Say Good-Bye 涙

This tool calculates the teams with the highest All-Perfect average or maximum scores for this song and difficulty. The non-skill score depends on the base score and should stay the same across all plays, while the skill-based score depends on how lucky you are with the skill activation rolls.

While after the latest revisions the estimated/simulated scores seem close to the actual ones, the formulas/algorithms are still incomplete and the scores should be a little bit lower than the ones from the game.

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This team was generated using all the cards in the game.

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Left4	Left3	Left2	Left1	Center	Right1	Right2	Right3	Right4
Lv 100 / SL 9 x15.5	Lv 100 / SL 9 x36.1	Lv 100 / SL 9 x72.4	Lv 100 / SL 9 x94.2	Lv 100 / SL 9 x4.3	Lv 100 / SL 9 x104.1	Lv 100 / SL 9 x56.7	Lv 100 / SL 9 x43.6	Lv 100 / SL 9 x18.4

Guest Center Skill	Smile P increased by 10%
Team P	38654 + 3868 (center skill) + 3868 (guest center skill) = 46390
Estimated non-skill score (AP)	580 (base note score) x 445.1 (total multiplier) = 258184
Estimated average score	258184 (non-skill score) + 139779 (average skill score) = 397963
Estimated maximum score	258184 (non-skill score) + 690097 (maximum skill score) = 948281
Score from 1000 simulations	Average: 258274 (non-skill score) + 140281 (skills score) = 398555 Percentile 10: 258274 (non-skill score) + 110221 (skills score) = 368495 Percentile 50: 258274 (non-skill score) + 140204 (skills score) = 398478 Percentile 90: 258274 (non-skill score) + 171364 (skills score) = 429638 Percentile 95: 258274 (non-skill score) + 179849 (skills score) = 438123 Percentile 99: 258274 (non-skill score) + 200161 (skills score) = 458435 Percentile 99.5: 258274 (non-skill score) + 204435 (skills score) = 462709

Center

Rina Tennoji

Center Skill	Smile P increased by 10%
Stats	Level 100	5439 3890 3905
Skill	Level 9	Every 27 PERFECTs, there is a 24% chance of increasing the score of each note by 319 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 580 (base note score) x 445.1 (total multiplier) = 36326
Estimated skill score	319 x 12.5% (average note coverage for AP) x 340 = 13551 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	319 x 12.7% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 340 = 13600
Estimated total score	36326 (estimated non-skill score) + 13551 (estimated skill score) = 49877

Left4

Chisato Arashi

Stats	Level 100	4020 3861 5587
Skill	Level 9	Every 19 notes, there is a 17% chance of increasing the score of each note by 332 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 580 (base note score) x 445.1 (total multiplier) = 26848
Estimated skill score	332 x 12% (average note coverage for AP) x 340 = 13563 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	332 x 11.9% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 340 = 13600
Estimated total score	26848 (estimated non-skill score) + 13563 (estimated skill score) = 40411

Left3

Kanan Matsuura

Stats	Level 100	3988 3903 5577
Skill	Level 9	Every 15 PERFECTs, there is a 19% chance of increasing the score of each note by 289 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 580 (base note score) x 445.1 (total multiplier) = 26637
Estimated skill score	289 x 17.5% (average note coverage for AP) x 340 = 17243 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	289 x 17.5% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 340 = 17340
Estimated total score	26637 (estimated non-skill score) + 17243 (estimated skill score) = 43879

Left2

Kasumi Nakasu

Stats	Level 100	3955 3899 5536
Skill	Level 9	Every 19 PERFECTs, there is a 21% chance of increasing the score of each note by 317 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 580 (base note score) x 445.1 (total multiplier) = 26420
Estimated skill score	317 x 14.8% (average note coverage for AP) x 340 = 15970 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	317 x 14.9% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 340 = 15980
Estimated total score	26420 (estimated non-skill score) + 15970 (estimated skill score) = 42390

Left1

Ai Miyashita

Stats	Level 100	3850 3949 5435
Skill	Level 9	Every 15 PERFECTs, there is a 19% chance of increasing the score of each note by 289 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 580 (base note score) x 445.1 (total multiplier) = 25713
Estimated skill score	289 x 17.5% (average note coverage for AP) x 340 = 17243 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	289 x 18% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 340 = 17680
Estimated total score	25713 (estimated non-skill score) + 17243 (estimated skill score) = 42956

Right1

Ayumu Uehara

Stats	Level 100	5610 3926 4010
Skill	Level 9	Every 19 notes, there is a 17% chance of increasing the score of each note by 332 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 580 (base note score) x 445.1 (total multiplier) = 37467
Estimated skill score	332 x 12% (average note coverage for AP) x 340 = 13563 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	332 x 11.9% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 340 = 13600
Estimated total score	37467 (estimated non-skill score) + 13563 (estimated skill score) = 51030

Right2

Keke Tang

Stats	Level 100	3871 5483 3958
Skill	Level 9	Every 17 notes, there is a 16% chance of increasing the score of each note by 318 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 580 (base note score) x 445.1 (total multiplier) = 25863
Estimated skill score	318 x 13.1% (average note coverage for AP) x 340 = 14161 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	318 x 13.2% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 340 = 14280
Estimated total score	25863 (estimated non-skill score) + 14161 (estimated skill score) = 40024

Right3

Kotori Minami

Stats	Level 100	4001 3846 5543
Skill	Level 9	Every 15 PERFECTs, there is a 19% chance of increasing the score of each note by 289 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 580 (base note score) x 445.1 (total multiplier) = 26731
Estimated skill score	289 x 17.5% (average note coverage for AP) x 340 = 17243 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	289 x 17.5% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 340 = 17340
Estimated total score	26731 (estimated non-skill score) + 17243 (estimated skill score) = 43974

Right4

Riko Sakurauchi

Stats	Level 100	3920 5572 3976
Skill	Level 9	Every 15 PERFECTs, there is a 19% chance of increasing the score of each note by 289 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 580 (base note score) x 445.1 (total multiplier) = 26180
Estimated skill score	289 x 17.5% (average note coverage for AP) x 340 = 17243 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	289 x 17.4% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 340 = 17000
Estimated total score	26180 (estimated non-skill score) + 17243 (estimated skill score) = 43423