Chance Day, Chance Way！

This tool calculates the teams with the highest All-Perfect average or maximum scores for this song and difficulty. The non-skill score depends on the base score and should stay the same across all plays, while the skill-based score depends on how lucky you are with the skill activation rolls.

While after the latest revisions the estimated/simulated scores seem close to the actual ones, the formulas/algorithms are still incomplete and the scores should be a little bit lower than the ones from the game.

Build team using own cards
if selected, the cards you selected will be temporarily saved in server for processing

This team was generated using all the cards in the game.

Open shareable link for this team

Left4	Left3	Left2	Left1	Center	Right1	Right2	Right3	Right4
Lv 100 / SL 9 x28	Lv 100 / SL 7 x26.6	Lv 100 / SL 7 x38.8	Lv 100 / SL 7 x21.2	Lv 100 / SL 9 x7.8	Lv 100 / SL 9 x21.3	Lv 100 / SL 7 x37.6	Lv 100 / SL 9 x22.9	Lv 100 / SL 9 x24.1

Guest Center Skill	Smile P of Smile members increased by 13%
Team P	47988 + 6242 (center skill) + 6242 (guest center skill) = 60472
Estimated non-skill score (AP)	756 (base note score) x 228.2 (total multiplier) = 172490
Estimated average score	172490 (non-skill score) + 47889 (average skill score) = 220379
Estimated maximum score	172490 (non-skill score) + 123042 (maximum skill score) = 295532
Score from 1000 simulations	Average: 172555 (non-skill score) + 48081 (skills score) = 220636 Percentile 10: 172555 (non-skill score) + 40583 (skills score) = 213138 Percentile 50: 172555 (non-skill score) + 48018 (skills score) = 220573 Percentile 90: 172555 (non-skill score) + 55528 (skills score) = 228083 Percentile 95: 172555 (non-skill score) + 58113 (skills score) = 230668 Percentile 99: 172555 (non-skill score) + 62994 (skills score) = 235549 Percentile 99.5: 172555 (non-skill score) + 64093 (skills score) = 236648

Center

You Watanabe

Center Skill	Smile P of Smile members increased by 13%
Stats	Level 100	5527 3737 4126
Skill	Level 9	Every 24 notes, there is a 27% chance of increasing the score of each note by 266 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 756 (base note score) x 228.2 (total multiplier) = 19867
Estimated skill score	266 x 7.4% (average note coverage for AP) x 175 = 3447 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	266 x 7.5% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 175 = 3500
Estimated total score	19867 (estimated non-skill score) + 3447 (estimated skill score) = 23314

Left4

Kinako Sakurakoji

Stats	Level 100	5428 4014 3792
Skill	Level 9	Every 20 PERFECTs, there is a 28% chance of increasing the score of each note by 252 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 756 (base note score) x 228.2 (total multiplier) = 19510
Estimated skill score	252 x 9.4% (average note coverage for AP) x 175 = 4163 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	252 x 9.6% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 175 = 4200
Estimated total score	19510 (estimated non-skill score) + 4163 (estimated skill score) = 23673

Left3

Natsumi Onitsuka

Stats	Level 100	4999 4127 4108
Skill	Level 7	Every 14.4 seconds, there is a 68% chance of increasing the score of each note by 173 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 756 (base note score) x 228.2 (total multiplier) = 17967
Estimated skill score	173 x 16.7% (average note coverage for AP) x 175 = 5059 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	173 x 16.8% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 175 = 5075
Estimated total score	17967 (estimated non-skill score) + 5059 (estimated skill score) = 23026

Left2

Kanon Shibuya

Stats	Level 100	5292 3853 3855
Skill	Level 7	Every 7.4 seconds, there is a 39.2% chance of increasing the score of each note by 148 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 756 (base note score) x 228.2 (total multiplier) = 19020
Estimated skill score	148 x 20.6% (average note coverage for AP) x 175 = 5337 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	148 x 20.7% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 175 = 5425
Estimated total score	19020 (estimated non-skill score) + 5337 (estimated skill score) = 24357

Left1

Riko Sakurauchi

Stats	Level 100	5379 4006 3745
Skill	Level 7	Every 7.4 seconds, there is a 39.2% chance of increasing the score of each note by 148 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 756 (base note score) x 228.2 (total multiplier) = 19336
Estimated skill score	148 x 20.6% (average note coverage for AP) x 175 = 5337 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	148 x 20.3% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 175 = 5250
Estimated total score	19336 (estimated non-skill score) + 5337 (estimated skill score) = 24674

Right1

Mia Taylor

Stats	Level 100	5390 4028 3738
Skill	Level 9	Every 6.2 seconds, there is a 38.6% chance of increasing the score of each note by 138 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 756 (base note score) x 228.2 (total multiplier) = 19374
Estimated skill score	138 x 24% (average note coverage for AP) x 175 = 5806 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	138 x 24% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 175 = 5775
Estimated total score	19374 (estimated non-skill score) + 5806 (estimated skill score) = 25180

Right2

Chisato Arashi

Stats	Level 100	5135 4120 3771
Skill	Level 7	Every 7.4 seconds, there is a 39.2% chance of increasing the score of each note by 148 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 756 (base note score) x 228.2 (total multiplier) = 18458
Estimated skill score	148 x 20.6% (average note coverage for AP) x 175 = 5337 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	148 x 20.5% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 175 = 5250
Estimated total score	18458 (estimated non-skill score) + 5337 (estimated skill score) = 23795

Right3

Nico Yazawa

Stats	Level 100	5352 4013 3713
Skill	Level 9	Every 5.2 seconds, there is a 37.6% chance of increasing the score of each note by 124 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 756 (base note score) x 228.2 (total multiplier) = 19237
Estimated skill score	124 x 27.9% (average note coverage for AP) x 175 = 6061 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	124 x 27.9% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 175 = 6125
Estimated total score	19237 (estimated non-skill score) + 6061 (estimated skill score) = 25298

Right4

Kanata Konoe

Stats	Level 100	5486 3834 3992
Skill	Level 9	Every 8.2 seconds, there is a 46% chance of increasing the score of each note by 197 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 756 (base note score) x 228.2 (total multiplier) = 19722
Estimated skill score	197 x 21.3% (average note coverage for AP) x 175 = 7340 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	197 x 21.8% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 175 = 7525
Estimated total score	19722 (estimated non-skill score) + 7340 (estimated skill score) = 27062