Chance Day, Chance Way！

This tool calculates the teams with the highest All-Perfect average or maximum scores for this song and difficulty. The non-skill score depends on the base score and should stay the same across all plays, while the skill-based score depends on how lucky you are with the skill activation rolls.

While after the latest revisions the estimated/simulated scores seem close to the actual ones, the formulas/algorithms are still incomplete and the scores should be a little bit lower than the ones from the game.

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This team was generated using all the cards in the game.

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Left4	Left3	Left2	Left1	Center	Right1	Right2	Right3	Right4
Lv 100 / SL 9 x28	Lv 100 / SL 7 x26.6	Lv 100 / SL 7 x38.8	Lv 100 / SL 7 x21.2	Lv 100 / SL 9 x7.8	Lv 100 / SL 9 x21.3	Lv 100 / SL 7 x37.6	Lv 100 / SL 9 x22.9	Lv 100 / SL 9 x24.1

Guest Center Skill	Smile P of Smile members increased by 13%
Team P	47988 + 6242 (center skill) + 6242 (guest center skill) = 60472
Estimated non-skill score (AP)	756 (base note score) x 228.2 (total multiplier) = 172490
Estimated average score	172490 (non-skill score) + 47889 (average skill score) = 220379
Estimated maximum score	172490 (non-skill score) + 123042 (maximum skill score) = 295532
Score from 1000 simulations	Average: 172555 (non-skill score) + 47935 (skills score) = 220490 Percentile 10: 172555 (non-skill score) + 40100 (skills score) = 212655 Percentile 50: 172555 (non-skill score) + 47883 (skills score) = 220438 Percentile 90: 172555 (non-skill score) + 55987 (skills score) = 228542 Percentile 95: 172555 (non-skill score) + 58226 (skills score) = 230781 Percentile 99: 172555 (non-skill score) + 60938 (skills score) = 233493 Percentile 99.5: 172555 (non-skill score) + 61735 (skills score) = 234290

Center

You Watanabe

Center Skill	Smile P of Smile members increased by 13%
Stats	Level 100	5527 3737 4126
Skill	Level 9	Every 24 notes, there is a 27% chance of increasing the score of each note by 266 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 756 (base note score) x 228.2 (total multiplier) = 19867
Estimated skill score	266 x 7.4% (average note coverage for AP) x 175 = 3447 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	266 x 7.5% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 175 = 3500
Estimated total score	19867 (estimated non-skill score) + 3447 (estimated skill score) = 23314

Left4

Kinako Sakurakoji

Stats	Level 100	5428 4014 3792
Skill	Level 9	Every 20 PERFECTs, there is a 28% chance of increasing the score of each note by 252 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 756 (base note score) x 228.2 (total multiplier) = 19510
Estimated skill score	252 x 9.4% (average note coverage for AP) x 175 = 4163 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	252 x 9.5% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 175 = 4200
Estimated total score	19510 (estimated non-skill score) + 4163 (estimated skill score) = 23673

Left3

Natsumi Onitsuka

Stats	Level 100	4999 4127 4108
Skill	Level 7	Every 14.4 seconds, there is a 68% chance of increasing the score of each note by 173 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 756 (base note score) x 228.2 (total multiplier) = 17967
Estimated skill score	173 x 16.7% (average note coverage for AP) x 175 = 5059 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	173 x 16.7% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 175 = 5075
Estimated total score	17967 (estimated non-skill score) + 5059 (estimated skill score) = 23026

Left2

Kanon Shibuya

Stats	Level 100	5292 3853 3855
Skill	Level 7	Every 7.4 seconds, there is a 39.2% chance of increasing the score of each note by 148 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 756 (base note score) x 228.2 (total multiplier) = 19020
Estimated skill score	148 x 20.6% (average note coverage for AP) x 175 = 5337 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	148 x 20.6% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 175 = 5425
Estimated total score	19020 (estimated non-skill score) + 5337 (estimated skill score) = 24357

Left1

Riko Sakurauchi

Stats	Level 100	5379 4006 3745
Skill	Level 7	Every 7.4 seconds, there is a 39.2% chance of increasing the score of each note by 148 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 756 (base note score) x 228.2 (total multiplier) = 19336
Estimated skill score	148 x 20.6% (average note coverage for AP) x 175 = 5337 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	148 x 20.6% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 175 = 5250
Estimated total score	19336 (estimated non-skill score) + 5337 (estimated skill score) = 24674

Right1

Mia Taylor

Stats	Level 100	5390 4028 3738
Skill	Level 9	Every 6.2 seconds, there is a 38.6% chance of increasing the score of each note by 138 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 756 (base note score) x 228.2 (total multiplier) = 19374
Estimated skill score	138 x 24% (average note coverage for AP) x 175 = 5806 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	138 x 24.2% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 175 = 5775
Estimated total score	19374 (estimated non-skill score) + 5806 (estimated skill score) = 25180

Right2

Chisato Arashi

Stats	Level 100	5135 4120 3771
Skill	Level 7	Every 7.4 seconds, there is a 39.2% chance of increasing the score of each note by 148 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 756 (base note score) x 228.2 (total multiplier) = 18458
Estimated skill score	148 x 20.6% (average note coverage for AP) x 175 = 5337 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	148 x 20.4% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 175 = 5250
Estimated total score	18458 (estimated non-skill score) + 5337 (estimated skill score) = 23795

Right3

Nico Yazawa

Stats	Level 100	5352 4013 3713
Skill	Level 9	Every 5.2 seconds, there is a 37.6% chance of increasing the score of each note by 124 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 756 (base note score) x 228.2 (total multiplier) = 19237
Estimated skill score	124 x 27.9% (average note coverage for AP) x 175 = 6061 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	124 x 27.6% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 175 = 5950
Estimated total score	19237 (estimated non-skill score) + 6061 (estimated skill score) = 25298

Right4

Kanata Konoe

Stats	Level 100	5486 3834 3992
Skill	Level 9	Every 8.2 seconds, there is a 46% chance of increasing the score of each note by 197 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 756 (base note score) x 228.2 (total multiplier) = 19722
Estimated skill score	197 x 21.3% (average note coverage for AP) x 175 = 7340 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	197 x 21.5% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 175 = 7350
Estimated total score	19722 (estimated non-skill score) + 7340 (estimated skill score) = 27062