Tragic Drops

This tool calculates the teams with the highest All-Perfect average or maximum scores for this song and difficulty. The non-skill score depends on the base score and should stay the same across all plays, while the skill-based score depends on how lucky you are with the skill activation rolls.

While after the latest revisions the estimated/simulated scores seem close to the actual ones, the formulas/algorithms are still incomplete and the scores should be a little bit lower than the ones from the game.

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This team was generated using all the cards in the game.

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Left4	Left3	Left2	Left1	Center	Right1	Right2	Right3	Right4
Lv 100 / SL 9 x29.9	Lv 100 / SL 9 x69.3	Lv 100 / SL 9 x69.5	Lv 100 / SL 9 x46.3	Lv 100 / SL 9 x16.2	Lv 100 / SL 9 x46.4	Lv 100 / SL 9 x77.4	Lv 100 / SL 9 x64.9	Lv 100 / SL 9 x28.7

Guest Center Skill	Pure P of Pure members increased by 13%
Team P	50199 + 6531 (center skill) + 6531 (guest center skill) = 63261
Estimated non-skill score (AP)	791 (base note score) x 448.5 (total multiplier) = 354783
Estimated average score	354783 (non-skill score) + 161967 (average skill score) = 516750
Estimated maximum score	354783 (non-skill score) + 508492 (maximum skill score) = 863275
Score from 1000 simulations	Average: 355014 (non-skill score) + 162578 (skills score) = 517592 Percentile 10: 355014 (non-skill score) + 134464 (skills score) = 489478 Percentile 50: 355014 (non-skill score) + 161987 (skills score) = 517001 Percentile 90: 355014 (non-skill score) + 190834 (skills score) = 545848 Percentile 95: 355014 (non-skill score) + 202639 (skills score) = 557653 Percentile 99: 355014 (non-skill score) + 218885 (skills score) = 573899 Percentile 99.5: 355014 (non-skill score) + 222147 (skills score) = 577161

Center

Yoshiko Tsushima

Center Skill	Pure P of Pure members increased by 13%
Stats	Level 100	3916 5587 3965
Skill	Level 9	Every 21 combo, there is a 47% chance of increasing the score of each note by 159 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 791 (base note score) x 448.5 (total multiplier) = 39488
Estimated skill score	159 x 33.8% (average note coverage for AP) x 341 = 18348 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	159 x 34.2% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 341 = 18414
Estimated total score	39488 (estimated non-skill score) + 18348 (estimated skill score) = 57836

Left4

Karin Asaka

Stats	Level 100	3995 5561 3912
Skill	Level 9	Every 26 PERFECTs, there is a 26% chance of increasing the score of each note by 337 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 791 (base note score) x 448.5 (total multiplier) = 39297
Estimated skill score	337 x 16.9% (average note coverage for AP) x 341 = 19452 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	337 x 17.2% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 341 = 19778
Estimated total score	39297 (estimated non-skill score) + 19452 (estimated skill score) = 58749

Left3

Shizuku Osaka

Stats	Level 100	3838 5578 4052
Skill	Level 9	Every 24 combo, there is a 35% chance of increasing the score of each note by 234 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 791 (base note score) x 448.5 (total multiplier) = 39426
Estimated skill score	234 x 21.3% (average note coverage for AP) x 341 = 17035 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	234 x 21.2% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 341 = 17050
Estimated total score	39426 (estimated non-skill score) + 17035 (estimated skill score) = 56461

Left2

Hanamaru Kunikida

Stats	Level 100	4100 5594 3852
Skill	Level 9	Every 25 combo, there is a 27% chance of increasing the score of each note by 311 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 791 (base note score) x 448.5 (total multiplier) = 39538
Estimated skill score	311 x 15.4% (average note coverage for AP) x 341 = 16374 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	311 x 15.6% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 341 = 16709
Estimated total score	39538 (estimated non-skill score) + 16374 (estimated skill score) = 55912

Left1

Lanzhu Zhong

Stats	Level 100	4116 5565 3787
Skill	Level 9	Every 11.2 seconds, there is a 37% chance of increasing the score of each note by 317 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 791 (base note score) x 448.5 (total multiplier) = 39331
Estimated skill score	317 x 12.8% (average note coverage for AP) x 341 = 13840 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	317 x 12.5% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 341 = 13640
Estimated total score	39331 (estimated non-skill score) + 13840 (estimated skill score) = 53171

Right1

Riko Sakurauchi

Stats	Level 100	3920 5572 3976
Skill	Level 9	Every 15 PERFECTs, there is a 19% chance of increasing the score of each note by 289 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 791 (base note score) x 448.5 (total multiplier) = 39381
Estimated skill score	289 x 20.3% (average note coverage for AP) x 341 = 19960 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	289 x 20.5% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 341 = 20119
Estimated total score	39381 (estimated non-skill score) + 19960 (estimated skill score) = 59341

Right2

You Watanabe

Stats	Level 100	4045 5619 3882
Skill	Level 9	Every 16 PERFECTs, there is a 24% chance of increasing the score of each note by 244 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 791 (base note score) x 448.5 (total multiplier) = 39712
Estimated skill score	244 x 24% (average note coverage for AP) x 341 = 19941 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	244 x 23.9% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 341 = 19778
Estimated total score	39712 (estimated non-skill score) + 19941 (estimated skill score) = 59653

Right3

Emma Verde

Stats	Level 100	3770 5576 4122
Skill	Level 9	Every 24 PERFECTs, there is a 40% chance of increasing the score of each note by 210 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 791 (base note score) x 448.5 (total multiplier) = 39404
Estimated skill score	210 x 27.6% (average note coverage for AP) x 341 = 19790 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	210 x 27.5% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 341 = 19778
Estimated total score	39404 (estimated non-skill score) + 19790 (estimated skill score) = 59194

Right4

Margarete Wien

Stats	Level 100	3878 5547 3965
Skill	Level 9	Every 13 notes, there is a 38% chance of increasing the score of each note by 116 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 791 (base note score) x 448.5 (total multiplier) = 39207
Estimated skill score	116 x 43.5% (average note coverage for AP) x 341 = 17226 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	116 x 43.9% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 341 = 17391
Estimated total score	39207 (estimated non-skill score) + 17226 (estimated skill score) = 56433