Silent tonight

This tool calculates the teams with the highest All-Perfect average or maximum scores for this song and difficulty. The non-skill score depends on the base score and should stay the same across all plays, while the skill-based score depends on how lucky you are with the skill activation rolls.

While after the latest revisions the estimated/simulated scores seem close to the actual ones, the formulas/algorithms are still incomplete and the scores should be a little bit lower than the ones from the game.

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This team was generated using all the cards in the game.

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Left4	Left3	Left2	Left1	Center	Right1	Right2	Right3	Right4
Lv 100 / SL 9 x24.4	Lv 100 / SL 9 x22.4	Lv 100 / SL 9 x24.6	Lv 100 / SL 9 x28.2	Lv 100 / SL 9 x11.6	Lv 100 / SL 9 x22.7	Lv 100 / SL 7 x24.6	Lv 100 / SL 9 x23.3	Lv 100 / SL 9 x27.3

Guest Center Skill	Pure P of Pure members increased by 13%
Team P	47853 + 6225 (center skill) + 6225 (guest center skill) = 60303
Estimated non-skill score (AP)	754 (base note score) x 209.2 (total multiplier) = 157722
Estimated average score	157722 (non-skill score) + 39384 (average skill score) = 197106
Estimated maximum score	157722 (non-skill score) + 109154 (maximum skill score) = 266876
Score from 1000 simulations	Average: 157807 (non-skill score) + 39179 (skills score) = 196986 Percentile 10: 157807 (non-skill score) + 32111 (skills score) = 189918 Percentile 50: 157807 (non-skill score) + 39101 (skills score) = 196908 Percentile 90: 157807 (non-skill score) + 46378 (skills score) = 204185 Percentile 95: 157807 (non-skill score) + 48673 (skills score) = 206480 Percentile 99: 157807 (non-skill score) + 53443 (skills score) = 211250 Percentile 99.5: 157807 (non-skill score) + 54700 (skills score) = 212507

Center

Yoshiko Tsushima

Center Skill	Pure P of Pure members increased by 13%
Stats	Level 100	3916 5587 3965
Skill	Level 9	Every 21 combo, there is a 47% chance of increasing the score of each note by 159 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 754 (base note score) x 209.2 (total multiplier) = 18416
Estimated skill score	159 x 11% (average note coverage for AP) x 158 = 2765 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	159 x 11% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 158 = 2686
Estimated total score	18416 (estimated non-skill score) + 2765 (estimated skill score) = 21181

Left4

Chika Takami

Stats	Level 100	4071 5076 3879
Skill	Level 9	Every 4.2 seconds, there is a 35.6% chance of increasing the score of each note by 111 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 754 (base note score) x 209.2 (total multiplier) = 16729
Estimated skill score	111 x 33.8% (average note coverage for AP) x 158 = 5927 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	111 x 34% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 158 = 6004
Estimated total score	16729 (estimated non-skill score) + 5927 (estimated skill score) = 22656

Left3

Riko Sakurauchi

Stats	Level 100	3920 5572 3976
Skill	Level 9	Every 15 PERFECTs, there is a 19% chance of increasing the score of each note by 289 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 754 (base note score) x 209.2 (total multiplier) = 18366
Estimated skill score	289 x 7.2% (average note coverage for AP) x 158 = 3295 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	289 x 7.1% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 158 = 3318
Estimated total score	18366 (estimated non-skill score) + 3295 (estimated skill score) = 21661

Left2

Lanzhu Zhong

Stats	Level 100	4116 5565 3787
Skill	Level 9	Every 11.2 seconds, there is a 37% chance of increasing the score of each note by 317 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 754 (base note score) x 209.2 (total multiplier) = 18343
Estimated skill score	317 x 11.7% (average note coverage for AP) x 158 = 5865 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	317 x 11.5% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 158 = 5688
Estimated total score	18343 (estimated non-skill score) + 5865 (estimated skill score) = 24207

Left1

Nico Yazawa

Stats	Level 100	3756 5474 4082
Skill	Level 9	Every 24 notes, there is a 27% chance of increasing the score of each note by 266 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 754 (base note score) x 209.2 (total multiplier) = 18042
Estimated skill score	266 x 6.3% (average note coverage for AP) x 158 = 2657 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	266 x 6.2% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 158 = 2686
Estimated total score	18042 (estimated non-skill score) + 2657 (estimated skill score) = 20699

Right1

Keke Tang

Stats	Level 100	4257 5030 3869
Skill	Level 9	Every 8.2 seconds, there is a 40.6% chance of increasing the score of each note by 165 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 754 (base note score) x 209.2 (total multiplier) = 16577
Estimated skill score	165 x 19.5% (average note coverage for AP) x 158 = 5091 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	165 x 19.7% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 158 = 5056
Estimated total score	16577 (estimated non-skill score) + 5091 (estimated skill score) = 21668

Right2

Rin Hoshizora

Stats	Level 100	3853 5442 3939
Skill	Level 7	Every 15.4 seconds, there is a 58% chance of increasing the score of each note by 213 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 754 (base note score) x 209.2 (total multiplier) = 17937
Estimated skill score	213 x 15.8% (average note coverage for AP) x 158 = 5312 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	213 x 15.6% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 158 = 5214
Estimated total score	17937 (estimated non-skill score) + 5312 (estimated skill score) = 23249

Right3

Kanon Shibuya

Stats	Level 100	3771 4728 3851
Skill	Level 9	Every 7 seconds, there is a 38.6% chance of increasing the score of each note by 181 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 754 (base note score) x 209.2 (total multiplier) = 15583
Estimated skill score	181 x 22% (average note coverage for AP) x 158 = 6288 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	181 x 22.1% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 158 = 6320
Estimated total score	15583 (estimated non-skill score) + 6288 (estimated skill score) = 21871

Right4

Maki Nishikino

Stats	Level 100	4023 5379 3728
Skill	Level 9	Every 22 PERFECTs, there is a 39% chance of increasing the score of each note by 140 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 754 (base note score) x 209.2 (total multiplier) = 17731
Estimated skill score	140 x 9.9% (average note coverage for AP) x 158 = 2184 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	140 x 9.7% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 158 = 2212
Estimated total score	17731 (estimated non-skill score) + 2184 (estimated skill score) = 19915