Chance Day, Chance Way！

This tool calculates the teams with the highest All-Perfect average or maximum scores for this song and difficulty. The non-skill score depends on the base score and should stay the same across all plays, while the skill-based score depends on how lucky you are with the skill activation rolls.

While after the latest revisions the estimated/simulated scores seem close to the actual ones, the formulas/algorithms are still incomplete and the scores should be a little bit lower than the ones from the game.

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This team was generated using all the cards in the game.

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Left4	Left3	Left2	Left1	Center	Right1	Right2	Right3	Right4
Lv 100 / SL 9 x99.7	Lv 100 / SL 9 x125.8	Lv 100 / SL 9 x164.3	Lv 100 / SL 9 x138.6	Lv 100 / SL 9 x33.6	Lv 100 / SL 9 x132.9	Lv 100 / SL 9 x167.9	Lv 100 / SL 9 x132.5	Lv 100 / SL 9 x101.7

Guest Center Skill	Smile P of Smile members increased by 13%
Team P	48728 + 6338 (center skill) + 6338 (guest center skill) = 61404
Estimated non-skill score (AP)	768 (base note score) x 1097.1 (total multiplier) = 842586
Estimated average score	842586 (non-skill score) + 509219 (average skill score) = 1351805
Estimated maximum score	842586 (non-skill score) + 1285576 (maximum skill score) = 2128162
Score from 1000 simulations	Average: 843047 (non-skill score) + 508998 (skills score) = 1352045 Percentile 10: 843047 (non-skill score) + 448479 (skills score) = 1291526 Percentile 50: 843047 (non-skill score) + 508690 (skills score) = 1351737 Percentile 90: 843047 (non-skill score) + 566252 (skills score) = 1409299 Percentile 95: 843047 (non-skill score) + 586027 (skills score) = 1429074 Percentile 99: 843047 (non-skill score) + 617734 (skills score) = 1460781 Percentile 99.5: 843047 (non-skill score) + 623720 (skills score) = 1466767

Center

You Watanabe

Center Skill	Smile P of Smile members increased by 13%
Stats	Level 100	5527 3737 4126
Skill	Level 9	Every 24 notes, there is a 27% chance of increasing the score of each note by 266 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 768 (base note score) x 1097.1 (total multiplier) = 95574
Estimated skill score	266 x 33.8% (average note coverage for AP) x 821 = 73893 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	266 x 33.8% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 821 = 73890
Estimated total score	95574 (estimated non-skill score) + 73893 (estimated skill score) = 169467

Left4

Maki Nishikino

Stats	Level 100	5599 4007 3940
Skill	Level 9	Every 22 notes, there is a 34% chance of increasing the score of each note by 198 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 768 (base note score) x 1097.1 (total multiplier) = 96809
Estimated skill score	198 x 44.1% (average note coverage for AP) x 821 = 71739 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	198 x 44.2% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 821 = 72248
Estimated total score	96809 (estimated non-skill score) + 71739 (estimated skill score) = 168548

Left3

Chisato Arashi

Stats	Level 100	5135 4120 3771
Skill	Level 9	Every 7.2 seconds, there is a 39.6% chance of increasing the score of each note by 152 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 768 (base note score) x 1097.1 (total multiplier) = 88795
Estimated skill score	152 x 20.3% (average note coverage for AP) x 821 = 25281 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	152 x 20.2% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 821 = 25451
Estimated total score	88795 (estimated non-skill score) + 25281 (estimated skill score) = 114076

Left2

Chisato Arashi

Stats	Level 100	5433 3778 4023
Skill	Level 9	Every 27 combo, there is a 35% chance of increasing the score of each note by 174 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 768 (base note score) x 1097.1 (total multiplier) = 93955
Estimated skill score	174 x 37% (average note coverage for AP) x 821 = 52822 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	174 x 37.5% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 821 = 53365
Estimated total score	93955 (estimated non-skill score) + 52822 (estimated skill score) = 146776

Left1

Kinako Sakurakoji

Stats	Level 100	5428 4014 3792
Skill	Level 9	Every 20 PERFECTs, there is a 28% chance of increasing the score of each note by 252 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 768 (base note score) x 1097.1 (total multiplier) = 93859
Estimated skill score	252 x 40.3% (average note coverage for AP) x 821 = 83430 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	252 x 39.9% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 821 = 82921
Estimated total score	93859 (estimated non-skill score) + 83430 (estimated skill score) = 177289

Right1

Kanon Shibuya

Stats	Level 100	5292 3853 3855
Skill	Level 9	Every 7.2 seconds, there is a 39.6% chance of increasing the score of each note by 152 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 768 (base note score) x 1097.1 (total multiplier) = 91498
Estimated skill score	152 x 20.3% (average note coverage for AP) x 821 = 25281 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	152 x 20.3% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 821 = 25451
Estimated total score	91498 (estimated non-skill score) + 25281 (estimated skill score) = 116779

Right2

Ren Hazuki

Stats	Level 100	5438 4045 3751
Skill	Level 9	Every 23 combo, there is a 52% chance of increasing the score of each note by 108 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 768 (base note score) x 1097.1 (total multiplier) = 94023
Estimated skill score	108 x 59% (average note coverage for AP) x 821 = 52355 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	108 x 59.1% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 821 = 52544
Estimated total score	94023 (estimated non-skill score) + 52355 (estimated skill score) = 146378

Right3

Shiki Wakana

Stats	Level 100	5266 3738 4048
Skill	Level 9	Every 14 combo, there is a 28% chance of increasing the score of each note by 123 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 768 (base note score) x 1097.1 (total multiplier) = 91059
Estimated skill score	123 x 50.3% (average note coverage for AP) x 821 = 50759 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	123 x 49.6% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 821 = 50081
Estimated total score	91059 (estimated non-skill score) + 50759 (estimated skill score) = 141818

Right4

Ayumu Uehara

Stats	Level 100	5610 3926 4010
Skill	Level 9	Every 19 notes, there is a 17% chance of increasing the score of each note by 332 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 768 (base note score) x 1097.1 (total multiplier) = 97015
Estimated skill score	332 x 27% (average note coverage for AP) x 821 = 73660 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	332 x 27.1% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 821 = 73890
Estimated total score	97015 (estimated non-skill score) + 73660 (estimated skill score) = 170675