Silent tonight

This tool calculates the teams with the highest All-Perfect average or maximum scores for this song and difficulty. The non-skill score depends on the base score and should stay the same across all plays, while the skill-based score depends on how lucky you are with the skill activation rolls.

While after the latest revisions the estimated/simulated scores seem close to the actual ones, the formulas/algorithms are still incomplete and the scores should be a little bit lower than the ones from the game.

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This team was generated using all the cards in the game.

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Left4	Left3	Left2	Left1	Center	Right1	Right2	Right3	Right4
Lv 100 / SL 9 x24.4	Lv 100 / SL 9 x22.4	Lv 100 / SL 9 x24.6	Lv 100 / SL 9 x28.2	Lv 100 / SL 9 x11.6	Lv 100 / SL 9 x22.7	Lv 100 / SL 9 x24.6	Lv 100 / SL 9 x23.3	Lv 100 / SL 9 x24.9

Guest Center Skill	Pure P of Pure members increased by 13%
Team P	47712 + 6207 (center skill) + 6207 (guest center skill) = 60126
Estimated non-skill score (AP)	752 (base note score) x 206.7 (total multiplier) = 155435
Estimated average score	155435 (non-skill score) + 38172 (average skill score) = 193607
Estimated maximum score	155435 (non-skill score) + 130530 (maximum skill score) = 285965
Score from 1000 simulations	Average: 155499 (non-skill score) + 37997 (skills score) = 193496 Percentile 10: 155499 (non-skill score) + 29890 (skills score) = 185389 Percentile 50: 155499 (non-skill score) + 37965 (skills score) = 193464 Percentile 90: 155499 (non-skill score) + 45900 (skills score) = 201399 Percentile 95: 155499 (non-skill score) + 48079 (skills score) = 203578 Percentile 99: 155499 (non-skill score) + 52252 (skills score) = 207751 Percentile 99.5: 155499 (non-skill score) + 53891 (skills score) = 209390

Center

Umi Sonoda

Center Skill	Pure P of Pure members increased by 13%
Stats	Level 100	4109 5478 3725
Skill	Level 9	Every 21 PERFECTs, there is a 27% chance of increasing the score of each note by 272 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 752 (base note score) x 206.7 (total multiplier) = 17848
Estimated skill score	272 x 7% (average note coverage for AP) x 158 = 3011 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	272 x 7% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 158 = 3002
Estimated total score	17848 (estimated non-skill score) + 3011 (estimated skill score) = 20859

Left4

Chika Takami

Stats	Level 100	4071 5076 3879
Skill	Level 9	Every 4.2 seconds, there is a 35.6% chance of increasing the score of each note by 111 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 752 (base note score) x 206.7 (total multiplier) = 16535
Estimated skill score	111 x 33.8% (average note coverage for AP) x 158 = 5927 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	111 x 33.6% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 158 = 5846
Estimated total score	16535 (estimated non-skill score) + 5927 (estimated skill score) = 22462

Left3

Kasumi Nakasu

Stats	Level 100	4015 4717 4346
Skill	Level 9	Every 6.2 seconds, there is a 38.6% chance of increasing the score of each note by 138 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 752 (base note score) x 206.7 (total multiplier) = 15369
Estimated skill score	138 x 24.7% (average note coverage for AP) x 158 = 5380 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	138 x 24.4% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 158 = 5372
Estimated total score	15369 (estimated non-skill score) + 5380 (estimated skill score) = 20749

Left2

Keke Tang

Stats	Level 100	3871 5483 3958
Skill	Level 9	Every 17 notes, there is a 16% chance of increasing the score of each note by 318 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 752 (base note score) x 206.7 (total multiplier) = 17861
Estimated skill score	318 x 5.3% (average note coverage for AP) x 158 = 2646 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	318 x 5.2% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 158 = 2686
Estimated total score	17861 (estimated non-skill score) + 2646 (estimated skill score) = 20507

Left1

Nico Yazawa

Stats	Level 100	3756 5474 4082
Skill	Level 9	Every 24 notes, there is a 27% chance of increasing the score of each note by 266 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 752 (base note score) x 206.7 (total multiplier) = 17832
Estimated skill score	266 x 6.3% (average note coverage for AP) x 158 = 2657 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	266 x 6.2% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 158 = 2686
Estimated total score	17832 (estimated non-skill score) + 2657 (estimated skill score) = 20490

Right1

You Watanabe

Stats	Level 100	4045 5619 3882
Skill	Level 9	Every 16 PERFECTs, there is a 24% chance of increasing the score of each note by 244 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 752 (base note score) x 206.7 (total multiplier) = 18305
Estimated skill score	244 x 8.1% (average note coverage for AP) x 158 = 3104 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	244 x 7.8% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 158 = 3002
Estimated total score	18305 (estimated non-skill score) + 3104 (estimated skill score) = 21409

Right2

Lanzhu Zhong

Stats	Level 100	4116 5565 3787
Skill	Level 9	Every 11.2 seconds, there is a 37% chance of increasing the score of each note by 317 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 752 (base note score) x 206.7 (total multiplier) = 18130
Estimated skill score	317 x 11.7% (average note coverage for AP) x 158 = 5865 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	317 x 11.8% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 158 = 5846
Estimated total score	18130 (estimated non-skill score) + 5865 (estimated skill score) = 23994

Right3

Kanon Shibuya

Stats	Level 100	3771 4728 3851
Skill	Level 9	Every 7 seconds, there is a 38.6% chance of increasing the score of each note by 181 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 752 (base note score) x 206.7 (total multiplier) = 15402
Estimated skill score	181 x 22% (average note coverage for AP) x 158 = 6288 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	181 x 22.1% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 158 = 6320
Estimated total score	15402 (estimated non-skill score) + 6288 (estimated skill score) = 21690

Right4

Riko Sakurauchi

Stats	Level 100	3920 5572 3976
Skill	Level 9	Every 15 PERFECTs, there is a 19% chance of increasing the score of each note by 289 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 752 (base note score) x 206.7 (total multiplier) = 18153
Estimated skill score	289 x 7.2% (average note coverage for AP) x 158 = 3295 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	289 x 7.2% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 158 = 3318
Estimated total score	18153 (estimated non-skill score) + 3295 (estimated skill score) = 21448