Say Good-Bye 涙

This tool calculates the teams with the highest All-Perfect average or maximum scores for this song and difficulty. The non-skill score depends on the base score and should stay the same across all plays, while the skill-based score depends on how lucky you are with the skill activation rolls.

While after the latest revisions the estimated/simulated scores seem close to the actual ones, the formulas/algorithms are still incomplete and the scores should be a little bit lower than the ones from the game.

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This team was generated using all the cards in the game.

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Left4	Left3	Left2	Left1	Center	Right1	Right2	Right3	Right4
Lv 100 / SL 9 x17	Lv 100 / SL 9 x43.7	Lv 100 / SL 9 x79.6	Lv 100 / SL 9 x103.6	Lv 100 / SL 9 x3.9	Lv 100 / SL 9 x104.1	Lv 100 / SL 9 x68.6	Lv 100 / SL 9 x52.7	Lv 100 / SL 9 x20.2

Guest Center Skill	Smile P of Smile members increased by 13%
Team P	49308 + 6414 (center skill) + 6414 (guest center skill) = 62136
Estimated non-skill score (AP)	777 (base note score) x 493.4 (total multiplier) = 383401
Estimated average score	383401 (non-skill score) + 119119 (average skill score) = 502520
Estimated maximum score	383401 (non-skill score) + 388545 (maximum skill score) = 771946
Score from 1000 simulations	Average: 383644 (non-skill score) + 119277 (skills score) = 502921 Percentile 10: 383644 (non-skill score) + 98096 (skills score) = 481740 Percentile 50: 383644 (non-skill score) + 118074 (skills score) = 501718 Percentile 90: 383644 (non-skill score) + 140267 (skills score) = 523911 Percentile 95: 383644 (non-skill score) + 147246 (skills score) = 530890 Percentile 99: 383644 (non-skill score) + 158293 (skills score) = 541937 Percentile 99.5: 383644 (non-skill score) + 162946 (skills score) = 546590

Center

You Watanabe

Center Skill	Smile P of Smile members increased by 13%
Stats	Level 100	5527 3737 4126
Skill	Level 9	Every 24 notes, there is a 27% chance of increasing the score of each note by 266 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 777 (base note score) x 493.4 (total multiplier) = 42977
Estimated skill score	266 x 15.7% (average note coverage for AP) x 340 = 14201 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	266 x 16% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 340 = 14620
Estimated total score	42977 (estimated non-skill score) + 14201 (estimated skill score) = 57178

Left4

Ruby Kurosawa

Stats	Level 100	5529 4082 3779
Skill	Level 9	Every 24 PERFECTs, there is a 40% chance of increasing the score of each note by 210 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 777 (base note score) x 493.4 (total multiplier) = 42989
Estimated skill score	210 x 23.2% (average note coverage for AP) x 340 = 16598 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	210 x 23.4% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 340 = 16660
Estimated total score	42989 (estimated non-skill score) + 16598 (estimated skill score) = 59587

Left3

Shioriko Mifune

Stats	Level 100	5344 4061 3751
Skill	Level 9	Every 25 notes, there is a 37% chance of increasing the score of each note by 130 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 777 (base note score) x 493.4 (total multiplier) = 41551
Estimated skill score	130 x 21.1% (average note coverage for AP) x 340 = 9326 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	130 x 21.1% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 340 = 9180
Estimated total score	41551 (estimated non-skill score) + 9326 (estimated skill score) = 50877

Left2

Rina Tennoji

Stats	Level 100	5439 3890 3905
Skill	Level 9	Every 27 PERFECTs, there is a 24% chance of increasing the score of each note by 319 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 777 (base note score) x 493.4 (total multiplier) = 42298
Estimated skill score	319 x 12.5% (average note coverage for AP) x 340 = 13551 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	319 x 12.6% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 340 = 13600
Estimated total score	42298 (estimated non-skill score) + 13551 (estimated skill score) = 55849

Left1

Kanata Konoe

Stats	Level 100	5486 3834 3992
Skill	Level 9	Every 8.2 seconds, there is a 46% chance of increasing the score of each note by 197 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 777 (base note score) x 493.4 (total multiplier) = 42662
Estimated skill score	197 x 24.1% (average note coverage for AP) x 340 = 16130 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	197 x 24.1% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 340 = 16320
Estimated total score	42662 (estimated non-skill score) + 16130 (estimated skill score) = 58792

Right1

Ayumu Uehara

Stats	Level 100	5610 3926 4010
Skill	Level 9	Every 19 notes, there is a 17% chance of increasing the score of each note by 332 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 777 (base note score) x 493.4 (total multiplier) = 43624
Estimated skill score	332 x 12% (average note coverage for AP) x 340 = 13563 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	332 x 12.1% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 340 = 13600
Estimated total score	43624 (estimated non-skill score) + 13563 (estimated skill score) = 57187

Right2

Mia Taylor

Stats	Level 100	5390 4028 3738
Skill	Level 9	Every 6.2 seconds, there is a 38.6% chance of increasing the score of each note by 138 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 777 (base note score) x 493.4 (total multiplier) = 41909
Estimated skill score	138 x 24.7% (average note coverage for AP) x 340 = 11612 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	138 x 24.7% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 340 = 11560
Estimated total score	41909 (estimated non-skill score) + 11612 (estimated skill score) = 53521

Right3

Lanzhu Zhong

Stats	Level 100	5384 3923 3849
Skill	Level 9	Every 22 notes, there is a 33% chance of increasing the score of each note by 130 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 777 (base note score) x 493.4 (total multiplier) = 41860
Estimated skill score	130 x 21.3% (average note coverage for AP) x 340 = 9396 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	130 x 20.8% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 340 = 9180
Estimated total score	41860 (estimated non-skill score) + 9396 (estimated skill score) = 51255

Right4

Maki Nishikino

Stats	Level 100	5599 4007 3940
Skill	Level 9	Every 22 notes, there is a 34% chance of increasing the score of each note by 198 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 777 (base note score) x 493.4 (total multiplier) = 43532
Estimated skill score	198 x 21.9% (average note coverage for AP) x 340 = 14742 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	198 x 21.6% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 340 = 14620
Estimated total score	43532 (estimated non-skill score) + 14742 (estimated skill score) = 58274