Silent tonight

This tool calculates the teams with the highest All-Perfect average or maximum scores for this song and difficulty. The non-skill score depends on the base score and should stay the same across all plays, while the skill-based score depends on how lucky you are with the skill activation rolls.

While after the latest revisions the estimated/simulated scores seem close to the actual ones, the formulas/algorithms are still incomplete and the scores should be a little bit lower than the ones from the game.

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This team was generated using all the cards in the game.

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Left4	Left3	Left2	Left1	Center	Right1	Right2	Right3	Right4
Lv 100 / SL 9 x24.4	Lv 100 / SL 9 x22.4	Lv 100 / SL 9 x27.1	Lv 100 / SL 9 x28.2	Lv 100 / SL 9 x11.6	Lv 100 / SL 9 x22.7	Lv 100 / SL 9 x27.1	Lv 100 / SL 9 x23.3	Lv 100 / SL 9 x27.3

Guest Center Skill	Pure P of Pure members increased by 13%
Team P	49418 + 6429 (center skill) + 6429 (guest center skill) = 62276
Estimated non-skill score (AP)	779 (base note score) x 214.1 (total multiplier) = 166787
Estimated average score	166787 (non-skill score) + 21515 (average skill score) = 188302
Estimated maximum score	166787 (non-skill score) + 63696 (maximum skill score) = 230483
Score from 1000 simulations	Average: 166855 (non-skill score) + 21419 (skills score) = 188274 Percentile 10: 166855 (non-skill score) + 15825 (skills score) = 182680 Percentile 50: 166855 (non-skill score) + 21314 (skills score) = 188169 Percentile 90: 166855 (non-skill score) + 26968 (skills score) = 193823 Percentile 95: 166855 (non-skill score) + 28535 (skills score) = 195390 Percentile 99: 166855 (non-skill score) + 31997 (skills score) = 198852 Percentile 99.5: 166855 (non-skill score) + 33096 (skills score) = 199951

Center

Yoshiko Tsushima

Center Skill	Pure P of Pure members increased by 13%
Stats	Level 100	3916 5587 3965
Skill	Level 9	Every 21 combo, there is a 47% chance of increasing the score of each note by 159 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 779 (base note score) x 214.1 (total multiplier) = 18857
Estimated skill score	159 x 11% (average note coverage for AP) x 158 = 2765 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	159 x 10.6% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 158 = 2686
Estimated total score	18857 (estimated non-skill score) + 2765 (estimated skill score) = 21622

Left4

You Watanabe

Stats	Level 100	4045 5619 3882
Skill	Level 9	Every 16 PERFECTs, there is a 24% chance of increasing the score of each note by 244 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 779 (base note score) x 214.1 (total multiplier) = 18964
Estimated skill score	244 x 8.1% (average note coverage for AP) x 158 = 3104 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	244 x 7.7% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 158 = 3002
Estimated total score	18964 (estimated non-skill score) + 3104 (estimated skill score) = 22068

Left3

Emma Verde

Stats	Level 100	3770 5576 4122
Skill	Level 9	Every 24 PERFECTs, there is a 40% chance of increasing the score of each note by 210 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 779 (base note score) x 214.1 (total multiplier) = 18817
Estimated skill score	210 x 9.4% (average note coverage for AP) x 158 = 3108 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	210 x 9.4% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 158 = 3160
Estimated total score	18817 (estimated non-skill score) + 3108 (estimated skill score) = 21925

Left2

Eli Ayase

Stats	Level 100	3771 5376 4009
Skill	Level 9	Every 24 combo, there is a 43% chance of increasing the score of each note by 127 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 779 (base note score) x 214.1 (total multiplier) = 18142
Estimated skill score	127 x 8.2% (average note coverage for AP) x 158 = 1638 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	127 x 8.3% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 158 = 1738
Estimated total score	18142 (estimated non-skill score) + 1638 (estimated skill score) = 19780

Left1

Nico Yazawa

Stats	Level 100	3756 5474 4082
Skill	Level 9	Every 24 notes, there is a 27% chance of increasing the score of each note by 266 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 779 (base note score) x 214.1 (total multiplier) = 18474
Estimated skill score	266 x 6.3% (average note coverage for AP) x 158 = 2657 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	266 x 6.5% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 158 = 2686
Estimated total score	18474 (estimated non-skill score) + 2657 (estimated skill score) = 21132

Right1

Shizuku Osaka

Stats	Level 100	3838 5578 4052
Skill	Level 9	Every 24 combo, there is a 35% chance of increasing the score of each note by 234 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 779 (base note score) x 214.1 (total multiplier) = 18828
Estimated skill score	234 x 6.6% (average note coverage for AP) x 158 = 2457 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	234 x 6.8% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 158 = 2528
Estimated total score	18828 (estimated non-skill score) + 2457 (estimated skill score) = 21285

Right2

Nico Yazawa

Stats	Level 100	3754 5235 4011
Skill	Level 9	Every 26 combo, there is a 47% chance of increasing the score of each note by 125 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 779 (base note score) x 214.1 (total multiplier) = 17668
Estimated skill score	125 x 8% (average note coverage for AP) x 158 = 1586 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	125 x 7.9% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 158 = 1580
Estimated total score	17668 (estimated non-skill score) + 1586 (estimated skill score) = 19254

Right3

Hanamaru Kunikida

Stats	Level 100	4100 5594 3852
Skill	Level 9	Every 25 combo, there is a 27% chance of increasing the score of each note by 311 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 779 (base note score) x 214.1 (total multiplier) = 18881
Estimated skill score	311 x 4.1% (average note coverage for AP) x 158 = 2015 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	311 x 4.1% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 158 = 2054
Estimated total score	18881 (estimated non-skill score) + 2015 (estimated skill score) = 20897

Right4

Maki Nishikino

Stats	Level 100	4023 5379 3728
Skill	Level 9	Every 22 PERFECTs, there is a 39% chance of increasing the score of each note by 140 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 779 (base note score) x 214.1 (total multiplier) = 18155
Estimated skill score	140 x 9.9% (average note coverage for AP) x 158 = 2184 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	140 x 9.7% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 158 = 2212
Estimated total score	18155 (estimated non-skill score) + 2184 (estimated skill score) = 20339