Guilty!? Farewell party

This tool calculates the teams with the highest All-Perfect average or maximum scores for this song and difficulty. The non-skill score depends on the base score and should stay the same across all plays, while the skill-based score depends on how lucky you are with the skill activation rolls.

While after the latest revisions the estimated/simulated scores seem close to the actual ones, the formulas/algorithms are still incomplete and the scores should be a little bit lower than the ones from the game.

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This team was generated using all the cards in the game.

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Left4	Left3	Left2	Left1	Center	Right1	Right2	Right3	Right4
Lv 100 / SL 9 x53.3	Lv 100 / SL 9 x75	Lv 100 / SL 9 x110.1	Lv 100 / SL 9 x68.5	Lv 100 / SL 9 x27	Lv 100 / SL 9 x75.9	Lv 100 / SL 9 x94.2	Lv 100 / SL 9 x70.6	Lv 100 / SL 9 x59.2

Guest Center Skill	Smile P of Smile members increased by 13%
Team P	48440 + 6301 (center skill) + 6301 (guest center skill) = 61042
Estimated non-skill score (AP)	764 (base note score) x 633.8 (total multiplier) = 484248
Estimated average score	484248 (non-skill score) + 229868 (average skill score) = 714116
Estimated maximum score	484248 (non-skill score) + 772825 (maximum skill score) = 1257073
Score from 1000 simulations	Average: 484508 (non-skill score) + 229220 (skills score) = 713728 Percentile 10: 484508 (non-skill score) + 198545 (skills score) = 683053 Percentile 50: 484508 (non-skill score) + 228528 (skills score) = 713036 Percentile 90: 484508 (non-skill score) + 261700 (skills score) = 746208 Percentile 95: 484508 (non-skill score) + 272352 (skills score) = 756860 Percentile 99: 484508 (non-skill score) + 288926 (skills score) = 773434 Percentile 99.5: 484508 (non-skill score) + 294756 (skills score) = 779264

Center

You Watanabe

Center Skill	Smile P of Smile members increased by 13%
Stats	Level 100	5527 3737 4126
Skill	Level 9	Every 24 notes, there is a 27% chance of increasing the score of each note by 266 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 764 (base note score) x 633.8 (total multiplier) = 55254
Estimated skill score	266 x 20.2% (average note coverage for AP) x 463 = 24902 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	266 x 20.3% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 463 = 25002
Estimated total score	55254 (estimated non-skill score) + 24902 (estimated skill score) = 80156

Left4

Eli Ayase

Stats	Level 100	5150 4075 4243
Skill	Level 9	Every 21 PERFECTs, there is a 35% chance of increasing the score of each note by 183 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 764 (base note score) x 633.8 (total multiplier) = 51485
Estimated skill score	183 x 29.4% (average note coverage for AP) x 463 = 24951 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	183 x 29.2% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 463 = 25002
Estimated total score	51485 (estimated non-skill score) + 24951 (estimated skill score) = 76436

Left3

Maki Nishikino

Stats	Level 100	5599 4007 3940
Skill	Level 9	Every 22 notes, there is a 34% chance of increasing the score of each note by 198 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 764 (base note score) x 633.8 (total multiplier) = 55968
Estimated skill score	198 x 27.7% (average note coverage for AP) x 463 = 25378 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	198 x 27.9% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 463 = 25465
Estimated total score	55968 (estimated non-skill score) + 25378 (estimated skill score) = 81346

Left2

Mari Ohara

Stats	Level 100	5251 3984 3817
Skill	Level 9	Every 17 combo, there is a 31% chance of increasing the score of each note by 129 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 764 (base note score) x 633.8 (total multiplier) = 52493
Estimated skill score	129 x 28.6% (average note coverage for AP) x 463 = 17064 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	129 x 28.4% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 463 = 17131
Estimated total score	52493 (estimated non-skill score) + 17064 (estimated skill score) = 69557

Left1

Ayumu Uehara

Stats	Level 100	4907 3619 3824
Skill	Level 9	Every 18 PERFECTs, there is a 41% chance of increasing the score of each note by 163 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 764 (base note score) x 633.8 (total multiplier) = 49050
Estimated skill score	163 x 39.9% (average note coverage for AP) x 463 = 30086 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	163 x 39.7% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 463 = 30095
Estimated total score	49050 (estimated non-skill score) + 30086 (estimated skill score) = 79136

Right1

Kinako Sakurakoji

Stats	Level 100	5428 4014 3792
Skill	Level 9	Every 20 PERFECTs, there is a 28% chance of increasing the score of each note by 252 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 764 (base note score) x 633.8 (total multiplier) = 54262
Estimated skill score	252 x 25.2% (average note coverage for AP) x 463 = 29460 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	252 x 25% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 463 = 29169
Estimated total score	54262 (estimated non-skill score) + 29460 (estimated skill score) = 83722

Right2

Ruby Kurosawa

Stats	Level 100	5529 4082 3779
Skill	Level 9	Every 24 PERFECTs, there is a 40% chance of increasing the score of each note by 210 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 764 (base note score) x 633.8 (total multiplier) = 55270
Estimated skill score	210 x 29.9% (average note coverage for AP) x 463 = 29114 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	210 x 29.4% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 463 = 28706
Estimated total score	55270 (estimated non-skill score) + 29114 (estimated skill score) = 84384

Right3

Ayumu Uehara

Stats	Level 100	5610 3926 4010
Skill	Level 9	Every 19 notes, there is a 17% chance of increasing the score of each note by 332 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 764 (base note score) x 633.8 (total multiplier) = 56087
Estimated skill score	332 x 16.3% (average note coverage for AP) x 463 = 25026 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	332 x 16% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 463 = 24539
Estimated total score	56087 (estimated non-skill score) + 25026 (estimated skill score) = 81113

Right4

Rina Tennoji

Stats	Level 100	5439 3890 3905
Skill	Level 9	Every 27 PERFECTs, there is a 24% chance of increasing the score of each note by 319 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 764 (base note score) x 633.8 (total multiplier) = 54381
Estimated skill score	319 x 16.2% (average note coverage for AP) x 463 = 23887 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	319 x 16.6% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 463 = 24539
Estimated total score	54381 (estimated non-skill score) + 23887 (estimated skill score) = 78268