Say Good-Bye 涙

This tool calculates the teams with the highest All-Perfect average or maximum scores for this song and difficulty. The non-skill score depends on the base score and should stay the same across all plays, while the skill-based score depends on how lucky you are with the skill activation rolls.

While after the latest revisions the estimated/simulated scores seem close to the actual ones, the formulas/algorithms are still incomplete and the scores should be a little bit lower than the ones from the game.

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This team was generated using all the cards in the game.

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Left4	Left3	Left2	Left1	Center	Right1	Right2	Right3	Right4
Lv 100 / SL 9 x11.7	Lv 100 / SL 9 x17.3	Lv 100 / SL 9 x38.7	Lv 100 / SL 9 x53	Lv 100 / SL 9 x0	Lv 100 / SL 7 x55.1	Lv 100 / SL 9 x28	Lv 100 / SL 9 x24	Lv 100 / SL 9 x14.3

Guest Center Skill	Smile P of Smile members increased by 13%
Team P	48465 + 6306 (center skill) + 6306 (guest center skill) = 61077
Estimated non-skill score (AP)	764 (base note score) x 242.1 (total multiplier) = 184961
Estimated average score	184961 (non-skill score) + 45675 (average skill score) = 230636
Estimated maximum score	184961 (non-skill score) + 133541 (maximum skill score) = 318502
Score from 1000 simulations	Average: 185034 (non-skill score) + 45661 (skills score) = 230695 Percentile 10: 185034 (non-skill score) + 37714 (skills score) = 222748 Percentile 50: 185034 (non-skill score) + 45348 (skills score) = 230382 Percentile 90: 185034 (non-skill score) + 53869 (skills score) = 238903 Percentile 95: 185034 (non-skill score) + 56191 (skills score) = 241225 Percentile 99: 185034 (non-skill score) + 60516 (skills score) = 245550 Percentile 99.5: 185034 (non-skill score) + 62979 (skills score) = 248013

Center

You Watanabe

Center Skill	Smile P of Smile members increased by 13%
Stats	Level 100	5527 3737 4126
Skill	Level 9	Every 24 notes, there is a 27% chance of increasing the score of each note by 266 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 764 (base note score) x 242.1 (total multiplier) = 21092
Estimated skill score	266 x 7.3% (average note coverage for AP) x 169 = 3304 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	266 x 7.3% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 169 = 3211
Estimated total score	21092 (estimated non-skill score) + 3304 (estimated skill score) = 24396

Left4

Riko Sakurauchi

Stats	Level 100	5379 4006 3745
Skill	Level 9	Every 7.2 seconds, there is a 39.6% chance of increasing the score of each note by 152 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 764 (base note score) x 242.1 (total multiplier) = 20529
Estimated skill score	152 x 21.3% (average note coverage for AP) x 169 = 5477 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	152 x 21% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 169 = 5408
Estimated total score	20529 (estimated non-skill score) + 5477 (estimated skill score) = 26007

Left3

Emma Verde

Stats	Level 100	5242 4067 3847
Skill	Level 9	Every 8.2 seconds, there is a 40.6% chance of increasing the score of each note by 165 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 764 (base note score) x 242.1 (total multiplier) = 20005
Estimated skill score	165 x 20.7% (average note coverage for AP) x 169 = 5761 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	165 x 20.7% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 169 = 5746
Estimated total score	20005 (estimated non-skill score) + 5761 (estimated skill score) = 25766

Left2

Mia Taylor

Stats	Level 100	5390 4028 3738
Skill	Level 9	Every 6.2 seconds, there is a 38.6% chance of increasing the score of each note by 138 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 764 (base note score) x 242.1 (total multiplier) = 20568
Estimated skill score	138 x 24.7% (average note coverage for AP) x 169 = 5753 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	138 x 24.4% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 169 = 5746
Estimated total score	20568 (estimated non-skill score) + 5753 (estimated skill score) = 26321

Left1

Kanata Konoe

Stats	Level 100	5486 3834 3992
Skill	Level 9	Every 8.2 seconds, there is a 46% chance of increasing the score of each note by 197 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 764 (base note score) x 242.1 (total multiplier) = 20938
Estimated skill score	197 x 23.4% (average note coverage for AP) x 169 = 7793 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	197 x 23.8% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 169 = 7943
Estimated total score	20938 (estimated non-skill score) + 7793 (estimated skill score) = 28731

Right1

Ayumu Uehara

Stats	Level 100	5610 3926 4010
Skill	Level 7	Every 20 notes, there is a 17% chance of increasing the score of each note by 328 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 764 (base note score) x 242.1 (total multiplier) = 21410
Estimated skill score	328 x 5.4% (average note coverage for AP) x 169 = 3011 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	328 x 5.5% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 169 = 3042
Estimated total score	21410 (estimated non-skill score) + 3011 (estimated skill score) = 24421

Right2

Rina Tennoji

Stats	Level 100	5439 3890 3905
Skill	Level 9	Every 27 PERFECTs, there is a 24% chance of increasing the score of each note by 319 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 764 (base note score) x 242.1 (total multiplier) = 20759
Estimated skill score	319 x 6.1% (average note coverage for AP) x 169 = 3292 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	319 x 6% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 169 = 3211
Estimated total score	20759 (estimated non-skill score) + 3292 (estimated skill score) = 24051

Right3

Kanata Konoe

Stats	Level 100	5040 3860 4256
Skill	Level 9	Every 5.2 seconds, there is a 37.6% chance of increasing the score of each note by 124 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 764 (base note score) x 242.1 (total multiplier) = 19236
Estimated skill score	124 x 26.9% (average note coverage for AP) x 169 = 5642 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	124 x 27.2% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 169 = 5746
Estimated total score	19236 (estimated non-skill score) + 5642 (estimated skill score) = 24877

Right4

Nico Yazawa

Stats	Level 100	5352 4013 3713
Skill	Level 9	Every 5.2 seconds, there is a 37.6% chance of increasing the score of each note by 124 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 764 (base note score) x 242.1 (total multiplier) = 20423
Estimated skill score	124 x 26.9% (average note coverage for AP) x 169 = 5642 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	124 x 26.7% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 169 = 5577
Estimated total score	20423 (estimated non-skill score) + 5642 (estimated skill score) = 26065