Chance Day, Chance Way！

This tool calculates the teams with the highest All-Perfect average or maximum scores for this song and difficulty. The non-skill score depends on the base score and should stay the same across all plays, while the skill-based score depends on how lucky you are with the skill activation rolls.

While after the latest revisions the estimated/simulated scores seem close to the actual ones, the formulas/algorithms are still incomplete and the scores should be a little bit lower than the ones from the game.

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This team was generated using all the cards in the game.

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Left4	Left3	Left2	Left1	Center	Right1	Right2	Right3	Right4
Lv 100 / SL 9 x41	Lv 100 / SL 9 x50.9	Lv 100 / SL 9 x66.4	Lv 100 / SL 9 x46.7	Lv 100 / SL 9 x16.5	Lv 100 / SL 9 x47.5	Lv 100 / SL 9 x73.4	Lv 100 / SL 9 x56.1	Lv 100 / SL 9 x41.2

Guest Center Skill	Smile P increased by 10%
Team P	38643 + 3867 (center skill) + 3867 (guest center skill) = 46377
Estimated non-skill score (AP)	580 (base note score) x 439.6 (total multiplier) = 254995
Estimated average score	254995 (non-skill score) + 141802 (average skill score) = 396797
Estimated maximum score	254995 (non-skill score) + 734817 (maximum skill score) = 989812
Score from 1000 simulations	Average: 255068 (non-skill score) + 140583 (skills score) = 395651 Percentile 10: 255068 (non-skill score) + 112725 (skills score) = 367793 Percentile 50: 255068 (non-skill score) + 140792 (skills score) = 395860 Percentile 90: 255068 (non-skill score) + 168627 (skills score) = 423695 Percentile 95: 255068 (non-skill score) + 176418 (skills score) = 431486 Percentile 99: 255068 (non-skill score) + 189261 (skills score) = 444329 Percentile 99.5: 255068 (non-skill score) + 195908 (skills score) = 450976

Center

Ayumu Uehara

Center Skill	Smile P increased by 10%
Stats	Level 100	5610 3926 4010
Skill	Level 9	Every 19 notes, there is a 17% chance of increasing the score of each note by 332 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 580 (base note score) x 439.6 (total multiplier) = 37015
Estimated skill score	332 x 12.1% (average note coverage for AP) x 345 = 13828 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	332 x 12% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 345 = 13800
Estimated total score	37015 (estimated non-skill score) + 13828 (estimated skill score) = 50842

Left4

Kasumi Nakasu

Stats	Level 100	3955 3899 5536
Skill	Level 9	Every 19 PERFECTs, there is a 21% chance of increasing the score of each note by 317 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 580 (base note score) x 439.6 (total multiplier) = 26100
Estimated skill score	317 x 14.9% (average note coverage for AP) x 345 = 16310 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	317 x 14.8% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 345 = 16215
Estimated total score	26100 (estimated non-skill score) + 16310 (estimated skill score) = 42410

Left3

Kotori Minami

Stats	Level 100	4001 3846 5543
Skill	Level 9	Every 15 PERFECTs, there is a 19% chance of increasing the score of each note by 289 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 580 (base note score) x 439.6 (total multiplier) = 26408
Estimated skill score	289 x 17% (average note coverage for AP) x 345 = 16949 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	289 x 17% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 345 = 16905
Estimated total score	26408 (estimated non-skill score) + 16949 (estimated skill score) = 43357

Left2

Keke Tang

Stats	Level 100	3871 5483 3958
Skill	Level 9	Every 17 notes, there is a 16% chance of increasing the score of each note by 318 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 580 (base note score) x 439.6 (total multiplier) = 25551
Estimated skill score	318 x 12.7% (average note coverage for AP) x 345 = 13882 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	318 x 12.5% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 345 = 13800
Estimated total score	25551 (estimated non-skill score) + 13882 (estimated skill score) = 39433

Left1

Riko Sakurauchi

Stats	Level 100	3920 5572 3976
Skill	Level 9	Every 15 PERFECTs, there is a 19% chance of increasing the score of each note by 289 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 580 (base note score) x 439.6 (total multiplier) = 25864
Estimated skill score	289 x 17% (average note coverage for AP) x 345 = 16949 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	289 x 16.9% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 345 = 16905
Estimated total score	25864 (estimated non-skill score) + 16949 (estimated skill score) = 42813

Right1

Kanan Matsuura

Stats	Level 100	3988 3903 5577
Skill	Level 9	Every 15 PERFECTs, there is a 19% chance of increasing the score of each note by 289 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 580 (base note score) x 439.6 (total multiplier) = 26315
Estimated skill score	289 x 17% (average note coverage for AP) x 345 = 16949 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	289 x 17% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 345 = 16905
Estimated total score	26315 (estimated non-skill score) + 16949 (estimated skill score) = 43264

Right2

Kinako Sakurakoji

Stats	Level 100	5428 4014 3792
Skill	Level 9	Every 20 PERFECTs, there is a 28% chance of increasing the score of each note by 252 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 580 (base note score) x 439.6 (total multiplier) = 35816
Estimated skill score	252 x 18.6% (average note coverage for AP) x 345 = 16158 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	252 x 18.8% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 345 = 16215
Estimated total score	35816 (estimated non-skill score) + 16158 (estimated skill score) = 51974

Right3

Chisato Arashi

Stats	Level 100	4020 3861 5587
Skill	Level 9	Every 19 notes, there is a 17% chance of increasing the score of each note by 332 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 580 (base note score) x 439.6 (total multiplier) = 26524
Estimated skill score	332 x 12.1% (average note coverage for AP) x 345 = 13828 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	332 x 11.6% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 345 = 13110
Estimated total score	26524 (estimated non-skill score) + 13828 (estimated skill score) = 40352

Right4

Ai Miyashita

Stats	Level 100	3850 3949 5435
Skill	Level 9	Every 15 PERFECTs, there is a 19% chance of increasing the score of each note by 289 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 580 (base note score) x 439.6 (total multiplier) = 25402
Estimated skill score	289 x 17% (average note coverage for AP) x 345 = 16949 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	289 x 16.6% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 345 = 16560
Estimated total score	25402 (estimated non-skill score) + 16949 (estimated skill score) = 42351