Say Good-Bye 涙

This tool calculates the teams with the highest All-Perfect average or maximum scores for this song and difficulty. The non-skill score depends on the base score and should stay the same across all plays, while the skill-based score depends on how lucky you are with the skill activation rolls.

While after the latest revisions the estimated/simulated scores seem close to the actual ones, the formulas/algorithms are still incomplete and the scores should be a little bit lower than the ones from the game.

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This team was generated using all the cards in the game.

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Left4	Left3	Left2	Left1	Center	Right1	Right2	Right3	Right4
Lv 100 / SL 9 x11.7	Lv 100 / SL 9 x17.3	Lv 100 / SL 9 x38.7	Lv 100 / SL 9 x53	Lv 100 / SL 9 x0	Lv 100 / SL 9 x55.1	Lv 100 / SL 9 x28	Lv 100 / SL 9 x24	Lv 100 / SL 9 x15.7

Guest Center Skill	Smile P of Smile members increased by 13%
Team P	49106 + 6388 (center skill) + 6388 (guest center skill) = 61882
Estimated non-skill score (AP)	774 (base note score) x 243.5 (total multiplier) = 188487
Estimated average score	188487 (non-skill score) + 31659 (average skill score) = 220146
Estimated maximum score	188487 (non-skill score) + 99546 (maximum skill score) = 288033
Score from 1000 simulations	Average: 188588 (non-skill score) + 31916 (skills score) = 220504 Percentile 10: 188588 (non-skill score) + 24857 (skills score) = 213445 Percentile 50: 188588 (non-skill score) + 31912 (skills score) = 220500 Percentile 90: 188588 (non-skill score) + 39049 (skills score) = 227637 Percentile 95: 188588 (non-skill score) + 40874 (skills score) = 229462 Percentile 99: 188588 (non-skill score) + 44592 (skills score) = 233180 Percentile 99.5: 188588 (non-skill score) + 46414 (skills score) = 235002

Center

You Watanabe

Center Skill	Smile P of Smile members increased by 13%
Stats	Level 100	5527 3737 4126
Skill	Level 9	Every 24 notes, there is a 27% chance of increasing the score of each note by 266 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 774 (base note score) x 243.5 (total multiplier) = 21215
Estimated skill score	266 x 7.3% (average note coverage for AP) x 169 = 3304 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	266 x 7.3% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 169 = 3211
Estimated total score	21215 (estimated non-skill score) + 3304 (estimated skill score) = 24519

Left4

Maki Nishikino

Stats	Level 100	5599 4007 3940
Skill	Level 9	Every 22 notes, there is a 34% chance of increasing the score of each note by 198 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 774 (base note score) x 243.5 (total multiplier) = 21489
Estimated skill score	198 x 8.9% (average note coverage for AP) x 169 = 2962 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	198 x 8.8% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 169 = 2873
Estimated total score	21489 (estimated non-skill score) + 2962 (estimated skill score) = 24451

Left3

Shioriko Mifune

Stats	Level 100	5344 4061 3751
Skill	Level 9	Every 25 notes, there is a 37% chance of increasing the score of each note by 130 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 774 (base note score) x 243.5 (total multiplier) = 20511
Estimated skill score	130 x 9.6% (average note coverage for AP) x 169 = 2116 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	130 x 9.7% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 169 = 2197
Estimated total score	20511 (estimated non-skill score) + 2116 (estimated skill score) = 22628

Left2

Rina Tennoji

Stats	Level 100	5439 3890 3905
Skill	Level 9	Every 27 PERFECTs, there is a 24% chance of increasing the score of each note by 319 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 774 (base note score) x 243.5 (total multiplier) = 20880
Estimated skill score	319 x 6.1% (average note coverage for AP) x 169 = 3292 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	319 x 6.4% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 169 = 3380
Estimated total score	20880 (estimated non-skill score) + 3292 (estimated skill score) = 24172

Left1

Kanata Konoe

Stats	Level 100	5486 3834 3992
Skill	Level 9	Every 8.2 seconds, there is a 46% chance of increasing the score of each note by 197 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 774 (base note score) x 243.5 (total multiplier) = 21059
Estimated skill score	197 x 23.4% (average note coverage for AP) x 169 = 7793 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	197 x 23.6% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 169 = 7774
Estimated total score	21059 (estimated non-skill score) + 7793 (estimated skill score) = 28853

Right1

Ayumu Uehara

Stats	Level 100	5610 3926 4010
Skill	Level 9	Every 19 notes, there is a 17% chance of increasing the score of each note by 332 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 774 (base note score) x 243.5 (total multiplier) = 21535
Estimated skill score	332 x 5.3% (average note coverage for AP) x 169 = 2991 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	332 x 5.3% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 169 = 3042
Estimated total score	21535 (estimated non-skill score) + 2991 (estimated skill score) = 24526

Right2

Mia Taylor

Stats	Level 100	5390 4028 3738
Skill	Level 9	Every 6.2 seconds, there is a 38.6% chance of increasing the score of each note by 138 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 774 (base note score) x 243.5 (total multiplier) = 20688
Estimated skill score	138 x 24.7% (average note coverage for AP) x 169 = 5753 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	138 x 24.8% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 169 = 5746
Estimated total score	20688 (estimated non-skill score) + 5753 (estimated skill score) = 26441

Right3

Lanzhu Zhong

Stats	Level 100	5384 3923 3849
Skill	Level 9	Every 22 notes, there is a 33% chance of increasing the score of each note by 130 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 774 (base note score) x 243.5 (total multiplier) = 20663
Estimated skill score	130 x 8.6% (average note coverage for AP) x 169 = 1888 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	130 x 8.7% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 169 = 1859
Estimated total score	20663 (estimated non-skill score) + 1888 (estimated skill score) = 22551

Right4

Emma Verde

Stats	Level 100	5327 3866 3807
Skill	Level 9	Every 22 combo, there is a 39% chance of increasing the score of each note by 129 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 774 (base note score) x 243.5 (total multiplier) = 20447
Estimated skill score	129 x 7.2% (average note coverage for AP) x 169 = 1560 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	129 x 7.4% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 169 = 1690
Estimated total score	20447 (estimated non-skill score) + 1560 (estimated skill score) = 22007