Guilty!? Farewell party

This tool calculates the teams with the highest All-Perfect average or maximum scores for this song and difficulty. The non-skill score depends on the base score and should stay the same across all plays, while the skill-based score depends on how lucky you are with the skill activation rolls.

While after the latest revisions the estimated/simulated scores seem close to the actual ones, the formulas/algorithms are still incomplete and the scores should be a little bit lower than the ones from the game.

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This team was generated using all the cards in the game.

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Left4	Left3	Left2	Left1	Center	Right1	Right2	Right3	Right4
Lv 100 / SL 9 x53.3	Lv 100 / SL 9 x82.5	Lv 100 / SL 9 x110.1	Lv 100 / SL 9 x68.5	Lv 100 / SL 9 x27	Lv 100 / SL 9 x83.5	Lv 100 / SL 9 x103.6	Lv 100 / SL 9 x70.6	Lv 100 / SL 9 x59.2

Guest Center Skill	Smile P of Smile members increased by 13%
Team P	48858 + 6356 (center skill) + 6356 (guest center skill) = 61570
Estimated non-skill score (AP)	770 (base note score) x 658.3 (total multiplier) = 506922
Estimated average score	506922 (non-skill score) + 186632 (average skill score) = 693554
Estimated maximum score	506922 (non-skill score) + 617946 (maximum skill score) = 1124868
Score from 1000 simulations	Average: 507211 (non-skill score) + 186428 (skills score) = 693639 Percentile 10: 507211 (non-skill score) + 158052 (skills score) = 665263 Percentile 50: 507211 (non-skill score) + 186610 (skills score) = 693821 Percentile 90: 507211 (non-skill score) + 214146 (skills score) = 721357 Percentile 95: 507211 (non-skill score) + 223583 (skills score) = 730794 Percentile 99: 507211 (non-skill score) + 239593 (skills score) = 746804 Percentile 99.5: 507211 (non-skill score) + 244731 (skills score) = 751942

Center

You Watanabe

Center Skill	Smile P of Smile members increased by 13%
Stats	Level 100	5527 3737 4126
Skill	Level 9	Every 24 notes, there is a 27% chance of increasing the score of each note by 266 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 770 (base note score) x 658.3 (total multiplier) = 57345
Estimated skill score	266 x 20.2% (average note coverage for AP) x 463 = 24902 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	266 x 20.3% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 463 = 25002
Estimated total score	57345 (estimated non-skill score) + 24902 (estimated skill score) = 82247

Left4

Hanayo Koizumi

Stats	Level 100	5527 3821 4042
Skill	Level 9	Every 26 combo, there is a 42% chance of increasing the score of each note by 143 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 770 (base note score) x 658.3 (total multiplier) = 57345
Estimated skill score	143 x 25.6% (average note coverage for AP) x 463 = 16937 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	143 x 25.9% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 463 = 17131
Estimated total score	57345 (estimated non-skill score) + 16937 (estimated skill score) = 74282

Left3

Yoshiko Tsushima

Stats	Level 100	5118 4254 4096
Skill	Level 9	Every 25 notes, there is a 29% chance of increasing the score of each note by 178 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 770 (base note score) x 658.3 (total multiplier) = 53105
Estimated skill score	178 x 20.8% (average note coverage for AP) x 463 = 17138 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	178 x 20.9% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 463 = 17131
Estimated total score	53105 (estimated non-skill score) + 17138 (estimated skill score) = 70242

Left2

Riko Sakurauchi

Stats	Level 100	5379 4006 3745
Skill	Level 9	Every 7.2 seconds, there is a 39.6% chance of increasing the score of each note by 152 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 770 (base note score) x 658.3 (total multiplier) = 55813
Estimated skill score	152 x 21.5% (average note coverage for AP) x 463 = 15108 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	152 x 21.8% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 463 = 15279
Estimated total score	55813 (estimated non-skill score) + 15108 (estimated skill score) = 70921

Left1

Maki Nishikino

Stats	Level 100	5599 4007 3940
Skill	Level 9	Every 22 notes, there is a 34% chance of increasing the score of each note by 198 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 770 (base note score) x 658.3 (total multiplier) = 58086
Estimated skill score	198 x 27.7% (average note coverage for AP) x 463 = 25378 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	198 x 26.9% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 463 = 24539
Estimated total score	58086 (estimated non-skill score) + 25378 (estimated skill score) = 83464

Right1

Mari Ohara

Stats	Level 100	5251 3984 3817
Skill	Level 9	Every 17 combo, there is a 31% chance of increasing the score of each note by 129 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 770 (base note score) x 658.3 (total multiplier) = 54480
Estimated skill score	129 x 28.6% (average note coverage for AP) x 463 = 17064 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	129 x 28.3% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 463 = 17131
Estimated total score	54480 (estimated non-skill score) + 17064 (estimated skill score) = 71543

Right2

Yoshiko Tsushima

Stats	Level 100	5318 3913 3847
Skill	Level 9	Every 21 notes, there is a 32% chance of increasing the score of each note by 128 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 770 (base note score) x 658.3 (total multiplier) = 55179
Estimated skill score	128 x 26.9% (average note coverage for AP) x 463 = 15965 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	128 x 26.9% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 463 = 15742
Estimated total score	55179 (estimated non-skill score) + 15965 (estimated skill score) = 71144

Right3

Ayumu Uehara

Stats	Level 100	5610 3926 4010
Skill	Level 9	Every 19 notes, there is a 17% chance of increasing the score of each note by 332 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 770 (base note score) x 658.3 (total multiplier) = 58209
Estimated skill score	332 x 16.3% (average note coverage for AP) x 463 = 25026 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	332 x 16.3% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 463 = 25002
Estimated total score	58209 (estimated non-skill score) + 25026 (estimated skill score) = 83235

Right4

Ruby Kurosawa

Stats	Level 100	5529 4082 3779
Skill	Level 9	Every 24 PERFECTs, there is a 40% chance of increasing the score of each note by 210 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 770 (base note score) x 658.3 (total multiplier) = 57361
Estimated skill score	210 x 29.9% (average note coverage for AP) x 463 = 29114 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	210 x 30.1% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 463 = 29169
Estimated total score	57361 (estimated non-skill score) + 29114 (estimated skill score) = 86476