Say Good-Bye 涙

This tool calculates the teams with the highest All-Perfect average or maximum scores for this song and difficulty. The non-skill score depends on the base score and should stay the same across all plays, while the skill-based score depends on how lucky you are with the skill activation rolls.

While after the latest revisions the estimated/simulated scores seem close to the actual ones, the formulas/algorithms are still incomplete and the scores should be a little bit lower than the ones from the game.

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This team was generated using all the cards in the game.

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Left4	Left3	Left2	Left1	Center	Right1	Right2	Right3	Right4
Lv 100 / SL 9 x17	Lv 100 / SL 9 x39.7	Lv 100 / SL 9 x79.6	Lv 100 / SL 9 x103.6	Lv 100 / SL 9 x3.9	Lv 100 / SL 9 x104.1	Lv 100 / SL 9 x68.6	Lv 100 / SL 9 x52.7	Lv 100 / SL 9 x20.2

Guest Center Skill	Smile P of Smile members increased by 13%
Team P	48915 + 6363 (center skill) + 6363 (guest center skill) = 61641
Estimated non-skill score (AP)	771 (base note score) x 489.5 (total multiplier) = 377376
Estimated average score	377376 (non-skill score) + 133708 (average skill score) = 511084
Estimated maximum score	377376 (non-skill score) + 431076 (maximum skill score) = 808452
Score from 1000 simulations	Average: 377518 (non-skill score) + 133915 (skills score) = 511433 Percentile 10: 377518 (non-skill score) + 108904 (skills score) = 486422 Percentile 50: 377518 (non-skill score) + 134225 (skills score) = 511743 Percentile 90: 377518 (non-skill score) + 156802 (skills score) = 534320 Percentile 95: 377518 (non-skill score) + 166907 (skills score) = 544425 Percentile 99: 377518 (non-skill score) + 178539 (skills score) = 556057 Percentile 99.5: 377518 (non-skill score) + 182786 (skills score) = 560304

Center

You Watanabe

Center Skill	Smile P of Smile members increased by 13%
Stats	Level 100	5527 3737 4126
Skill	Level 9	Every 24 notes, there is a 27% chance of increasing the score of each note by 266 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 771 (base note score) x 489.5 (total multiplier) = 42641
Estimated skill score	266 x 15.7% (average note coverage for AP) x 340 = 14201 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	266 x 15.7% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 340 = 14280
Estimated total score	42641 (estimated non-skill score) + 14201 (estimated skill score) = 56842

Left4

Maki Nishikino

Stats	Level 100	5599 4007 3940
Skill	Level 9	Every 22 notes, there is a 34% chance of increasing the score of each note by 198 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 771 (base note score) x 489.5 (total multiplier) = 43192
Estimated skill score	198 x 21.9% (average note coverage for AP) x 340 = 14742 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	198 x 21.6% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 340 = 14620
Estimated total score	43192 (estimated non-skill score) + 14742 (estimated skill score) = 57934

Left3

Ruby Kurosawa

Stats	Level 100	5529 4082 3779
Skill	Level 9	Every 24 PERFECTs, there is a 40% chance of increasing the score of each note by 210 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 771 (base note score) x 489.5 (total multiplier) = 42653
Estimated skill score	210 x 23.2% (average note coverage for AP) x 340 = 16598 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	210 x 23.2% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 340 = 16660
Estimated total score	42653 (estimated non-skill score) + 16598 (estimated skill score) = 59252

Left2

Rina Tennoji

Stats	Level 100	5439 3890 3905
Skill	Level 9	Every 27 PERFECTs, there is a 24% chance of increasing the score of each note by 319 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 771 (base note score) x 489.5 (total multiplier) = 41968
Estimated skill score	319 x 12.5% (average note coverage for AP) x 340 = 13551 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	319 x 12.5% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 340 = 13600
Estimated total score	41968 (estimated non-skill score) + 13551 (estimated skill score) = 55519

Left1

Ayumu Uehara

Stats	Level 100	5610 3926 4010
Skill	Level 9	Every 19 notes, there is a 17% chance of increasing the score of each note by 332 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 771 (base note score) x 489.5 (total multiplier) = 43284
Estimated skill score	332 x 12% (average note coverage for AP) x 340 = 13563 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	332 x 12.1% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 340 = 13600
Estimated total score	43284 (estimated non-skill score) + 13563 (estimated skill score) = 56846

Right1

Kanata Konoe

Stats	Level 100	5486 3834 3992
Skill	Level 9	Every 8.2 seconds, there is a 46% chance of increasing the score of each note by 197 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 771 (base note score) x 489.5 (total multiplier) = 42329
Estimated skill score	197 x 24.1% (average note coverage for AP) x 340 = 16130 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	197 x 24% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 340 = 15980
Estimated total score	42329 (estimated non-skill score) + 16130 (estimated skill score) = 58459

Right2

Ayumu Uehara

Stats	Level 100	4907 3619 3824
Skill	Level 9	Every 18 PERFECTs, there is a 41% chance of increasing the score of each note by 163 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 771 (base note score) x 489.5 (total multiplier) = 37853
Estimated skill score	163 x 31% (average note coverage for AP) x 340 = 17177 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	163 x 31.4% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 340 = 17340
Estimated total score	37853 (estimated non-skill score) + 17177 (estimated skill score) = 55031

Right3

Mia Taylor

Stats	Level 100	5390 4028 3738
Skill	Level 9	Every 6.2 seconds, there is a 38.6% chance of increasing the score of each note by 138 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 771 (base note score) x 489.5 (total multiplier) = 41582
Estimated skill score	138 x 24.7% (average note coverage for AP) x 340 = 11612 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	138 x 24.3% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 340 = 11220
Estimated total score	41582 (estimated non-skill score) + 11612 (estimated skill score) = 53194

Right4

Kinako Sakurakoji

Stats	Level 100	5428 4014 3792
Skill	Level 9	Every 20 PERFECTs, there is a 28% chance of increasing the score of each note by 252 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 771 (base note score) x 489.5 (total multiplier) = 41876
Estimated skill score	252 x 18.8% (average note coverage for AP) x 340 = 16133 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	252 x 19.3% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 340 = 16660
Estimated total score	41876 (estimated non-skill score) + 16133 (estimated skill score) = 58009