Tragic Drops

This tool calculates the teams with the highest All-Perfect average or maximum scores for this song and difficulty. The non-skill score depends on the base score and should stay the same across all plays, while the skill-based score depends on how lucky you are with the skill activation rolls.

While after the latest revisions the estimated/simulated scores seem close to the actual ones, the formulas/algorithms are still incomplete and the scores should be a little bit lower than the ones from the game.

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This team was generated using all the cards in the game.

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Left4	Left3	Left2	Left1	Center	Right1	Right2	Right3	Right4
Lv 100 / SL 9 x29.9	Lv 100 / SL 9 x69.3	Lv 100 / SL 9 x69.5	Lv 100 / SL 9 x46.3	Lv 100 / SL 9 x16.2	Lv 100 / SL 9 x46.4	Lv 100 / SL 9 x77.4	Lv 100 / SL 9 x64.9	Lv 100 / SL 9 x28.7

Guest Center Skill	Pure P of Pure members increased by 13%
Team P	50000 + 6505 (center skill) + 6505 (guest center skill) = 63010
Estimated non-skill score (AP)	788 (base note score) x 448.5 (total multiplier) = 353437
Estimated average score	353437 (non-skill score) + 169263 (average skill score) = 522700
Estimated maximum score	353437 (non-skill score) + 519572 (maximum skill score) = 873009
Score from 1000 simulations	Average: 353612 (non-skill score) + 169119 (skills score) = 522731 Percentile 10: 353612 (non-skill score) + 143335 (skills score) = 496947 Percentile 50: 353612 (non-skill score) + 169169 (skills score) = 522781 Percentile 90: 353612 (non-skill score) + 196275 (skills score) = 549887 Percentile 95: 353612 (non-skill score) + 203966 (skills score) = 557578 Percentile 99: 353612 (non-skill score) + 220239 (skills score) = 573851 Percentile 99.5: 353612 (non-skill score) + 225416 (skills score) = 579028

Center

Yoshiko Tsushima

Center Skill	Pure P of Pure members increased by 13%
Stats	Level 100	3916 5587 3965
Skill	Level 9	Every 21 combo, there is a 47% chance of increasing the score of each note by 159 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 788 (base note score) x 448.5 (total multiplier) = 39495
Estimated skill score	159 x 33.8% (average note coverage for AP) x 341 = 18348 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	159 x 33.4% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 341 = 18073
Estimated total score	39495 (estimated non-skill score) + 18348 (estimated skill score) = 57843

Left4

Shizuku Osaka

Stats	Level 100	3838 5578 4052
Skill	Level 9	Every 24 combo, there is a 35% chance of increasing the score of each note by 234 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 788 (base note score) x 448.5 (total multiplier) = 39433
Estimated skill score	234 x 21.3% (average note coverage for AP) x 341 = 17035 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	234 x 21.4% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 341 = 17050
Estimated total score	39433 (estimated non-skill score) + 17035 (estimated skill score) = 56468

Left3

Emma Verde

Stats	Level 100	3770 5576 4122
Skill	Level 9	Every 24 PERFECTs, there is a 40% chance of increasing the score of each note by 210 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 788 (base note score) x 448.5 (total multiplier) = 39410
Estimated skill score	210 x 27.6% (average note coverage for AP) x 341 = 19790 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	210 x 27.3% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 341 = 19437
Estimated total score	39410 (estimated non-skill score) + 19790 (estimated skill score) = 59201

Left2

Riko Sakurauchi

Stats	Level 100	3920 5572 3976
Skill	Level 9	Every 15 PERFECTs, there is a 19% chance of increasing the score of each note by 289 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 788 (base note score) x 448.5 (total multiplier) = 39388
Estimated skill score	289 x 20.3% (average note coverage for AP) x 341 = 19960 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	289 x 20.2% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 341 = 19778
Estimated total score	39388 (estimated non-skill score) + 19960 (estimated skill score) = 59348

Left1

Kanon Shibuya

Stats	Level 100	4018 5482 3812
Skill	Level 9	Every 21 combo, there is a 47% chance of increasing the score of each note by 159 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 788 (base note score) x 448.5 (total multiplier) = 38749
Estimated skill score	159 x 33.8% (average note coverage for AP) x 341 = 18348 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	159 x 33.9% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 341 = 18414
Estimated total score	38749 (estimated non-skill score) + 18348 (estimated skill score) = 57097

Right1

Umi Sonoda

Stats	Level 100	4109 5478 3725
Skill	Level 9	Every 21 PERFECTs, there is a 27% chance of increasing the score of each note by 272 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 788 (base note score) x 448.5 (total multiplier) = 38726
Estimated skill score	272 x 20.7% (average note coverage for AP) x 341 = 19162 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	272 x 21.1% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 341 = 19437
Estimated total score	38726 (estimated non-skill score) + 19162 (estimated skill score) = 57888

Right2

You Watanabe

Stats	Level 100	4045 5619 3882
Skill	Level 9	Every 16 PERFECTs, there is a 24% chance of increasing the score of each note by 244 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 788 (base note score) x 448.5 (total multiplier) = 39719
Estimated skill score	244 x 24% (average note coverage for AP) x 341 = 19941 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	244 x 23.9% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 341 = 19778
Estimated total score	39719 (estimated non-skill score) + 19941 (estimated skill score) = 59660

Right3

Karin Asaka

Stats	Level 100	3995 5561 3912
Skill	Level 9	Every 26 PERFECTs, there is a 26% chance of increasing the score of each note by 337 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 788 (base note score) x 448.5 (total multiplier) = 39304
Estimated skill score	337 x 16.9% (average note coverage for AP) x 341 = 19452 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	337 x 16.9% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 341 = 19437
Estimated total score	39304 (estimated non-skill score) + 19452 (estimated skill score) = 58756

Right4

Margarete Wien

Stats	Level 100	3878 5547 3965
Skill	Level 9	Every 13 notes, there is a 38% chance of increasing the score of each note by 116 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 788 (base note score) x 448.5 (total multiplier) = 39214
Estimated skill score	116 x 43.5% (average note coverage for AP) x 341 = 17226 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	116 x 43.5% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 341 = 17391
Estimated total score	39214 (estimated non-skill score) + 17226 (estimated skill score) = 56440