 700372 (non-skill score) + 275579 (skills score) = 975951 Percentile 50: 700372 (non-skill score) + 316711 (skills score) = 1017083 Percentile 90: 700372 (non-skill score) + 356475 (skills score) = 1056847 Percentile 95: 700372 (non-skill score) + 367840 (skills score) = 1068212 Percentile 99: 700372 (non-skill score) + 385404 (skills score) = 1085776 Percentile 99.5: 700372 (non-skill score) + 399001 (skills score) = 1099373

Center

You Watanabe

Center Skill	Smile P of Smile members increased by 13%
Stats	Level 100	5527 3737 4126
Skill	Level 9	Every 24 notes, there is a 27% chance of increasing the score of each note by 266 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 770 (base note score) x 909.1 (total multiplier) = 79190
Estimated skill score	266 x 25.7% (average note coverage for AP) x 633 = 43261 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	266 x 26% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 633 = 43677
Estimated total score	79190 (estimated non-skill score) + 43261 (estimated skill score) = 122451

Left4

Riko Sakurauchi

Stats	Level 100	5379 4006 3745
Skill	Level 9	Every 7.2 seconds, there is a 39.6% chance of increasing the score of each note by 152 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 770 (base note score) x 909.1 (total multiplier) = 77075
Estimated skill score	152 x 21.5% (average note coverage for AP) x 633 = 20706 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	152 x 21.6% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 633 = 20889
Estimated total score	77075 (estimated non-skill score) + 20706 (estimated skill score) = 97781

Left3

Ruby Kurosawa

Stats	Level 100	5529 4082 3779
Skill	Level 9	Every 24 PERFECTs, there is a 40% chance of increasing the score of each note by 210 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 770 (base note score) x 909.1 (total multiplier) = 79213
Estimated skill score	210 x 37.8% (average note coverage for AP) x 633 = 50249 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	210 x 37.6% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 633 = 50007
Estimated total score	79213 (estimated non-skill score) + 50249 (estimated skill score) = 129461

Left2

Hanayo Koizumi

Stats	Level 100	5527 3821 4042
Skill	Level 9	Every 26 combo, there is a 42% chance of increasing the score of each note by 143 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 770 (base note score) x 909.1 (total multiplier) = 79190
Estimated skill score	143 x 33.8% (average note coverage for AP) x 633 = 30574 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	143 x 33.5% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 633 = 30384
Estimated total score	79190 (estimated non-skill score) + 30574 (estimated skill score) = 109764

Left1

Mari Ohara

Stats	Level 100	5251 3984 3817
Skill	Level 9	Every 17 combo, there is a 31% chance of increasing the score of each note by 129 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 770 (base note score) x 909.1 (total multiplier) = 75233
Estimated skill score	129 x 35.5% (average note coverage for AP) x 633 = 28997 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	129 x 35.7% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 633 = 29118
Estimated total score	75233 (estimated non-skill score) + 28997 (estimated skill score) = 104230

Right1

Yoshiko Tsushima

Stats	Level 100	5118 4254 4096
Skill	Level 9	Every 25 notes, there is a 29% chance of increasing the score of each note by 178 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 770 (base note score) x 909.1 (total multiplier) = 73334
Estimated skill score	178 x 26.6% (average note coverage for AP) x 633 = 29993 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	178 x 26.3% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 633 = 29751
Estimated total score	73334 (estimated non-skill score) + 29993 (estimated skill score) = 103328

Right2

Ayumu Uehara

Stats	Level 100	5610 3926 4010
Skill	Level 9	Every 19 notes, there is a 17% chance of increasing the score of each note by 332 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 770 (base note score) x 909.1 (total multiplier) = 80384
Estimated skill score	332 x 19.8% (average note coverage for AP) x 633 = 41595 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	332 x 20.1% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 633 = 42411
Estimated total score	80384 (estimated non-skill score) + 41595 (estimated skill score) = 121978

Right3

Maki Nishikino

Stats	Level 100	5599 4007 3940
Skill	Level 9	Every 22 notes, there is a 34% chance of increasing the score of each note by 198 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 770 (base note score) x 909.1 (total multiplier) = 80213
Estimated skill score	198 x 34.6% (average note coverage for AP) x 633 = 43389 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	198 x 34.7% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 633 = 43677
Estimated total score	80213 (estimated non-skill score) + 43389 (estimated skill score) = 123602

Right4

Yoshiko Tsushima

Stats	Level 100	5318 3913 3847
Skill	Level 9	Every 21 notes, there is a 32% chance of increasing the score of each note by 128 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 770 (base note score) x 909.1 (total multiplier) = 76200
Estimated skill score	128 x 33.4% (average note coverage for AP) x 633 = 27084 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	128 x 33.3% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 633 = 27219
Estimated total score	76200 (estimated non-skill score) + 27084 (estimated skill score) = 103284