Guilty!? Farewell party

This tool calculates the teams with the highest All-Perfect average or maximum scores for this song and difficulty. The non-skill score depends on the base score and should stay the same across all plays, while the skill-based score depends on how lucky you are with the skill activation rolls.

While after the latest revisions the estimated/simulated scores seem close to the actual ones, the formulas/algorithms are still incomplete and the scores should be a little bit lower than the ones from the game.

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This team was generated using all the cards in the game.

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Left4	Left3	Left2	Left1	Center	Right1	Right2	Right3	Right4
Lv 100 / SL 9 x48.5	Lv 100 / SL 9 x68.2	Lv 100 / SL 9 x100.1	Lv 100 / SL 9 x62.3	Lv 100 / SL 9 x27	Lv 100 / SL 9 x69	Lv 100 / SL 9 x94.2	Lv 100 / SL 9 x64.2	Lv 100 / SL 9 x53.8

Guest Center Skill	Smile P increased by 10%
Team P	38643 + 3867 (center skill) + 3867 (guest center skill) = 46377
Estimated non-skill score (AP)	580 (base note score) x 587.2 (total multiplier) = 340591
Estimated average score	340591 (non-skill score) + 250743 (average skill score) = 591334
Estimated maximum score	340591 (non-skill score) + 1169219 (maximum skill score) = 1509810
Score from 1000 simulations	Average: 340657 (non-skill score) + 252231 (skills score) = 592888 Percentile 10: 340657 (non-skill score) + 209258 (skills score) = 549915 Percentile 50: 340657 (non-skill score) + 251611 (skills score) = 592268 Percentile 90: 340657 (non-skill score) + 294448 (skills score) = 635105 Percentile 95: 340657 (non-skill score) + 308361 (skills score) = 649018 Percentile 99: 340657 (non-skill score) + 334249 (skills score) = 674906 Percentile 99.5: 340657 (non-skill score) + 338342 (skills score) = 678999

Center

Ayumu Uehara

Center Skill	Smile P increased by 10%
Stats	Level 100	5610 3926 4010
Skill	Level 9	Every 19 notes, there is a 17% chance of increasing the score of each note by 332 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 580 (base note score) x 587.2 (total multiplier) = 49440
Estimated skill score	332 x 16.3% (average note coverage for AP) x 463 = 25026 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	332 x 16.6% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 463 = 25465
Estimated total score	49440 (estimated non-skill score) + 25026 (estimated skill score) = 74466

Left4

Ai Miyashita

Stats	Level 100	3850 3949 5435
Skill	Level 9	Every 15 PERFECTs, there is a 19% chance of increasing the score of each note by 289 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 580 (base note score) x 587.2 (total multiplier) = 33929
Estimated skill score	289 x 21.9% (average note coverage for AP) x 463 = 29293 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	289 x 21.8% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 463 = 29169
Estimated total score	33929 (estimated non-skill score) + 29293 (estimated skill score) = 63223

Left3

Keke Tang

Stats	Level 100	3871 5483 3958
Skill	Level 9	Every 17 notes, there is a 16% chance of increasing the score of each note by 318 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 580 (base note score) x 587.2 (total multiplier) = 34127
Estimated skill score	318 x 16.7% (average note coverage for AP) x 463 = 24612 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	318 x 16.5% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 463 = 24076
Estimated total score	34127 (estimated non-skill score) + 24612 (estimated skill score) = 58739

Left2

Riko Sakurauchi

Stats	Level 100	3920 5572 3976
Skill	Level 9	Every 15 PERFECTs, there is a 19% chance of increasing the score of each note by 289 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 580 (base note score) x 587.2 (total multiplier) = 34546
Estimated skill score	289 x 21.9% (average note coverage for AP) x 463 = 29293 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	289 x 21.9% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 463 = 29169
Estimated total score	34546 (estimated non-skill score) + 29293 (estimated skill score) = 63839

Left1

Kotori Minami

Stats	Level 100	4001 3846 5543
Skill	Level 9	Every 15 PERFECTs, there is a 19% chance of increasing the score of each note by 289 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 580 (base note score) x 587.2 (total multiplier) = 35273
Estimated skill score	289 x 21.9% (average note coverage for AP) x 463 = 29293 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	289 x 21.9% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 463 = 29169
Estimated total score	35273 (estimated non-skill score) + 29293 (estimated skill score) = 64567

Right1

Chisato Arashi

Stats	Level 100	4020 3861 5587
Skill	Level 9	Every 19 notes, there is a 17% chance of increasing the score of each note by 332 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 580 (base note score) x 587.2 (total multiplier) = 35427
Estimated skill score	332 x 16.3% (average note coverage for AP) x 463 = 25026 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	332 x 16.5% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 463 = 25465
Estimated total score	35427 (estimated non-skill score) + 25026 (estimated skill score) = 60453

Right2

Kinako Sakurakoji

Stats	Level 100	5428 4014 3792
Skill	Level 9	Every 20 PERFECTs, there is a 28% chance of increasing the score of each note by 252 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 580 (base note score) x 587.2 (total multiplier) = 47839
Estimated skill score	252 x 25.2% (average note coverage for AP) x 463 = 29460 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	252 x 25.6% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 463 = 29632
Estimated total score	47839 (estimated non-skill score) + 29460 (estimated skill score) = 77299

Right3

Kasumi Nakasu

Stats	Level 100	3955 3899 5536
Skill	Level 9	Every 19 PERFECTs, there is a 21% chance of increasing the score of each note by 317 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 580 (base note score) x 587.2 (total multiplier) = 34862
Estimated skill score	317 x 20.1% (average note coverage for AP) x 463 = 29446 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	317 x 20.1% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 463 = 29632
Estimated total score	34862 (estimated non-skill score) + 29446 (estimated skill score) = 64308

Right4

Kanan Matsuura

Stats	Level 100	3988 3903 5577
Skill	Level 9	Every 15 PERFECTs, there is a 19% chance of increasing the score of each note by 289 for 4 seconds.
Estimated non-skill score	10 % (Team P ratio) x 580 (base note score) x 587.2 (total multiplier) = 35148
Estimated skill score	289 x 21.9% (average note coverage for AP) x 463 = 29293 (average skill score for AP)
Simulated skill score	289 x 22.3% (actual note coverage in simulations) x 463 = 30095
Estimated total score	35148 (estimated non-skill score) + 29293 (estimated skill score) = 64442