Chance Day, Chance Way！

This tool calculates the teams with the highest All-Perfect average or maximum scores for this song and difficulty. The non-skill score depends on the base score and should stay the same across all plays, while the skill-based score depends on how lucky you are with the skill activation rolls.

While after the latest revisions the estimated/simulated scores seem close to the actual ones, the formulas/algorithms are still incomplete and the scores should be a little bit lower than the ones from the game.

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This team was generated using all the cards in the game.

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Left4	Left3	Left2	Left1	Center	Right1	Right2	Right3	Right4
Lv 100 / SL 9 x45	Lv 100 / SL 9 x56	Lv 100 / SL 9 x73	Lv 100 / SL 9 x51.4	Lv 100 / SL 9 x16.5	Lv 100 / SL 9 x52.3	Lv 100 / SL 9 x73.4	Lv 100 / SL 9 x61.7	Lv 100 / SL 9 x45.3

Guest Center Skill	Smile P of Smile members increased by 13%
Team P	49348 + 6419 (center skill) + 6419 (guest center skill) = 62186
Estimated non-skill score (AP)	778 (base note score) x 474.6 (total multiplier) = 369254
Estimated average score	369254 (non-skill score) + 124302 (average skill score) = 493556
Estimated maximum score	369254 (non-skill score) + 410094 (maximum skill score) = 779348
Score from 1000 simulations	Average: 369410 (non-skill score) + 124197 (skills score) = 493607 Percentile 10: 369410 (non-skill score) + 101994 (skills score) = 471404 Percentile 50: 369410 (non-skill score) + 123389 (skills score) = 492799 Percentile 90: 369410 (non-skill score) + 146275 (skills score) = 515685 Percentile 95: 369410 (non-skill score) + 151759 (skills score) = 521169 Percentile 99: 369410 (non-skill score) + 164349 (skills score) = 533759 Percentile 99.5: 369410 (non-skill score) + 169149 (skills score) = 538559

Center

You Watanabe

Center Skill	Smile P of Smile members increased by 13%
Stats	Level 100	5527 3737 4126
Skill	Level 9	Every 24 notes, there is a 27% chance of increasing the score of each note by 266 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 778 (base note score) x 474.6 (total multiplier) = 41357
Estimated skill score	266 x 15.2% (average note coverage for AP) x 345 = 13933 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	266 x 14.9% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 345 = 13800
Estimated total score	41357 (estimated non-skill score) + 13933 (estimated skill score) = 55291

Left4

Rina Tennoji

Stats	Level 100	5439 3890 3905
Skill	Level 9	Every 27 PERFECTs, there is a 24% chance of increasing the score of each note by 319 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 778 (base note score) x 474.6 (total multiplier) = 40704
Estimated skill score	319 x 12.3% (average note coverage for AP) x 345 = 13551 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	319 x 12.4% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 345 = 13455
Estimated total score	40704 (estimated non-skill score) + 13551 (estimated skill score) = 54255

Left3

Ruby Kurosawa

Stats	Level 100	5529 4082 3779
Skill	Level 9	Every 24 PERFECTs, there is a 40% chance of increasing the score of each note by 210 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 778 (base note score) x 474.6 (total multiplier) = 41369
Estimated skill score	210 x 22.5% (average note coverage for AP) x 345 = 16296 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	210 x 22.1% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 345 = 16215
Estimated total score	41369 (estimated non-skill score) + 16296 (estimated skill score) = 57665

Left2

Ren Hazuki

Stats	Level 100	5438 4045 3751
Skill	Level 9	Every 23 combo, there is a 52% chance of increasing the score of each note by 108 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 778 (base note score) x 474.6 (total multiplier) = 40686
Estimated skill score	108 x 27.1% (average note coverage for AP) x 345 = 10109 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	108 x 27.2% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 345 = 10005
Estimated total score	40686 (estimated non-skill score) + 10109 (estimated skill score) = 50795

Left1

Kanata Konoe

Stats	Level 100	5486 3834 3992
Skill	Level 9	Every 8.2 seconds, there is a 46% chance of increasing the score of each note by 197 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 778 (base note score) x 474.6 (total multiplier) = 41055
Estimated skill score	197 x 22% (average note coverage for AP) x 345 = 14952 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	197 x 21.8% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 345 = 14835
Estimated total score	41055 (estimated non-skill score) + 14952 (estimated skill score) = 56007

Right1

Maki Nishikino

Stats	Level 100	5599 4007 3940
Skill	Level 9	Every 22 notes, there is a 34% chance of increasing the score of each note by 198 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 778 (base note score) x 474.6 (total multiplier) = 41892
Estimated skill score	198 x 21% (average note coverage for AP) x 345 = 14339 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	198 x 21.4% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 345 = 14490
Estimated total score	41892 (estimated non-skill score) + 14339 (estimated skill score) = 56231

Right2

Kinako Sakurakoji

Stats	Level 100	5428 4014 3792
Skill	Level 9	Every 20 PERFECTs, there is a 28% chance of increasing the score of each note by 252 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 778 (base note score) x 474.6 (total multiplier) = 40615
Estimated skill score	252 x 18.6% (average note coverage for AP) x 345 = 16158 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	252 x 18.5% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 345 = 16215
Estimated total score	40615 (estimated non-skill score) + 16158 (estimated skill score) = 56773

Right3

Kanon Shibuya

Stats	Level 100	5292 3853 3855
Skill	Level 9	Every 7.2 seconds, there is a 39.6% chance of increasing the score of each note by 152 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 778 (base note score) x 474.6 (total multiplier) = 39594
Estimated skill score	152 x 21.2% (average note coverage for AP) x 345 = 11136 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	152 x 21.3% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 345 = 11040
Estimated total score	39594 (estimated non-skill score) + 11136 (estimated skill score) = 50729

Right4

Ayumu Uehara

Stats	Level 100	5610 3926 4010
Skill	Level 9	Every 19 notes, there is a 17% chance of increasing the score of each note by 332 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 778 (base note score) x 474.6 (total multiplier) = 41981
Estimated skill score	332 x 12.1% (average note coverage for AP) x 345 = 13828 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	332 x 12.2% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 345 = 14145
Estimated total score	41981 (estimated non-skill score) + 13828 (estimated skill score) = 55809